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  #61 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2004, 05:27 PM
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Cousin Bill;

Your "for all practical purposes" statement is a cop-out. You can decide what is practical for you, but you can't make the same decision for everyone. To some, it is a matter of questioning their faith. So to know, once and for all, of the existence of ETI may be a real big deal even though that question may be completely empty to you.

You also fail to take into account the difference between "contacting" and "observing" when you argue "practical purposes". I can "observe" the IIS passing overhead so I know it exists, but I certainly don't have the ability to "contact" it, or invite it over for dinner next Tuesday. The same would hold true of ships at sea, or air liners. I can observe them easily, but contact "for all practical purposes" is well beyond my capability.

But your argument states that even if we were to be able to "observe" evidence of ETI that we could in no way ever contact, then they still don't exist. That's silly.

Here is an example:

We make an "observation" of evidence of ETI that originated from, say, 50,000 light-years away. We reply. That is a 100K light-year round trip, and by the time our reply reaches them, the civilization is long dead. So no "contact" is ever possible. Now you have absolute proof of ETI. Whether or not we can contact it doesn't matter. "Practical purposes" doesn't matter. It's just the "question" that matters.

-Cousin Lance
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  #62 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2004, 06:32 PM
Brady Yoon Brady Yoon is offline
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My opinion is that many extraterrestrial civilizations exist, and it is possible to contact them through electromagnetic waves, but we are simply looking at the wrong places. There is no rule that says alien minds think the same way as human minds. I also believe that civilizations die after a short while (few get past 1,000 years). Of course, this is a fairly mainstream opinion and could very well be wrong.
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Old 21-June-2004, 06:36 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady Yoon
My opinion is that many extraterrestrial civilizations exist, and it is possible to contact them through electromagnetic waves, but we are simply looking at the wrong places. There is no rule that says alien minds think the same way as human minds. I also believe that civilizations die after a short while (few get past 1,000 years). Of course, this is a fairly mainstream opinion and could very well be wrong.
8-[ Okay then.

I am glad your crystal ball is working, mine hasn't been.

I wonder if I am better of just letting your message lie.

This is a mainstream opinion by whom? Roswell residents?
  #64 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2004, 06:41 PM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance

We make an "observation" of evidence of ETI that originated from, say, 50,000 light-years away. We reply. That is a 100K light-year round trip, and by the time our reply reaches them, the civilization is long dead. So no "contact" is ever possible. Now you have absolute proof of ETI. Whether or not we can contact it doesn't matter. "Practical purposes" doesn't matter. It's just the "question" that matters.
Tell me, how is such a contact practical? How would it benefit us in any way?

The great benefit of finding a new culture is cultural exchange.

Also, if anything, contact with ETI should employ the scientific method. The scientific method is the conceptual process of organizing empirical facts and their inter-relationships in a structure of theories and inferences. It is the philosophical ideal of how scientists advance scientific knowledge by methodically and systematically applying procedures that reduce the likelihood of alternative explanations for their observations. The underlying principles are skepticism (an attitude of doubt toward and suspended judgment of statements, even when made by great authorities, prior to analyzing the underlying evidence and assumptions), determinism (the principle that all natural phenomena are caused previous events linked by fundamental physical laws that are the same everywhere in the universe) and empiricism (the practice of relying on observation and experiment for developing an understanding (theory) of natural phenomena). If any observation is made just once, then the scientific method cannot be employed because of the 4 steps involved in The Scientific Method:

1. Observation and description of a phenomenon or group of phenomena.

2. Formulation of an hypothesis to explain the phenomena. In physics, the hypothesis often takes the form of a causal mechanism or a mathematical relation.

3. Use of the hypothesis to predict the existence of other phenomena, or to predict quantitatively the results of new observations.

4. Performance of experimental tests of the predictions by several independent experimenters and properly performed experiments.

It is because of this 4th step that part of the SETI project requires that a signal repeats itself.

A brief encounter would not repeat itself.

As someone who believes and supports SETI and yet someone who insistes that a brief encounter would be a good thing, you contradict yourself.

Like debating biblical fundamentalists about 4 legged insects in Leviticus (which don’t exist according to scientific observation), I get the feeling you are just grasping at the ether, Lance.
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Old 21-June-2004, 07:12 PM
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Are we alone? For now, we are. Whether we stay that way is partly out of our hands. We can always put forward the effort to look, but that's no guarantee there's something out there to be found.

That does not for one minute make less important the search. Sometimes the best goals are the ones that aren't immediately successful. Sometimes, its not wrong to dream while awake.

As to whether there's really life out there, I look at a few other things in the universe we once accepted as axioms and see how new discoveries rewrite them on a daily basis and I am reminded that what we believe to be true today based on speculation may be so far off the mark in reality that everything we thought we knew is rendered meaningless.
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Old 21-June-2004, 07:53 PM
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Do you think it's better to listen to their signals, or actively announce that we are here?
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Old 21-June-2004, 10:10 PM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady Yoon
Do you think it's better to listen to their signals, or actively announce that we are here?
Since we are already announcing that we are here by radio and TV signals, your question is mute
  #68 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2004, 10:27 PM
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Cousin Bill,

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson

A brief encounter would not repeat itself.

As someone who believes and supports SETI and yet someone who insistes that a brief encounter would be a good thing, you contradict yourself.

Like debating biblical fundamentalists about 4 legged insects in Leviticus (which don’t exist according to scientific observation), I get the feeling you are just grasping at the ether, Rev. Hopeandbelieve
You mis-quote me. I never said a "brief encounter" would be a good thing. I said "proof". Now move along and don't argue that with me too.

The problem Bill, is your "belief" that SETI supporters and those not so closed minded to the possible existance of ETI "believe" in ET. It's nothing of the sort. Those who "believe" in ET do so with no evidence at all, and are generally kooks.

I think the general consensus among readers here is more along the lines of:
  • ETI may exist
    It would be nice if it did
    It may not
    But without proof either way, I just don't know
    Bill Thompson is a "woo woo"

No one else here is getting frustrated that you don't agree with them. Why are you getting your panties in such a bunch that some people don't agree with you?

-Cousin Lance
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  #69 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2004, 10:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady Yoon
Do you think it's better to listen to their signals, or actively announce that we are here?
I'm sorry I can't find or remember the exact quote, but Stephen Hawking said something along the lines of:

"Any extraterrestrial civilization we encounter may be far in advance of our own. Since primitive cultures on our own planet generally don't benefit from contact with more advanced cultures, we may do well to just keep our heads low."

Again, that's not an exact quote, but it certainly conveys the meaning.

If we ever were to encounter an advanced ET civilization, I think it's just as likely that we could be exploited as educated.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Since we are already announcing that we are here by radio and TV signals, your question is mute
Yes Bill, this you got right.
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Old 22-June-2004, 01:00 AM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
Cousin Bill,

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson

A brief encounter would not repeat itself.

As someone who believes and supports SETI and yet someone who insistes that a brief encounter would be a good thing, you contradict yourself.

Like debating biblical fundamentalists about 4 legged insects in Leviticus (which don’t exist according to scientific observation), I get the feeling you are just grasping at the ether, Rev. Hopeandbelieve
You mis-quote me. I never said a "brief encounter" would be a good thing. I said "proof".
How would a brief encounter be proof? That is now how science works. There are lots of brief encounters, like the Travis Walton insident. But the Travis Walton insident is not proof. Check out James Randi's web site about that. In fact, if I were you, I would study it a little.
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Old 22-June-2004, 01:05 AM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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You seem to think I believe what I do because I want to or because I choose to. Nothing is further from the truth. The fact is I want to believe there is ETI and for the longest time, I did believe that there must be ETI.

It is a common misconception since at least 99.999% of the people on this planet cannot divide fact from suposition.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance

The problem Bill, is your "belief" that SETI supporters and those not so closed minded to the possible existance of ETI "believe" in ET.
Belief ought not be a choice.

This is a common expression that makes no sense to me: "well, you can believe what you want to."

I got into a huge debate with my Nigerian neighbor about a number of consparacy theories. After a long session debunking his ideas he threw that at me: "well, you can believe what you want to."

I replied, "no, if you can show me evidence contrary to what I believe then it is my obligation to believe that you are right.

So, show me evidence contrary to what I believe then it is my obligation to believe that you are right, Lance.

(by the way, what is a wo wo?)
  #72 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 01:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
You mis-quote me. I never said a "brief encounter" would be a good thing. I said "proof".
How would a brief encounter be proof?
It would NOT be. Like I've been saying. ](*,)

Why don't you just read my .sig. It pretty much covers this whole debate.
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  #73 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 01:30 AM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
You mis-quote me. I never said a "brief encounter" would be a good thing. I said "proof".
How would a brief encounter be proof?
It would NOT be. Like I've been saying. ](*,)

Why don't you just read my .sig. It pretty much covers this whole debate.
D'OH!!
  #74 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 01:36 AM
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This links to why we are alone is a good post


If we use radio waves to contact another race this means that they must use radio waves also, we have been beaming out UHF , Radio, microwave and other signals now. For the last 50 years our strong radio has beamed into space, if aliens can get this signal and understand it what are the chaces that aliens will be more advanced. I say 98% chance because we've been doing this for only a few decades. Life in space seems like a wonderful subject but think about it, if aliens knew we are here why would they want to contact a primitive race, we destroy the rainforest, pollute the earth, kill each other with anthrax, make other clever lifeforms like Whales Birds into paths of extinction,

Mankind has done some wonderful things and made many things happen, but we have also done very bad things, this is what we have done which is not noble or wonderful


If aliens knew humans were here, Would aliens want to contact such a race, a race which has made wars? A people which puts toxins in the sea, the humans which cut down the tress, we the human race have used atomic weapons on our own people...
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Old 22-June-2004, 01:39 AM
Bill Thmpson Bill Thmpson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
Why don't you just read my .sig. It pretty much covers this whole debate.
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It is a good thing you are not a prosecution attorney.

But, seriously, although this is true it is not the subject of this thread. Absence of any reasonably near-by habitat for life is evidence of absence of life at any reasonable proximity.
  #76 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 01:50 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
You seem to think I believe what I do because I want to or because I choose to. Nothing is further from the truth. The fact is I want to believe there is ETI and for the longest time, I did believe that there must be ETI.
And you seem to think I CARE what you believe. The real question is; why do you care what I believe? You made a good case for yourself, supported by good arguments. I, however, choose to keep more of an open mind. That does NOT mean I "believe" in ETI. It only means I am unwilling to rule out the possibility.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
It is a common misconception since at least 99.999% of the people on this planet cannot divide fact from suposition.
You have been demonstrating this for some time now. Yes, we know.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Lance
The problem Bill, is your "belief" that SETI supporters and those not so closed minded to the possible existince of ETI "believe" in ET.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Belief ought not be a choice.

This is a common expression that makes no sense to me: "well, you can believe what you want to."

.....

(by the way, what is a wo wo?)
Could one of the regulars here please explain to my Cousin Bill what a woo woo is? I am new here, and am only vaguely familiar with the term.

BELIEF: 1 : a state or habit of mind in which trust or confidence is placed in some person or thing (synonym: see in addition OPINION)

Trust? Confidence? Opinion? Bill, belief is BY DEFINITION a choice. When you become "obliged to believe" then you have crossed over into "knowing". There is a difference. Let me give you an example:

Right now, I "believe" that you are what they refer to here as a "woo woo". However, I do not "know" that you are due to my unfamiliarity with the term. When someone answers this one way or the other, I will then "know" that you either are, or are not a "woo woo". And once I "know", belief no longer plays a role. Follow?
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Old 22-June-2004, 01:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady Yoon
Do you think it's better to listen to their signals, or actively announce that we are here?
Since we are already announcing that we are here by radio and TV signals, your question is mute
Moot
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  #78 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 02:02 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Thompson
Absence of any reasonably near-by habitat for life is evidence of absence of life at any reasonable proximity.
*sigh*

But since we only have the absence of EVIDENCE of any reasonably near-by habitat, the rest of the statement fails.

We do NOT know Mars is not still now a habitat. Or Europa. And someone now is even talking about Venus again possibly being a habitat. Due to further study on the oceanic thermal vents.
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  #79 (permalink)  
Old 22-June-2004, 07:04 AM