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Old 07-June-2006, 06:36 AM
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eburacum45 eburacum45 is online now
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From a military point of view, it makes perfect sense to treat UFOs or, rather UAP (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena) as potentially significant, whether they are under intelligent control or not. They might represent a military threat, or at the very least they might represent a danger to air safety.

It also makes sense to keep much of the information collected out of the public domain, as the detailed reports contain a lot of data about the sensitivity and accuracy of detection systems, which are necessarily secret.

But none of this implies that UAPs are really artefacts under intelligent control; in fact the available evidence so far suggests that the Extraterrestrial hypothesis is unnecessary. Most of the famous cases happened a long time ago, when radar systems were very basic compared to today’s systems; if UAP were in fact solid craft they would be detected more often by modern systems, but that is not the case.
Every case that has so far been reported is likely to be the result of one of the following -
misidentification of known natural phenomena, unknown natural phenomena, misidentified manmade objects, including objects not known to the public, hallucination of various kinds, faulty recall of events and post-rationalisation (I believe this is very important in many early cases, where electronic records were not available) and deliberate hoaxes. In a number of cases it is not possible to identify which of these causes it the true one after the event; this is not a reason to immediately jump to the conclusion that there are extraterrestrials in our skies.
There have been unexplained cases galore for sixty years, give or take a year- but no contact. I can state with a certain amount of confidence that this situation will continue for another sixty years, whether the extraterrestrial hypothesis is true or not.
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