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Originally Posted by CTM VT 2K
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Originally Posted by ToSeek
We're overdue for a 1918-scale flu outbreak. You've got to think we can't hold it off forever.
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I don't think statsitics and averages quite works that way. 8-[ |
Yes they do.
You are saying if we know the average and the range of years between flu pandemics we can't say one is overdue? Why not?
What we have is what looks like the beginning of a new pandemic but we don't know what the beginning looks like for sure. AND we have the historical average time between pandemics. Just one more piece of evidence to consider.