It really depends on several factors. One being who wins in 2004. No one would like to see another democrat in office more than bin laden. It worked out so well for him last time.
Essentially none of the dem hopefuls have anything to offer national security except Lieberman and Clark. Clark has no qualification for president and having seen him flip flop on issues so often makes me doubt his commitment to any one agenda. Lieberman is a jew. Not only a jew but very vocal about it. Can you see the ramifications for the middle east if America is run by a jew? How can we even pretend to be honest brokers of peace when our own leadership would be one of 'the enemy' to the palestinians? The election of Lieberman would all but guarantee an all out jihad against us. We do such a poor job of hiding our preference for Israel now that our 'road map' is barely more than terms of surrender for the palestinians. Putting Joe in charge would deal a death blow to any hope of a US brokered peace. There is just no getting around his religion when it comes to islamic fundamentalism.
Bush needs to knock off his clinging to superstition because quite frankly it comes across as another Crusade anytime we have to get tough with arabs.
Then comes the issue of passing real laws that take serious action to protect the US. But you see how much love people have for the Patriot Act. So again, even given the tools to fight terror, it's politically incorrect, and that's what most Americans care about. They want to stop terror, but not offend anyone in the process. Idiocy. Exactly the same thinking that made the INS completely useless and sponsors stupid ideas like prop 187 in CA.
I mean look, we have a serious problem when people can come here, stay without bothering with the law and even use our own institutions (like flight school) against us. Yet there are still dopes like Davis that want to give illegals a free pass. Now Mass wants to do the same asinine thing.
We're fighting ourselves as much as the bad guys.
So I say the chances of successful attack go strait back to who is in office and where. If the dems gain any power at all, you might as well paint a big target on some buildings. History has already proven that a dem in office is a breeding ground for terror against us.
Being safe means we can't always be nice anymore. We can't live in an idealogical Never Never Land anymore. If you try it, reality will come slamming into our buildings at 450 mph and set us strait.