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Old 09-January-2008, 07:36 PM
Andre Andre is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Netherlands & Germany
Posts: 80
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No the big problem I see here is the ad hominem logic:

The man is a crook,........

Quote:
The Space and Science Research Center, Orlando, FL. They have a press release about a study claiming that Earth is heading for a cold spell due to the next solar cycle. Andre cited them in a post under Astronomy. I came here after seeing a reference to it on a skiing forum, where of course readers hope for colder winters. But from their website, the outfit sounds like one of those single issue think tanks, promoting the theory they call "Relational Climatology".

The qualifications of Mr. John L. Casey remind me of others we've seen trying to claim "expert" status - A BS in math and physics, a Master's in management, and 30 years of experience stated only vaguely. A google search for John L. Casey only turns up a microbiologist at Georgetown. Furthermore if they have a staff of top experts I would expect to see names and resumes on the site. There isn't much on the website but a picture of a nice office building and the press release.
................THEREFORE he is wrong:

Quote:
I think you've applied the appropriate critical thinking and background research to the whole matter, and would pay it no further attention.
But what if he said that water freezes at 0C/32F?

Ad hominems and demonisation of the opponent are amongst the central issues in groupthink according to Janis:

Quote:
...Groupthink, a term coined by social psychologist Irving Janis (1972), occurs when a group makes faulty decisions because group pressures lead to a deterioration of “mental efficiency, reality testing, and moral judgment” (p. 9). Groups affected by groupthink ignore alternatives and tend to take irrational actions that dehumanize other groups. ...
All that Casey did is pass the message of predictions of a cold spell due to a solar minimum, so he got turned inside out to demonstrate that he is wrong. So since he is a crook there will not be a cold spell. Just trying to expose the logic.
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