Quote:
Originally Posted by Warren Platts
Go ahead and pull your own numbers out of wherever. At least I provided a justification for each number I offered.
I'm afraid that you're afraid to go into "probability mode" as John Ellis put it. Because once you try to quantify the risk--you lose. . . .
ETA: that goes for you too, Neverfly.
|
No. What You Do Not understand is that the factors involved to calculate a probability are gignormous. Either way, the p
catastrophe is still vanishingly small.
The last time I tried doing that, I left none of my justifications and it came out to like 1
18. That was before I learned that most black holes (If Made At All) will shoot into space.
Plus, it's ironic, that you tried factoring in a supposed 9% of 15 physicists that disagreed with Hawking, but you did NOT factor in a number for how many physicists disagree with string.
You're pulling numbers out of a skunks rectum and trying to spray Elizabeth Taylor on them and pass them off on us.
No, Warren Platts, I am not going to play your little game. Neither you, nor I, are qualified to 'calculate' out the odds. Least of all you. Considering your extreme bias while you PRETEND to be fair.
Your p
catastrophe is nonsense. Now you are daring others to play with nonsense too.
Get over it.