Quote:
Originally Posted by A.DIM
And so you have "hard fact" supporting a higher probability that we are the first?
Or do you base that notion on your perception of the "unconvincing evidence to the contrary?"
To me, suggesting we may be the first and/or only advanced civ in the galaxy flies in the face of the copernican principle. |
No I do not have hard facts either way and to suggest that one scenario is more probable than any other given the available evidence is wishful thinking.
You are so fond of throwing about the "Copernican Principle" as it comes up so many times in your posts though I doubt its real relevance to this debate.
As I have said before in other posts all we can say is "WE JUST DON'T KNOW YET". To simply suggest that intelligent life must be common or that we have to be the only intelligent life in the Galaxy is to overstate the either case. We cannot produce probability estimates based on the limited data we currently have and that is the end of it until we know more.