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Originally Posted by Hornblower
1. Suppose there is no such resonance. Then what?
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Then the calculation does not fit the sunspot very well in comparison.
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2. If you back-extrapolate, will this predict the Maunder minimum?
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I note that I had 264 years of sunspot numbers, so must have started after the Maunder minimum.
It is possible to see how this model would explain the Maunder minimum, but I have not actually run it for that period. It actually would need a reasonable amount of earlier data to prove that because the resonance has got a "memory" with a half life of about 70 years. That means that you need information from about 1500 onwards to test this thoroughly.