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Originally Posted by dgruss23
By definition equilibrium means an unchanging balance in a system.
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Your literal definition of equilibrium equates it with a completely null set. The working definition is one of comparing driving timescales to response timescales. But it's a semantic point that is not relevant, I tried to explain what I meant by the term and I regret having used it at all.
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Originally Posted by dgruss23
I think you're underestimating the influence of both the ocean and the atmosphere.
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You may be right there, certainly it would be interesting to know the fundamental response timescales of the Earth's climate.
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Originally Posted by dgruss23
We are still coming to understand the full range of scales over which the Sun influences climate. See for example this recent result. |
Thanks for the link, interesting stuff, but of course AGW has nothing to do with 100,000 year timescales, it's three orders of magnitude shorter.
Let me ask you this: what do you think is the current probability that human intervention is causing the CO2 rise, and that this could lead to climate change? Also, what type of new evidence would you need to hear to raise your estimate to 50/50?