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Old 09-November-2005, 11:57 AM
grant hutchison grant hutchison is online now
Order of Kilopi
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fram
This is where the scenario has gone wrong, in my view. We don't know and have no reason to assume that only one ball is taken out of the barrel.
We know that only one ball is extracted, in this analogy. You live only once, and therefore you represent one ball.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fram
One ball drops every second. After ten seconds, you pick a ball. It's number 7.
You have no control over the time at which the ball is selected. You simply come into existence, and check your position in the birth order. If there are a very large number of balls, then you're unlikely to find yourself in the first few.

Grant Hutchison
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