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Old 19-March-2008, 01:15 PM
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tusenfem tusenfem is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JimP View Post
Does this mean I am making a little headway?

This is a ridiculous example. I’m heading to the library this weekend to try and get the papers that you have listed. If you know of any that have studied similar systems with high correlations I would like to look at them.


I am just looking at the correlations. This is just the first step. Breakthroughs in science do not normally happen by adhering to existing dogmas.
I don't know if you are making any headway? There is no denial that a correlation between solar sun spots and the Jovian period exists. But like I said correlation does not mean causality.

You can probably find papers where there is a similar correlation between two things, but unless you can come up with a reasonable explanation as to WHY the correlation should exist. There is a very interesting WIKI page on spurious relationship / spurious correlation.

So, end of the line, you found a correlation, which has been shown to occur in published papers too. There is a (on average) 11 year cycle of solar activity, and there is the 11.86 years of Jupiter's orbit.

Then question:
- if there is causality between the two, i.e. Jupiter's location and solar activity, what is causing it:
-- Gravity?
-- Magnetic field?
-- Electric currents?

And note:
- unless you want the solar activity to determine Jupiter's orbital period, you need something that goes from Jupiter to the sun.

And like Homer Simpson used to say:
Oh, people can come up with statistics to prove anything, Kent. 14% of people know that.
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