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Old 21-January-2005, 05:15 AM
scourge scourge is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolverine
Science works well indeed. I agree quite strongly with the following (from this article)
I agree with that article completely Wolverine, especially this part:
"the scientific method must be employed as the basis for drawing conclusions regarding paranormal claims." But if most scientists abide by this, then why are they not particpating in the inquiry more actively?

I like science; it’s the best thing since soap. I’m saying we need to apply it to the ‘sighting’ phenomenon, rather than leaving it up to the cranks to draw wild-eyed fantasies about it. But ever since Project Bluebook was closed, the only place people have to turn, even if they have a compelling case happening right in front of them, is to the –least qualified- people in the country. Am I the only one here who appreciates this problem?

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
But it's preciscely because it's such an enticing idea that we HAVE to be extra skeptical.
This is why I’m saying we need –scientists- to look at this stuff, because the layman isn’t equipped or qualified to meet this high standard of skepticism. You’re asking the layman to do the work of a group of top-notch scientists. The scenario itself is fundamentally flawed, which is why it’s been leading nowhere but to greater division on this issue. The scientific community has left ‘us,’ the witnesses, with nobody but the ‘UFOists’ as you call them--the cranks and the crackpots and the pseudo-scientists, to investigate the issue. So of course the field of inquiry harbors no respect. I come here to calmly discuss the issue, and I get flamed for making claims I’m not even making. All I’m just saying is we should look into it, and suddenly I’m one of ‘them’--the hoaxsters/crackpots/knuckleheads. If we can’t even look at the question objectively, and without prejudice, how are we –ever- going to have solid answers?

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
...since the one thing required to reach a consensual conclusion is the one thing we will probably never get—a piece of whatever is moving in the sky.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Not necessarily. But you are at least partly correct in that the world will want something more than an easily fakeable light and sound show.
Such as? Tell me what an average person could bring to your attention that would make you think twice about this issue, short of a chunk of alien technology.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
What I think we need here is a special category of scientific inquiry for phenomena that, by their very nature, cannot produce irrefutable physical evidence, so we can at least –look- at a phenomenon like this without resorting to name-calling and knee-jerk accusations of foolishness/delusion/lies.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
so what you're asking for is a science without the scientific method. Good luck there. I think Creationism ascribes to that idea. You should talk to them
That was uncalled for, and you too R.A.F., with the ‘pseudo-science’ crack. We accept far more tenuous evidence for astronomical phenomena—we often don’t even have –photos- of things we assume to exist because of secondary or tertiary effects, such as black holes, and somewhat less so, 'dark matter.' The evidence is far from ‘irrefutable physical evidence,’ yet we move forward with those investigations with the banner of empirical reductionism flying high. So is that ‘pseudo-science’ too? Of course not. So really, this is about a double-standard, in principle anyway. It’s a conceit of those scientists who don’t feel they need further evidence to base their opinions upon, viz ‘I don’t need to know what that is because I’m pre-convinced that it’s not what you think it could be.’ This, despite a reasonable theory that backs up the claims of eyewitnesses. Your 'Creationism' slur only validates the public perception of scientists as self-aggrandizing, belligerent, patronizing priests of ‘The One and Only Truth,’ which is horribly tragic, because the scientific enterprise is probably the single most heroic undertaking of human history. Your words, John, soil the nobility of that endeavor.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
But I have faith in science, and I think if we had some support by the scientific community to conduct a solid investigation, we may not end up with the ‘smoking gun’ to establish exactly what is going on—but I think we’d be able to demonstrate conclusively that in fact –something extraordinary- is going on.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Another problem here that's pretty commonplace: the idea that if just enough scientists 'believe' in somehting, it suddenly becomes 'good' science. That's a really misdirected view on how science works.
Don’t lecture me about science, I probably appreciate its essential nature better than you do. Where have I ever asked anyone to ‘believe’ or ‘disbelieve’ –anything-? Never. We know what we know, the rest is guesswork…and you don’t know there’s nothing interesting going on, that’s an opinion, and you know what they say about those. By support, and I specified this, I mean a sound investigation. The Air Force felt this was justified in the Sixties, but now you proclaim that it’s beneath science to investigate these unidentified phenomena…based on nothing more than belief and supposition. I was always taught that there’s no such thing as a foolish question, because not asking is the foolish alternative. The sightings issue is an open question, but you make me out to be a fool for asking it. That isn’t wisdom, and that isn’t science.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
So what we’re left with, for the most part, is a very loosely organized group of nonscientists attempting to do something that scientists themselves won’t dare to attempt—make an extraordinary case with nothing more than photographic evidence, some good stories, and an occasional odd soil/plant sample or midnight sunburn of the face.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
I'll admit the first part of this actually irked me. But look at the second part. Is that a good body of data? Heck no! I can accomplish the same thing on any given evening. I can take terrible pictures with my digital camera, go digging in a landfill, tell stories around a campfire and break into a tanning salon at midnight.
This is ‘armchair refereeing.’ This is not scientific thinking—you expect to sit back and wait for people who are not scientists to fumble forth with whatever paltry evidence they can muster on their own, and then proclaim how inadequate it all is from your pillowed throne. The investigative spirit is at least half of real science—you have to be available when opportunity knocks, to go out there and take samples and photos and castings and bring them back to the lab and scrutinize the evidence you collect. I went over this. The general public doesn’t have the know-how or the technology to bring solid findings to your doorstep. They need help, scientific help, to find answers that explain what they’re observing—they can’t convince anyone of anything without some inside help—and—you’re already predisposed to Not believe them when they tell you what they’ve experienced. Thus, the Catch-22. The scientific community in general refuses to help, and the public thinks less of them for it—and they’re right.

The hoax scenario you just described is appalling, because it assumes that the evidence is faked, when in fact most people who see these things are as good and honest, and sometimes as careful at observing, as anyone on this board. To justify –not even looking- at what they have, because ‘it could have been faked’ does –all- of those good people a profound injustice.

Do you see the hypocrisy at work here—you’ll assume that if it didn’t come from Lawrence Livermore Labs, it’s probably a fake, or useless or whatever. But Lawrence Livermore isn’t looking. This is an untenable situation—and you can’t blame the public for it—it’s the ‘ivory tower’ mentality of much of the science community that has barred the doors to honest investigation.

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Originally Posted by scourge
but that kind of behavior seems kinda contemptible to me—it’s like watching the neighborhood bully beat up the stuttering girl, and passing the popcorn.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
and right off the deep end we go... there's no point in debating this kind of bitter name calling.
What? Okay, I see--the analogy slipped by you: the bully is the difficult task of trying to wrestle with an enigma without the facilities, tools, or training, the stuttering girl is the group of people trying to wrestle with that insurmountable task, and the scientific establishment en masse is passing the popcorn rather than helping out. No name-calling, just a fairly fitting analogy.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
And a salient point that seems to keep sailing over the heads of the ‘disbelievers’ here is: how can you say that an extraterrestrial craft is ‘more unlikely’ than a military craft defying the known laws of physics,
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Again, you're assuming that you, the observer, have not made any sort of mistake in your observation, that you haven't been fooled by some perspective of vision, that you are not the unlucky recipient of some hoax and that you are a qualified expert in all poissible obects that you can view in the sky. That's an impressive resume then.
And you, the armchair referee, are assuming that I have been mistaken/fooled/etc. Besides, that’s my entire point—I’m not qualified to draw scientific conclusions from my observations, that’s why we need scientific help to establish what’s going on. I’m not saying I know what it is. But five people I knew well saw exactly the same thing, and there are –thousands- of people who report similar sightings. Are they all liars or deluded? Do you have any idea how conceited it sounds to hear you dismiss –all of these incidents- without so much as a nod that there –might- be something happening that –you don’t know about-? And you didn’t even answer the question, jeez. You can’t say the ETH is ‘unlikely,’ when scientists have been saying for decades that they should be here right now, under our noses.

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Originally Posted by scourge
, then why it is so freakin unlikely that we might actually see ‘them’ from time to time?
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
how many eskimos are australain pygmys likely to see? Just because something *should* be there does not mean that it *must* be there.
I never said it *must* be there, I said it ‘might’—we won’t get on better footing until good science takes the reigns from the quacks. And don’t twist my words, that’s dirty pool.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
In fact, if it isn't there, then there's probably a very likely reason for it.
And ‘if’ cows could fly, then there’d probably be good reason for that too, heh. This is parabolic logic, at best.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
And while the UFOists are sitting there complaing that the astronomers are doing nothing, it is in fact the astronomers who are finding the exoplanets, understanding the other planets in our solar system and digging deeper into the fundamental principles under which our galaxy is ordered.
This is all emotional topic-shifting—I never said that astronomers aren’t doing their work, and doing darn good work at that. I’m proud of the work scientists do...the progress they make with modeling the intricacies of the universe, it’s all a magnificent and majestic undertaking that I support 100%. A couple of my closest friends are brilliant scientists, and I’m proud to say it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Yes, they're really "beating up the stuttering girl". And in fact, when all is said and done, I think you'll find that it's the long, slow, methodical approach that will eventually come up with the final, correct answer - not some woowoo with a camcorder along a state highway.
Ahh, the demon shows it’s face…so now everyone who videotapes something unusual in the sky, is a ‘woo-woo.’ That kind of prejudice is woeful. I think this will be my last reply to you. Anyway, for the millionth time, I’m not saying that science is flawed; I’m saying that we should apply it to the sightings of our people, because that’s how we’ll get answers. Science isn't going to find those answers if it doesn’t –look-, and it’s –not looking-. Man, I feel like a broken record, but this is just not getting through. And I don’t know where you came up with this ‘scourge vs. science’ malarkey, I guess it was that analogy you misinterpreted—to reiterate, I accused the scientific establishment of sitting on the sidelines of the debate, not beating anyone up, sigh. A refreshing exception was the Mexican Air Force case, but it took world-wide press to get that done, and better cases every year are relegated to the likes of Hoagland.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
Sure, maybe what I saw, and what other people have seen, was nothing more than advanced military aircraft. But if we go with that—then our own government is holding back a few chapters from our modern physics books, and that’s hardly an acceptable state of affairs now is it? Or if what I saw was some radical form of ball lighting or something? Well dang—what if one of those struck a passenger plane? Or worse, showed up on Korean radar during delicate nuclear weapons negotiations? Or as someone suggested earlier—what if it was some unknown kind of mass delusion…something that could happen to pilots and send them into a collision? We should know.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
or maybe its just a confused eyewitness.
And you’d know this…..how? By sitting back and willfully –not investigating the consensual claims of thousands of rational people-? Thought so.

Quote:
Originally Posted by scourge
But until you acknowledge that there is a question, the rest of us are left out in the cold, reluctant to even share our observations under threat of public humiliation and downright derision. We’ve been waiting for a long time, would it really be so bad to lend a helping hand?
Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Wow. that's a real textbook case of a persecution complex.
Imagine that. After having to deal with countless people who’d rather call me an idiot than get off their haunches and look at the situation, for thirty years… It’s not a 'complex' if you really –are- being persecuted, and most of your post here proves the point.

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
And what happens if your sghting is investigated and its proven to be "observer error" or a natural phenomenon. Are you going to say "Wow, gee. I guess I was wrong!
Sure, though I'm not saying I know one way or the other, so I can't really be 'wrong'--I can only be 'sure,' which is more than I can be now. Anyway, I’m not talking about my sole experience; I’m talking about a phenomenon that’s basically sweeping the globe. I’ll probably never come any closer to knowing for sure what it was I saw with my neighbors and friends that day, but that’s ultimately irrelevant. Sightings are going on nearly every day, and some of those may have something amazing to teach us. We need to focus on those—cases that are fresh, have some kind of evidence, photographic, radar, whatever. Strike while the iron’s hot, and maybe we’ll get to the bottom of it. If it all is just some weird synaptic design failure of the species, at least we’ll learn more about that…who knows what else that understanding could lead to…but in any case, it would be valuable knowledge (and put a lot of people’s mind at ease in the process, to have solved the riddle).

Quote:
Originally Posted by hewhocaves
Thanks, science for clearing that up...blah blah blah…the answer…yammer yammer yammer …and I won't stop…natter natter natter…until the data is 'cooked'…yap yap yap …supports my claim.
Hmm.. that may have been a tad harsh. I wish the aliens hadn't told me to write that. I hate when they make me help cover up the conspiracy.
Okay, so you’re obviously not a scientist, thanks for clearing that up. You’ve taken all the calm, rational discussion I’ve presented previously, and brewed it through your contempt filter for the entire field of inquiry we’re discussing, then heaved out a meaningless string of ignorant biases that have nothing whatsoever to do with what I’ve said through this whole thread. “Harsh” doesn’t even begin to cover it, that was downright abusive, not to mention deeply insulting.

I’ve done nothing more than tell my story, and request a fresh look and careful examination of the issue at hand using the rigors of the scientific method that I have grown to love and respect. For some, like yourself, the words aren’t heard, and anyone attempting this is obviously going to be subjected to your preposterous abusive nonsense. When Wolverine showed me evidence that the Mexican Air Force footage was actually plumes from oil platforms, I accepted it (gratefully, I might add). But when I ask you to consider that thousands of your neighbors, friends, family, and countrymen might be telling the truth about some fascinating sightings they’ve experienced, you go on some potty rampage about how I’ll never accept any explanation other than little green men and all that, pfft. So of the two of us, who holds a more sincere and unqualified interest in finding the truth?
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