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Originally Posted by The Cypher
I have heard from Nasa that this Solar Storm would be the strongest in about 30 years if i can recall correctly.
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Can you find that? As I recall, it was up in the air. (Ha.)
Solar Cycle 24 Prediction
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The official NOAA, NASA, and ISES Solar Cycle 24 prediction was released by the Solar Cycle 24 Prediction Panel on April 25, 2007.
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In light of the expected long interval until the onset of Cycle 24, the Prediction Panel has been unable to resolve a sufficient number of questions to reach a single, consensus prediction for the amplitude of the cycle. The deliberations of the panel supported two possible peak amplitudes for the smoothed International Sunspot Number (Ri): Ri = 140 ±20 and Ri = 90 ±10. Important questions to be resolved in the year following solar minimum will lead to a consensus decision by the panel.
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Recent news:
Science Daily: Sunspot Is Harbinger Of New Solar Cycle, Increasing Risk For Electrical Systems
Quote:
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Last April, in coordination with an international panel of solar experts, NOAA issued a forecast that Solar Cycle 24 would start in March 2008, plus or minus six months. The panel was evenly split between those predicting a strong or weak cycle. Both camps agree that the sooner the new cycle takes over the waning previous cycle, the more likely that it will be a strong season with many sunspots and major storms, said Biesecker. Many more sunspots with Solar Cycle 24 traits must emerge before scientists consider the new cycle dominant, with the potential for more frequent storms.
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Still iffy, it sounds. Doesn't seem like NASA/NOAA is providing evidence that this cycle is bound to be extraordinary. Some other source, perhaps?