I agree with your analysis. I made certain predictions after reading Book 5 that are (superficially) discredited by the events in Book 6, but are still valid given the point of view in your post. (Needless to say, I arrived at very much the same conclusions independently.)
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This perspective also cast a whole new spin on Dumbledore's "plea" to Snape -- he was not pleading to be spared, but to be killed.
Another thing that's explained by this analysis is why Snape made the Unbreakable Vow to help Malfoy in the first place. If he and Dumbledore had already agreed to the plan, then there was no reason NOT to do so. And this is entirely plausible because Snape knew the details of the plan, and could have discussed it with Dumbledore, before the meeting in which he took the vow.
Of course, the evidence that Snape spared Ron and Hermione is irrelevant, since they had taken the Felix Felicis potion and would have escaped death regardless of Snape's intentions. Your point about Flitwick is still valid, though.
I'd also like to point out that we may not have seen the last of Dumbledore after all. We know that he's a very powerful wizard. He might have knowledge of a way to overcome death. There's a strong hint that this could be true in the funeral scene. And just where is Fawkes off to, I wonder?
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