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  #1411 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 12:52 AM
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Originally Posted by lyndonashmore
Quote:
frogesque wrote:
Not much to add except that it's mainstream physics that is being used to test its limits and show where the anomalies (if any) might be. Without mainstream physics we would still be playing with epicycles and burning witches.
Remember, epicycles, burning witches and the Big bang theory were 'mainstream science' at the time they were popular.
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This is where you misunderestimate us. The lyndon's and Jerry's of the world think that we are unreceptive to new ideas, that we are clinging to our "mainstream science" theories with religious intensity, and that is why we treat their theories as bunk.

Nothing could be further from the truth. I, for one, would love to see a different view of gravity postulated which better explains how the universe works. Maybe it would explain the observed rotation of galaxies. Maybe it would explain the Pioneer's. Maybe it would shed new light on black holes. That would be the coolest thing ever.

But the theories discussed on this thread are not it. Jerry doesn't have a theory. He cannot explain how to prove his theory. He cannot demonstrate how his theory better explains any observed phenomena. His predictions are non-specific, and the few that were specific were wrong.
  #1412 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 02:09 AM
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Yes. I'd like to reiterate that we do not dismiss these (lyndon, luni, jerry) theories out of hand. I think we've given a quantitative critique of these and it seems they cannot handle such constructive criticism.
I really do mean constructive gang, as we'd love to help in anything that appears to have the slightest shred of merit.
However, disconnected vuage statements that have little to no bearing on the purposed 'upheaval' to current physics without justification just will not work.
Keep at it, one day it may pay off...
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  #1413 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 10:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lyndonashmore
Quote:
frogesque wrote:
Not much to add except that it's mainstream physics that is being used to test its limits and show where the anomalies (if any) might be. Without mainstream physics we would still be playing with epicycles and burning witches.
Remember, epicycles, burning witches and the Big bang theory were 'mainstream science' at the time they were popular.
Cheers
lyndon
I don't think 'burning witches' was ever considered 'science' at all. And from what age are you writing, time traveller? BB is mainstream science and is popular.
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  #1414 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 11:40 AM
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Originally Posted by TravisM
#-o The big bang model of the universe is the most accurate theory we have for now Jerr. Present another model for the birth of the universe that matches more closely than QM and we'll talk cheese. Otherwise, by all means continue along your train of fallacies.
The statistical gyrations necessary in the renormalization processes are not constraining.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TravisM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
The probe landed less than ten seconds after the main 8 m^2 parachute was cut and the small parachute deployed 20+/-5 minutes after entry.

The probe landed within twenty meters of where the heat shield first hit the ground, which was deployed when the probe was less than 30 meters from the surface. The heat shield bounced a few times, once striking the probe, then rolled and wobbled to a stop like a spinning coin.

The atmosphere is has a density distribution that is consistent with a moon or planet with a mean density of ~4.47g/cc^2. This means the high altitude gases are much thinner, relative to the gas pressure on the surface of the moon.

The probe deployed the main parachute at an altitude of less than 60 km, most likely less than 25 km, and possibly as low as 5 km (I once said, 2 km, but I was thinking in Texan kilometers)
Is this your final answer? I'll keep a copy for April 15th. 8)
No, in fact I am going to change it to answer Omicron’s points. Stubbornly clinging to a theory that is not supported by facts in evidence has zero scientific merit.
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  #1415 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 11:50 AM
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No, in fact I am going to change it to answer Omicron’s points. Stubbornly clinging to a theory that is not supported by facts in evidence has zero scientific merit.
Do you mean, you finally accept that you were wrong and that the orbital mechanics used to get Huygens to Titan was accurate and correct?
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  #1416 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 12:12 PM
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Originally Posted by Baloo

So you're an expert in geology, astronomy, spectrometry, meteorology...?
Anyway I must remind you're the only one seeing a heatshield impact crater in those pictures. And volcanoes. And as it was already pointed several times the Huygens instruments don't work when the heatshield is still in place. So make up you're mind: you don't use any of Huygens data until it reached the ground (because it has the heatshield and therefore it couldn't acquire any data) or you admit that the heatshield has been ejected earlier.
Don't forget anthropology, the roots of this thread are deeply ingrained in philosophy. To even pretend to be a cosmologist requires a very broad background. I don't claim to be an expert in any of these fields, (including astronomy). But I can read and comprehend, ask questions and draw conclusions.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
If so why after Huygens landed (therefore no Doppler shift) Cassini didn't receive the A channel?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Good point! Missed this - Yes, it does seem unlikely that anything was received on the A channel, so they really did fail to switch it on...
That was a easy one to spot, and it was soooo obvious. 8)

...not if the parachute became entangled in the transmitter...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Lunatik’s discovery of the correlation of rotational velocities with energy emission is very important, and I hope that in the long term, he is credited with this observation.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Discovery? Huh, check this one out :wink: :
I predict that the distance between any planet in the solar system and Sun is given by the following equation:

d=0.4+0.3*(2^n) where n=0,1,2...

So, the results are:
0.4 0.7 1 1.6 2.8 5.2 10 19.6 38.8

(I've obtained 0.4 by neglecting the second term the eq. above...I can do it, is my* theory after all 8) )

As you may see these are the exact distances (in AU) for 8 planets. Neptun is obviously an experimental error and shouldn't be there...anyway it is known that is switching places with Pluto :P )
Also I predict that something must be at 2.8 AU...and yes, we do have an asteroid belt. Now I'm waiting my invitation for a trip in Sweden :^o
Unfortunately the 1st proponent of continental drift died before his theories were seriously investigated, and turned out to be correct. If Einstein would not have pew poowed the evidence as coincidental and immaterial, the supportive data may have been collected in his lifetime.

The jury is still out on Bode's law, which is more or less what you described, and also Luny's ratios - they may both be coincidental, but until someone has a good explanation for why the Earth is emitting gamma rays, Luny, Bode, and Jerry are still in the running. (if you check out the gravity behaving badly thread, I did predict that the rotation of planets would cause radiation...or was that this or some other thread?)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
..."Gee, here is the code switching on channel B, I wonder why there isn't any code written to turn on channel A.
I don't buy it.
Ah, yes...well, everything could be "explained" involving a conspiracy. Now NASA and ESA are covering something, aren't they?
Let me tell you another story,

When the Challenger exploded, about a minute after launch, it was close to two weeks before the public had a clue what had happened. But the engineers knew, or thought that they knew, almost immediately. A near-miss had occurred on a shuttle flight one year earlier: The O-rings had charred, and there was clear evidence of an out-gassing leak when the shuttle launched that quickly sealed itself.

It wasn’t long before an enquiry was launched, with no one other than Richard Feynman as the chairman. Everyone old enough to have watched the inquiry should remember Feynman dipping pieces of O-ring into something very cold, and everyone is satisfied this is the root cause of the Challenger, right? Wrong. The answer is only half right.

Why did the leak seal itself, and stay sealed in the earlier flight, but not the later one? Just behind the O-rings there was a second level of defense, a material usually used as a vacuum putty, but shuttle engineers were using it like fix-a-flat: This putty would flow into any gaps in the O-rings, providing a secondary seal. Why didn’t it work the second time? Because during that year, an asbestos-filled putty had been replaced by a non-asbestos filled putty. The stress capacity of the non-fiborous putty under pressure was not nearly as great the asbestos filled putty.

So why wasn’t this second failure included in the Feynmen report? Lies? Conspiracy? Cover up? None of the above. Nobody ask the right questions. The engineers fixed the problem, just like the o rings, but nobody stepped forward and said, “Ah, we goofed up two or three more times”.

ESA principles told us the A channel was not switched on when they were tired and confused, and before anyone had time to conduct a rigorous review of the software. Nobody is going to step up to the plate and volunteer “we screwed up twice”, unless we keep asking the right questions.

Edit: Gamma ray source
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  #1417 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 01:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Jerry
...not if the parachute became entangled in the transmitter...
Didn't channel A and B use both the same antenna? (maybe someone with a better knowledge of Huygens comm system could clarify that). So a malfunction of the antenna would affect all the data, not only one channel. And I think both transmitters were inside Huygens, I don't see how the parachute could affect them...

Quote:
The jury is still out on Bode's law, which is more or less what you described, and also Luny's ratios - they may both be coincidental...
They're not coincidental, simply these are the facts. And every good theory should explain them. But your (and Lunatik) approach is different: you try to fit the facts in your theory.

Quote:
Unfortunately the 1st proponent of continental drift died before his theories were seriously investigated, and turned out to be correct. If Einstein would not have pew poowed the evidence as coincidental and immaterial, the supportive data may have been collected in his lifetime.
Maybe, maybe not; collecting some data depends not only on the good willing of some people but also on the technical resources available. So when the data has become available and proven to be right the theory has been accepted. The problem is that the data provided by Huygens and Cassini confirmed Newton theory, not yours. Even the fact that Cassini has reached Saturn proved Newton to be right.

Now, it seems that you believe that for scientists the mainstream theories are a kind of religion and peoples like Einstein are demi-gods and nobody dare to contest what they are saying. Although is true that some scientists had (and still have) a great influence outside their field, I recall you that Einstein was against some aspects in the quantum theory, but the rest of scientific comunity has accepted this theory as the best suited to the observed phenomena at that time.

I think the main negative point in your theory is not the theory itself, but the way you're claiming that Einstein and Newton are wrong. Of course Newton is wrong; we all know that there are things that his theory fails to explain. The same for GR. All these theories are approximations having a certain degree of precision, but the fact that, above this error threshold, those theories are correct is proven every second: your computer, the satellites communications, your car, your watch...all are based on these old mainstream theories. It is important to know the limits of our theories, but to accept a new one takes more than just saying "the old ones are wrong". We already know they're wrong. :wink:


Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
So make up you're mind: you don't use any of Huygens data until it reached the ground (because it has the heatshield and therefore it couldn't acquire any data) or you admit that the heatshield has been ejected earlier.
Please tell me which one of the two possibilities above you choose.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
...the Earth is emitting gamma rays...
Source, please? I'm not aware of this one so I'd like to see some articles about it.


Quote:
So why wasn’t this second failure included in the Feynmen report? Lies? Conspiracy? Cover up? None of the above. Nobody ask the right questions. The engineers fixed the problem, just like the o rings, but nobody stepped forward and said, “Ah, we goofed up two or three more times”.

ESA principles told us the A channel was not switched on when they were tired and confused, and before anyone had time to conduct a rigorous review of the software. Nobody is going to step up to the plate and volunteer “we screwed up twice”, unless we keep asking the right questions.

So you're saying that maybe it was another error in Huygens software? How is this support you're theory?
If not and you're saying that some unknown effect is to blame for channel A loss, then why cover it, since this could be itself a bigger discovery than the entire Huygens mission?
[/b]
  #1418 (permalink)  
Old 04-April-2005, 09:19 PM
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Originally Posted by Jerry
[Snip!]Don't forget anthropology, the roots of this thread are deeply ingrained in philosophy.[Snip!]
Well, that probably explains why this thread has spun on for 57 pages! #-o Despite the fact that Huygens made it through 4 interplanetary flybys, and numerous flybys of Saturnian moons before landing in one piece and functioning long enough to send back a treasure-trove of data and pictures.

No evidence for Titan being significantly more massive than we thought, no clean evidence for any new gravitational theory. I say no clean evidence because all 57 of these pages have been turning on things that happened in an atmosphere that we have never really experienced until now. The shear unpredictability of atmospheric effects precludes us from saying anything detailed about deviations from Newtonian gravity, let alone general relativistic theories.
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  #1419 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 12:34 AM
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Originally Posted by Celestial Mechanic
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
[Snip!]Don't forget anthropology, the roots of this thread are deeply ingrained in philosophy.[Snip!]
Well, that probably explains why this thread has spun on for 57 pages! #-o
Ahm, the scientific method, scientific theory, scientific research, all fall under the greater umbrella of anthropology and philosophy.

While it is true that it is difficult to seperate atmospheric effects from other forces, the peculiarities associated with Huygens descent cannot, at this time, be written of as atmospheric. For example, if the optical density was 40 rather than 20, it could be reasonable to assume there is a high amount of dust and/or organic vapors in the atmosphere. However, an optical density of less than two means the expected amount of scattering, due to the expected density of the nitrogen layers, was much less than the physical model predicted.

I am only aware of two phenomenon that could have resulted in this occurrence: Either the upper atmosphere is much less dense than predicted relative to density near the surface, and therefore the gravitational pull hold the atmosphere more tightly, or there is some type of Fressnel lensing focusing and gathering light - not likely.

Anyone else care to explain this?
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  #1420 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 01:03 AM
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Originally Posted by Baloo
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Originally Posted by Jerry
...not if the parachute became entangled in the transmitter...
Didn't channel A and B use both the same antenna?
(maybe someone with a better knowledge of Huygens comm system could clarify that). So a malfunction of the antenna would affect all the data, not only one channel. And I think both transmitters were inside Huygens, I don't see how the parachute could affect them...
It is my understanding there are two circularly polarized antenna - I don’t think the parachute covering one of them would decimate the sound, but it was one of the concerns raised during the design.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Quote:
The jury is still out on Bode's law, which is more or less what you described, and also Luny's ratios - they may both be coincidental...
They're not coincidental, simply these are the facts. And every good theory should explain them. But your (and Lunatik) approach is different: you try to fit the facts in your theory.
I’ve tried to make some predictions, but the only reason for having a theory in the first place is because the observed data do not match other people’s predictions.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Quote:
Unfortunately the 1st proponent of continental drift died before his theories were seriously investigated, and turned out to be correct. If Einstein would not have pew poowed the evidence as coincidental and immaterial, the supportive data may have been collected in his lifetime.
Maybe, maybe not; collecting some data depends not only on the good willing of some people but also on the technical resources available. So when the data has become available and proven to be right the theory has been accepted.
Add somewhere between a two hundred year and a twenty month time delay and yes, we hope the new theory is better than the old one. But the fact that a new theory is more consistent with the data does not make it correct, not even more correct than the old theory - it could be worse, and I think General Relativity is worse: it is misleading.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
The problem is that the data provided by Huygens and Cassini confirmed Newton theory, not yours. Even the fact that Cassini has reached Saturn proved Newton to be right.
Wrong! Completely wrong! The data released to date are much more ambiguous that you suggest. Crater depth, temperature, “Wild oscillations” during descent, optical density, and the peculiar images are more in line with my predictions than the expected data: or as stated by a PI explaining why they were having a difficult time interpreting the data, “Nobody could have predicted this.”

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Now, it seems that you believe that for scientists the mainstream theories are a kind of religion and peoples like Einstein are demi-gods and nobody dare to contest what they are saying. Although is true that some scientists had (and still have) a great influence outside their field, I recall you that Einstein was against some aspects in the quantum theory, but the rest of scientific community has accepted this theory as the best suited to the observed phenomena at that time.
Try writing an astrophysical proposal that is non-supportive of the big bang, and see what kind of funding you can stir up.

Quote:
I think the main negative point in your theory is not the theory itself, but the way you're claiming that Einstein and Newton are wrong. Of course Newton is wrong; we all know that there are things that his theory fails to explain. The same for GR. All these theories are approximations having a certain degree of precision, but the fact that, above this error threshold, those theories are correct is proven every second: your computer, the satellites communications, your car, your watch...all are based on these old mainstream theories. It is important to know the limits of our theories, but to accept a new one takes more than just saying "the old ones are wrong". We already know they're wrong. :wink:
You are correct about currently accepted theories in general, but I think general relativity was such a bad turn it has blinded use.

General Relativity has reduced contemporary lectures about the universe to confusing analogies of rising raisin bread and dark stuff with the same physical properties as the Holy Trinity. It is nonsense!

Time dilation is not a property necessary to explain the orbit of Mercury or the displacement of stars viewed near massive objects. These observations can be explained with reasonable extensions of Maxwell’s laws and physical causality associated with the effect matter has on local space.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
So make up you're mind: you don't use any of Huygens data until it reached the ground (because it has the heatshield and therefore it couldn't acquire any data) or you admit that the heatshield has been ejected earlier.
The heat shield landed very close to Huygens - within a few meters. I don’t know when it was ejected, although it would seem more probable that it was ejected very near the ground, this would completely contradict the ESA timetable of events.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Baloo
Quote:
ESA principles told us the A channel was not switched on when they were tired and confused, and before anyone had time to conduct a rigorous review of the software. Nobody is going to step up to the plate and volunteer “we screwed up twice”, unless we keep asking the right questions.
So you're saying that maybe it was another error in Huygens software? How is this support you're theory?
If not and you're saying that some unknown effect is to blame for channel A loss, then why cover it, since this could be itself a bigger discovery than the entire Huygens mission?
I don’t think they understood what happened to the data, when they announced that channel A was lost. Here is my best guess, but it is just a guess:

Cassini was positioned to receive data from Huygens for ~2.5 hours, then Cassini turned and beamed the data to the earth. Engineers on Earth already knew Huygens had been alive for more than three hours, so they eagerly awaited and anticipate a full data package. (During that interval, Tomasko predicted Twenty full panoramic image sets from a wide range of altitudes should be received. During that period, someone also stated that “We know the Doppler Wind Experiment was a success.”)

Assume for a minute that I am correct, and the entire descent phase took only 20 minutes: So instead of getting two hours of sky, and a half hour of ground data, many of the ‘sky’ indicators - acceleration, radar, sonar, Doppler wind, started displaying zero or constant values much too soon, and the values that were there made little sense. Another possibility, is that only the first half that volume of data was transmitted before Cassini lost contact. (If Huygens fell faster, it may have rotated with the planet, out of range of Cassini, much sooner than expected.)

If you were watching the live broadcast, as I was, you could see the jaws fall as Cassini broadcast a whole bunch of numbers (possibly zeroes) that had engineers staring in disbelief. Confusion. Why was the data package half the size it should have been? The Doppler wind experiment numbers made no sense whatsoever. Could one of the channels have failed? It seemed likely, so that was what was announced.
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  #1421 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 03:32 AM
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And yes he still hasn't answered my questions how he thinks the probe wouldn't be a melting, smashed hull cratered on the surface of Titan...when we in fact know this is not the case.... :roll:

Give it up Jerry. No one in their right mind thinks you're right.
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  #1422 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 03:49 AM
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You are correct about currently accepted theories in general, but I think general relativity was such a bad turn it has blinded use. General Relativity has reduced contemporary lectures about the universe to confusing analogies of rising raisin bread and dark stuff with the same physical properties as the Holy Trinity. It is nonsense!
General relativity is not about "analogies of rising raisin bread" but about the math. You could stand to learn some of it. This is more like the kind of commentary we have gotten from oriel36, cyrek1 and Sam5 on this topic.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Time dilation is not a property necessary to explain the orbit of Mercury or the displacement of stars viewed near massive objects. These observations can be explained with reasonable extensions of Maxwell’s laws and physical causality associated with the effect matter has on local space.[Snip!]
And what is this "effect matter has on local space"? What kind of effect can matter have on space? How about altering the metric tensor by which distances and time intervals are measured? Oh, wait a minute, that's general relativity! How about changes to the permittivity and permeability of space, thereby resulting in variable c? Oh, wait a minute, those changes could also be made to the 00-component of the metric tensor. All roads lead to general relativity. My suggestion is that you curl up with a copy of Gravitation by Misner, Thorne, and Wheeler and read until you understand what general relativity is all about.
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Old 05-April-2005, 03:58 AM
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Time dilation is not a property necessary to explain the orbit of Mercury or the displacement of stars viewed near massive objects.

I'm not asking about Mercury near the weak gravity limit. I'm asking specifically about PSR B1913+16 (=J1915+1606).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
These observations can be explained with reasonable extensions of Maxwell’s laws and physical causality associated with the effect matter has on local space.
What extensions, what effects? More generalities.

Here you go Jerry, the data on PSR B1913+16 (=J1915+1606). What does your idea (or even better, use any ideas you can find, just provide the equations) to predict the time of the inspiral, how much precession per year.
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  #1424 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 06:03 AM
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Default Re: Potential Threat to the Huygens Mission

The Thread That Wouldn't Die!

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  #1425 (permalink)  
Old 05-April-2005, 08:12 AM
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