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Originally Posted by Joe Durnavich
I'm simply working off the IPCC and related reports. You folks keep saying to look at the science. I am trying my best to do that. It doesn't help that when I look at what seems to me to be the leading science on the subject, it is immediately dismissed as vague guesses.
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Is IPCC the "leading science"?
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In contrast to some portrayals of IPCC's reports as possibly overstating dangers to humankind posed by climate change, other critics have contended that the IPCC reports tend to underestimate dangers, understate risks, and report only the "lowest common denominator" findings. As noted by the History News Network,
The Reagan administration wanted to forestall pronouncements by self-appointed committees of scientists, fearing they would be 'alarmist.' Conservatives promoted the IPCC's clumsy structure, which consisted of representatives appointed by every government in the world and required to consult all the thousands of experts in repeated rounds of report-drafting to reach a consensus. Despite these impediments the IPCC has issued unequivocal statements on the urgent need to act.
– HNS.
On February 1, 2007, the eve of the publication of IPCC's major report on climate, a study was published suggesting that temperatures and sea levels have been rising at or above the maximum rates proposed during the last IPCC report in 2001.[43] The study compared IPCC 2001 projections on temperature and sea level change with observations. Over the six years studied, the actual temperature rise was near the top end of the range given by IPCC's 2001 projection and the actual rise was above the top of the range of the IPCC projection.
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And I did not dismiss the IPCC report as "vague guesses", I was talking about predictions of Antarctic ice behavior (which were not included in that report).
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Be careful not to foster uncertainty to make room for your beliefs. If things are uncertain, then they are unknown and we have no basis to worry about them.
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Uncertain does not equal nothing known. Uncertain does not equal "no basis to worry". It means some details about specifics are not clear. The general trends of rising CO2 emissions is not at all uncertain, it is established and repeatedly confirmed as fact. The rising average temperature of the Antarctic region is established fact.
My "beliefs" are irrelevant, as are anyone else's. Physics trumps all beliefs, opinions and feelings.
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