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  #1861 (permalink)  
Old 24-April-2005, 09:28 PM
Tassel Tassel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
You have already assumed you know the answers to what measuring for gravitational anomalies or inertial mass anomalies in the distant solar system will yield before we got there. Bad science.
It is obvious that you are not paying attention when you read.
It has been explained in clear terms why the experimental results show that the inertial masses have not changed and why the equivalence principle is not violated.

Why don't you start backing up your claims?
(bold mine)

Ask ESA. Or ask Nieto and Turyshev. Or ask the engineers and scientists who will be working on the probe sent out into the outer solar system to measure for these anomalous effects.
Really? The ESA is going to be testing for changes in inertial mass now? Do you have a reference for this experiment, or are you just making things up? Again.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Does anybody else out there agree with me, that we need to measure theory in the actual universe?
Yes, that's why general relativity is one of the most tested (and successful) theories of all time. I don't think anyone here is against testing anything. I'd love to see the ESA launch is probe to test gravity.

Furthermore, I believe everyone would agree that GR is incomplete. One day (hopefully), we'll have a new theory of gravity, or an improved version of GR. Experiments need to be performed to hunt this new theory down.

What you can't seem to separate is the concept of testing gravity versus the concept that your "hypothesis" may be correct. The two are not the same thing. We already know enough to know that your "hypothesis" is wrong. Just because you're wrong, doesn't mean anyone is arguing that we stop testing. Your flawed "hypothesis" does not somehow represent all continued research towards understanding gravity.

You've even acknowledged in other posts a list of (very basic) observations your "hypothesis" can't explain. The fact that it can't explain basic observations means your "hypothesis", in its current state, is wrong. The fact that you won't revise your "hypothesis" in response to observation and continue to present it as if it could be correct, is just one indicator that you are a pseudoscientist.

And I stand by my "editorial" comment:

"...pseudoscientists never revise"

"...pseudoscientists rarely revise"

And you won't revise your "hypothesis". You say "back to the drawing board", but you won't actually do it. Actions speak louder than words.
  #1862 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 12:47 AM
Tensor Tensor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tensor
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
I hate to keep beating on the same drum, but the accelerations of the Pioneer probes, taken at face value, indicate that you are wrong - exactly wrong! Our most careful, precise measurements do not agree with the theory.
Jerry, I'll ask for the fourth time: Where is your evidence that the other 6 or 7 possible reasons for the Pioneer anomaly have been definitely shown not to be the cause? Not possibly, definitely. You constantly ask us to believe your ideas based on if this or if that. Well, what if one of those other possble causes are the cause of the anamoly?
Nothing is definite. This is especially true if I have proposed it.

John Anderson has been very active in investigating possible causes - He updated his basic paper on ths subject March 10 of this year, again concluding:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Anderson
Much effort has been expended looking for possible systemic origins of the residuals, but none has been found.
Where exactly did you see that in the conclusion? You obviously missed this quote from the conclusion of the paper:

Quote:
Until more is known, we must admit that the most likely cause of this effect is an unknown systematic. (We ourselves are divided as to whether “gas leaks” or “heat” is this “most likely cause.”)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Here are some other recent references:

Quote:
The Pioneer Anomaly: The Data, its Meaning, and a Future Tests
http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/gr-qc/0411077
From the above paper:
Quote:
In conclusion, there are two main possible explanations of the origins for the detected anomalous acceleration. The first is on-board generated systematics. Dispassionately, this is the most likely cause of the anomaly, but until now the smoking gun still had not been found. The second possible origin is new physics.
What I find interesting is the major part of the paper is how to reduce the effects of the possible systematic effects and nothing about the new physics possibilities.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Search for a Standard Explanation of the Pioneer Anomaly
http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/gr-qc/0107022
Again from the conclusion of the above paper:
Quote:
To further quote from ourselves,1 “... we anticipate that, given our
Search for a Standard Explanation of the Pioneer Anomaly analysis of the Pioneers, in the future precision orbital analysis may concentrate more on systematics.”
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
A Mission to Test the Pioneer Anomaly
http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/gr-qc/0205059
From the paper:
Quote:
If, as is probably the case, the anomaly is due to some systematic,
understanding this will greatly aid future mission design and navigational programs.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Pioneer Anomaly and the Helicity-Rotation Coupling
http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/gr-qc/0306024
Ok, this possibly eliminates one of the proposed mechanisms.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Lessons Learned from the Pioneers 10/11 for a Mission to Test the Pioneer Anomaly
http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/gr-qc/0409117
Ahhhh, Jerry, you do realize that this paper is an almost exact copy of the first paper, by three of the same authors, submitted about 2 years after the first paper? And it’s conclusions are almost identical.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
The Confrontation between General Relativity and Experiment
http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/gr-qc/pdf/0103/0103036.pdf
Gee Jerry, This isn’t an extremely good reference for you, if you’re trying to show GR to be wrong.

A couple of quotes from the conclusion of that paper:
Quote:
We find that general relativity has held up under extensive experimental
scrutiny.
...
Although it is remarkable that this theory, born 80 years ago
out of almost pure thought, has managed to survive every test,
Do you even read these papers before you bring them up for references to support your ideas?

And for Lunatik, who thinks the mainsteam continues to accept and use GR blindly without testing it another quote from that paper:

Quote:
The question then arises, why bother to continue to test it? One
reason is that gravity is a fundamental interaction of nature, and as such
requires the most solid empirical underpinning we can provide.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
While I was looking, I came across this:

Quote:
Improved Test of General Relativity with Radio Doppler Data from the Cassini Spacecraft
Authors: John D. Anderson, Eunice L. Lau, Giacomo Giampieri
Comments: This paper has been withdrawn
This paper was withdrawn at the recommendation of the Cassini Radio Science Team.
I would love to know the story behind that!
Yeah, that would be interesting.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
The Pioneer Navigation is not my primary motivation: I reject the Big Bang because critical analysis of the supernova light curves does not demonstrate the expansion necessary to support time dilation. Since this is fundamental to every aspect of cosmology, a basic premise must be incorrect.
I have no problem with your previous objections to the supernova light curves. There you were making some coherent objections. But, your foray into trying into attempting to show gravity wrong, using the Cassini probe, are extremely convoluted and are explained much more simply by unknowns within Titan’s atmosphere.
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  #1863 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 01:29 AM
Lunatik Lunatik is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlesEGrant
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
So what is the verdict here? That we already know gravity cannot possibly be of such large variation, so we should not look? Bad science. :-?
Are you sure the light in your refrigerator goes out when you close the door? It did yesterday, but maybe it's changed since then? Maybe you should check all of your neighbor's refrigerators too, they might be different. Then since local measurements are the only evidence you seem to accept, you should check the fridges in Moscow, Paris, and Peroria, and ....
Is your fridge big enough to climb into, for an in situ test? Make sure you can get out again!
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  #1864 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 01:40 AM
Lunatik Lunatik is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tensor
Exactly where do I say that we should not look? I am specifically refering to your idea, which has been shown to be wrong. I (and others, as you have been shown) have no problem looking for variation if it is small enough to be within the measured limits. Trying to claim a variable g that is larger than the possible observed limits (as you have) is bad science.
And what if it is NOT within the measured limits? What then? Worse, what if my hypothesis of inertial mass cum deltaG = ~1 G per AU proves right? What then? I called it bad science because I keep hearing reasons why we should hunker down with the knowledge, GR etc., we have and continue to work with that, though it does not explain lots of anomalies, as discussed in these past 75 pages. Good science should take an interest.
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  #1865 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 01:57 AM
Lunatik Lunatik is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tassel
Really? The ESA is going to be testing for changes in inertial mass now? Do you have a reference for this experiment, or are you just making things up? Again.
They will test for whatever they need to test to see if gravity behaves the same as we had assumed, a universal constant, or not. Inertial mass plays into that too, by testing for spin with an independent probe launched from the main probe. I do not believe all this had been finalized yet, so premature to jump to conclusions, again. Bad science.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tassel
What you can't seem to separate is the concept of testing gravity versus the concept that your "hypothesis" may be correct. The two are not the same thing. We already know enough to know that your "hypothesis" is wrong. Just because you're wrong, doesn't mean anyone is arguing that we stop testing. Your flawed "hypothesis" does not somehow represent all continued research towards understanding gravity.
My hypothesis is only that a "hypothesis", a novel way to look at gravity-radiant energy interactions, whether or not you agree with it or not. It is not yet a theory, as others have pointed out, so more a spec at this time. Whether or not it is "wrong" will be discovered in due time, with tests in situ, as mentioned. For you to insist that my hypothesis is already theory, untestable, or wrong up front to me is "pseudo-science".

Before I begin to revise my "hypothesis", how about if we get some data first? I used stock equations to come up with a planet orbit Energy curve, the consequent proton mass converted into Newton's G, which plots on a line. Do I have to worry? Not so much. I want data first before I start tampering with this idea. Tests will show whether or not it is good science. Not tests on Earth at 1 AU, but tests out there. Insistance that it is somehow "wrong" a priori because GR has the answers is "pseudo-science", and bad science.
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  #1866 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 02:16 AM
Lunatik Lunatik is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik

This means, not being a professional scientist, I am an 'amateur scientist' instead.
And you refuse to listen to professional scientists.
So what are you saying? Professional scientists cannot be wrong? Amateurs are of necessity wrong? Were you there when they argued why the Earth has to be at the center of the universe, with the Sun going around, along with the rest of the heavenly host? On what premises were built their arguments? Ptolemeic epicycles? Were you there when Galileo had to retract his statments that he saw mountains on the Moon? Or when Bruno was burned at the stake in Rome for saying that the universe is infinite, with many worlds, and that there may be people on them? Has the dogma of the past hundred years become so strong that to challenge it means persecution, cut off funding, bypassed promotions or dismissals? But you may be there when they announce that there is an inherent flaw in Relativity's first postulate. Even professionals can make mistakes, if the basic premise on which the whole theory is base has an error in it. That's what testing is supposed to do, not confirm over and over again how Einstein was right, but test for why there is evidence that perhaps he was wrong. No, not my "theory" to be proven right, but any hypothesis to be tested in a non-circular-reasoning way. What are the double blind tests for gravity? What are they for distant locations on site? Nothing against professionals, mind you, but because they had achieved a lauded status does not absolve them from error. A title does not suspend reason.
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  #1867 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 02:22 AM
CharlesEGrant CharlesEGrant is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
I used stock equations to come up with a planet orbit Energy curve, the consequent proton mass converted into Newton's G, which plots on a line.
No you didn't. This has been one of the criticisims of your hypothesis from your first post. You conflated the de'Broglie and Compton wavelengths and pasted together random bits of equations without seeming to understand them at all.
  #1868 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 03:10 AM
Tensor Tensor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tensor
Exactly where do I say that we should not look? I am specifically refering to your idea, which has been shown to be wrong. I (and others, as you have been shown) have no problem looking for variation if it is small enough to be within the measured limits. Trying to claim a variable g that is larger than the possible observed limits (as you have) is bad science.

And what if it is NOT within the measured limits? What then?
So now you claim our observations are wrong? Listen, none of the tests say the g can't be variable, just there is a limit on the variability...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Worse, what if my hypothesis of inertial mass cum deltaG = ~1 G per AU proves right?
...and that variablity is smaller than the variability in g in your idea. So your idea can't be right. Other variable g theories may be.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
What then? I called it bad science because I keep hearing reasons why we should hunker down with the knowledge, GR etc., we have and continue to work with that,
Huh? Have you looked at any of the references given to you? None of them advocate not testing to smaller limits, many of them, in fact, advocate new tests. Not to mention we already know GR is not the end all be all. We know if fails when used at extremely small scales. That's why so much work is being done with Quantum Loop Gravity and Superstring Theory. You want us to use an idea that has yet to make any kind of prediction that matches our observations.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
though it does not explain lots of anomalies, as discussed in these past 75 pages.
So your saying we should have thrown out QM in the 20s and 30s. After all, there were anomalies in the calculations due to missing energy. Oh, wait, the proposal for the missing energy was neutrinos. Not to mention, the people who wanted to get rid of Netownian gravity in the early 1800s because Uranus wasn't where it was supposed to be. Oh, wait, that dark matter was found too, it's called Neptune.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Good science should take an interest.
It does take an interest and is working on it. What good science is not is pushing an idea that has already been shown to be wrong.
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  #1869 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 03:52 AM
Aerich Aerich is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerich
If I were designing the circuit and/or code which performs impact sensing using ACC-E data, I'd surely include a register or variable to store the current time when my system decided that an impact had happened. Cheap, easy to do, and an obviously desirable feature. (And yes, I can design that kind of thing, though I have never worked on space hardware, alas.)
Never underestimate the ignorance of experts - The block diagram shows the signal being stuffed into a buffer, but not a time stamp. There is no mention in the text of a time stamp, even though there were triple-redundant timers in the system.
The document is a very general overview of the system, not a detailed design specification. It does not surprise me that such details were left out of it.

Quote:
I get to assume that there was not a time stamp because it is the only way I can explain the data.
Why should you get to assume that? I don't see any justification for it.

Quote:
Quote:
But aside from all that, your basic story (that impact happened early, and noone on the Huygens team has the slightest clue) borders on the ludicrous. The table on page 193 (PDF page 17) shows that the internal accelerometer (ACC-I) and tilt (TIL) sensors are both sampled continuously throughout the portions of the descent where you claim an unexpected impact happened. It strikes me as unlikely in the extreme that the Huygens scientists could fail to notice an impact event on these sensors. And they'd know when it happened too.
The ACC-I accelerometer data was only stored a sample rate of 1cps during the descent portion of the mission (modes 1-3). If I am correct, yes there may be a small blip in this data at 20 minutes, just seconds after the 3 meter parachute is deployed. That blip could easily be missed.

The tilt meter is another story: If I am correct, it should display a constant value for the last ~hour of the aerial descent, and it should be the same as any tilt recorded after landing. This is a very good - perhaps the best - test of my hypothesis.
Are you willing to concede that you're wrong if the tilt sensor data does not match your descent theory?

Quote:
Is this why the Descent profiling team characterized the descent after the tropopause as being surprisingly calm? Is this why they find the optical images so confusing?
No. They said surprisingly calm, not stopped altogether. (Which would be quite obvious on the tilt sensor. Just read a document which said it has 0.5 degree accuracy. With that level of accuracy it ought to be quite capable of discriminating flight from rest on the ground.)

Quote:
It is clear from the design of the mission no one imagined anything more or less than perfectly Newtonian gravimetric forces. Not even dark matter.
Why should they have imagined crazy theories of gravity which match no known data? We've got a pretty long history of navigating successfully in space using Newtonian physics (which we KNOW is incorrect, but we also know it's correct enough for interplanetary flight purposes).

(For that matter (ahem), why bring in dark matter? AFAIK, dark matter theories still have gravity working the same way. They just posit matter which we haven't observed to account for the behavior of the known universe. So far as I know, no part of dark matter theory would predict an impact on the navigation of spacecraft like Cassini or Huygens.)
  #1870 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 07:37 AM
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Maksutov Maksutov is offline
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Default Re: Potential Threat to the Huygens Mission

Aerich,

All your points are valid. But you're speaking to the deaf, it would appear.

Case in point: consider this post by R.A.F. from way back on December 12, 2004.

Quote:
Originally Posted by R.A.F.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Evan
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
The good news is, Huygen could be landing on a moon that is three times lighter rather than three times heavier
What??? That statement is just plain ridiculous.
Agreed. It also demonstrates a basic misunderstanding about how science "works". Planetary bodies are not lighter of heavier...that implies weight. Scientists do not "weigh" these objects...they determine their mass. Weight and mass are 2 different things. I'm surprised that Jerry didn't know that.
Now this is a prime example of how Jerry just bobs and weaves whenever objective evidence is presented to him. In his original post, he claimed

Quote:
If these predictions are correct, the actual density of Titan is ~ 4.42g/cc, more than twice the current theoretical value (1.88g/cc)
Contrast this with his statement in the above quote (ignoring the lack of knowledge of the difference between two basic physical units, of course).

Since the successful completion of the mission in January, all he's been doing is the same bobbing and weaving, only now around various misinterpreted details (significantly, inside Titan's atmosphere and having nothing to do with mass or gravity) of that same successful mission.

What a remarkable waste of 75 BABB pages and a lot of good, scientific posters' time!!
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  #1871 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 07:50 AM
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Jerry Jerry is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerich
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerich
If I were designing the circuit and/or code which performs impact sensing using ACC-E data, I'd surely include a register or variable to store the current time when my system decided that an impact had happened. Cheap, easy to do, and an obviously desirable feature. (And yes, I can design that kind of thing, though I have never worked on space hardware, alas.)
Never underestimate the ignorance of experts - The block diagram shows the signal being stuffed into a buffer, but not a time stamp. There is no mention in the text of a time stamp, even though there were triple-redundant timers in the system.
The document is a very general overview of the system, not a detailed design specification. It does not surprise me that such details were left out of it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jerry
I get to assume that there was not a time stamp because it is the only way I can explain the data.
Why should you get to assume that? I don't see any justification for it.
If you were designing the system, wouldn't you make sure that the receiver was capable of receiving the signal within the expected bandwidth? Wouldn't you include in the program a command to turn the receiver on?

In a court of law, if the defense can present a scenario that is just as plausible as the government's case, but exhonerates the defendant, the judge must give the defenses reasoning equal weight, and throw the case out.

I think it is plausible that there were multiple oversights in the design of the electronics and soft logic in the Huygens system. Too many cooks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerich
Are you willing to concede that you're wrong if the tilt sensor data does not match your descent theory?
Tough question. I cannot completely rule out a scene where the probe slowly drifted at low altitudes for more than an hour - although we have been told that the timer function would have jettisoned the 8 m parachute in twenty minutes, regardless of how confusing the accelerometer data is.

If Huygens landed on a rock and sat and wobbled, it would be obvious in the images. I don't see how the tilt sensor could indicate any activity after more than 25 minutes...

But let's look at all the sensors - I would hate to throw out a perfectly good theory, just because the tilt indicator wasn't screwed down properly - I've played pinball games that would tilt if you breathed too heavy.

The temperature sensors are on the 'top hat', (which is really on the bottom) of the probe. As soon as the heat shield is popped off, the probes are exposed directly to the Titan atmosphere- So there is no way on Titan that temperature readings more than ~15 minutes into the mission should have been reported at 25C. I think this is pretty darn good evidence that the heat shield was still in place, long after it should have fallen on a completely different trajectory.
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  #1872 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 08:13 AM
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Jerry Jerry is offline
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Default Re: Potential Threat to the Huygens Mission

Quote:
Originally Posted by Maksutov
Aerich,

All your points are valid. But you're speaking to the deaf, it would appear.

Case in point: consider this post by R.A.F. from way back on December 12, 2004.

Quote:
Originally Posted by R.A.F.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Evan
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerry
The good news is, Huygen could be landing on a moon that is three times lighter rather than three times heavier
What??? That statement is just plain ridiculous.
Agreed. It also demonstrates a basic misunderstanding about how science "works". Planetary bodies are not lighter of heavier...that implies weight. Scientists do not "weigh" these objects...they determine their mass. Weight and mass are 2 different things. I'm surprised that Jerry didn't know that...
Good grief Maktosuv, this was a joke! I was making light of the fact that I often transpose numbers - this has already been explained by others.

...And scientist weigh things all the time: I have written a hundred procedures that say "Weigh 0.2 grams of..."

Lighten up!, this is an astronomy board! We're all up in the night!

Edit : wrong mass
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  #1873 (permalink)  
Old 25-April-2005, 08:59 AM
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Fram Fram is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lunatik

This means, not being a professional scientist, I am an 'amateur scientist' instead.
And you refuse to listen to professional scientists.
So what are you saying? Professional scientists cannot be wrong? Amateurs are of necessity wrong? Were you there when they argued why the Earth has to be at the center of the universe, with the Sun going around, along with the rest of the heavenly host? On what premises were built their arguments? Ptolemeic epicycles? Were you there when Galileo had to retract his statments that he saw mountains on the Moon? Or when Bruno was burned at the stake in Rome for saying that the universe is infinite, with many worlds, and that there may be people on them? Has the dogma of the past hundred years become so strong that to challenge it means persecution, cut off funding, bypassed promotions or dismissals? But you may be there when they announce that there is an inherent flaw in Relativity's first postulate. Even professionals can make mistakes, if the basic premise on which the whole theory is base has an error in it. That's what testing is supposed to do, not confirm over and over again how Einstein was right, but test for why there is evidence that perhaps he was wrong. No, not my "theory" to be proven right, but any hypothesis to be tested in a non-circular-reasoning way. What are the double blind tests for gravity? What are they for distant locations on site? Nothing against professionals, mind you, but because they had achieved a lauded status does not absolve them from error. A title does not suspend reason.
Cool down, Lunatik... You are reading way too much in papageno's statement.
Professional scientists aren't always right, but you treat them like they are always wrong. Some of your errors have been pointed out to you again and again with arguments, not purely on authority, but you keep on going on.
You have stated repeatedly that you feel that any hypothesis (I assume especially yours) should be tested. But we have tested yours already: we have checked if your hypothesis matches the observations, and while it can perhaps (ignoring the math problems for a moment) explain a few observations (Pioneer anomalies), it fails miserably to explain most other observations. So your hypothesis is wrong and doesn't need further testing, certainly not the expensive testing you're asking for.
What needs to be done is to either abandon your hypothesis (which would be the smartest thing), or to adjust it to reality.
If a hypothesis would contradict only a few observations, then you can consider if those observations may be wrong or so. If a hypothesis contradicts almost all observations, then it is wrong. This has nothing to do with professional or amateur being better or worse, this has only to do with reality and knowing ones limitations.
Scientists don't belief blinly in their theories, no matter how often they have been shown to be correct. That's way there are going to be tests of gravity in outer space. But they are going to test possibilities, not the impossible hypothesis you propose.
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