Chatroom
 

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages, select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.

Go Back   Bad Astronomy and Universe Today Forum > Space and Astronomy > Against the Mainstream
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Mark Forums Read

Closed Thread
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Display Modes
  #31 (permalink)  
Old 29-March-2005, 02:53 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050329

http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/Forum/p....php?p=396#396
  #32 (permalink)  
Old 23-May-2005, 02:45 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default SUM er "Active" Quake season05


2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 /
2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM
2453558 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 7 6
2453560 APOGEE 406355 KM
2453572 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 7 20 /
2453573 PERIGEE 357197 KM
2453587 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 8 4
2453588 APOGEE 406612 KM
2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
2453615 APOGEE 406231 KM
2453617 NEW MOON DATE: 2005 9 3
2453630 PERIGEE 360413 KM
2453631 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 9 17 \

lemme say "FULL" and move along
the "SYNC" date =JD2453602 when Moon=Full & at Perigee (comprenda)?
Usually an active season is considered to be three Months (90) days
Howvere on occasion it strings out for Four? (this May be one of those)
SO: in June begin to place your precious CHINA in ballanced position
Fine details later as THOSE enter your sceene {now back to Px}

  #33 (permalink)  
Old 25-May-2005, 02:44 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050525

2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 /
2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM
  #34 (permalink)  
Old 26-May-2005, 03:03 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050526

once the SYNC date has been found {prior 2 posts}
then the fine structure is superinposed over that as outlined below
DETAILS [or fine structure}

================================================== ===using: ~"
so a theoritical Season's of "Applause"(s) more like the following:
===7======7=======7======7=======7======7== Earths 2nd GW harmonic
==c-c====c-c=====c-c====c-c=====c-c====c-c==(aproach & depart Clap)
===<==14==>=======<==14==>=======<==14==> === 14&3/4 day GW Primary
/====29=====1/4=====29=====1/4=====29=====1/4Moon {3 Moons(Months)}
|=Applause|Lull|=Applause|Lull|=Applause| aka(A TWO LULL) Season (of)
"::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::: ::::::::::::::::


its difficult to get it all to align properly without HTML ?

the 1st fine point is the SYNC date to get position the fine structure OVER

2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
USING THIS data {2 post prior} the "PRIMO" date is 8/19

Full moon occurs ?"about"? 7 days after 1st1/4
  #35 (permalink)  
Old 27-May-2005, 02:52 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050527

"Working out" the fine details
/===July====?/?====Aug===?/?====Sept?
====1/4====29====1/4====29=====1/4====29 Moon {3 Moons(Months)}
3 6 9 2 5 8F1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5 8F1 4 7 0 3 6 9 2 5F8 1 4 7 0

---------------------------

in other WORDS the ?"{ACTIVE}"? Full Moon occurs about SEVEN(7)
days after the Quarter or about 5 days after LULL@1st1/4

=====
Quakes ARE NOT 4cast in this methode by the fine detail HERE
provided today.. but ::"ARE"?? 4CAST {by super fine details} Later

::::::
the Main points 1.Active season approacheth 2. ON FULL Moon Cycle
3: Main event is Augest 4? it may be a four applause season

?????
4 applause seasons ore the exception NOT THE RULE, they do happen
and thus June may very well be an ACTIVE QUAKE Month?

//tilt\\ stay tuned if U like .. or ignor's fine2 (superFINE) next week Maybe
  #36 (permalink)  
Old 31-May-2005, 03:49 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default SUPERfine 20050531

2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 <
2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM

Begin over on the "MAIN SYNC DATE"
When Perigee?=Full Moon
TBC count back and forward 3 days = 8/16 8/22
that Quake pair should be the Main event of the active season
  #37 (permalink)  
Old 07-June-2005, 04:03 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050607

2453543 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 6 21 / 2453545 PERIGEE 359696 KM
2453572 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 7 20 / 2453573 PERIGEE 357197 KM
2453602 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 8 19 < 2453602 PERIGEE 357417 KM
2453631 FULL MOON DATE: 2005 9 17 \ 2453630 PERIGEE 360413 KM
------------------
reCALL: these are Sync Numbers {not detail} for detail add and subtract 3
so the MAIN WATCH = 6/18 & 6/24 : 7/17 & 7/23 : 8/16 & 8/22 : 9/14 & 9/20
====
THUS the main "Central Applause" DATES
REMember an "Active" Season is at least 3 Months {90 days}
THIS time it may well be 4 Months {rare but know} {120d}
:::::
see super fine details
for example 6/21-14.75=6/6+/-3=6/3&6/9 ?/?
7/20-14.75=7/5+/-3=7/2&8
8/19-14.75=8/4+/-3=8/1&7
9/17-14.75=9/2+/-3=8/30&9/5
????????????? so?
6/3.6/9.:.6/18.6/24..:..7/2.7/8.:.7/17.7/23..:..8/1.8/7.:.816.8/22..:..8/30.9/5.:.9/14.9/20
{ -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }{ -----Applause----- }
possibly 4 applauses (16to20 main DAYs {of which abou 70%80%} r4CAST4}) 5.6's or better at least 3 6's etcso I begin My Search 20050608 7:37AM PDT
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html
  #38 (permalink)  
Old 08-June-2005, 02:41 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050608

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html

6/3.. 6.1 2005/06/04 14:50:49 -6.334 146.817 43.7 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
6/9.. 6.3 2005/06/08 06:28:12 2.178 96.695 28.4 SIMEULUE, INDONESIA
"""" "5.9 2005/06/09 14:00:50 51.597 -131.102 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
" """"5.4 2005/06/09 14:00:50 51.582 -131.136 10.0 QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION {note the 1d Mag Change }



6.0 2005/06/12 19:26:25 -56.276 -27.007 94.4 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
6.0 2005/06/13 07:02:37 2.108 126.674 35.8 MOLUCCA SEA
7.8 2005/06/13 22:44:33 -19.895 -69.125 108.4 TARAPACA, CHILE
6.8 2005/06/14 17:10:17 51.309 179.413 51.7 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
7.2 2005/06/15 02:50:54 41.328 -125.868 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFOR {depth in KILOmeters= 10.0} Off the Co
6.3 2005/06/15 10:13:59 -4.602 153.119 76.2 NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINE
6.5 2005/06/15 19:52:24 -44.975 -80.568 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF AISEN, CHILE


6.7 2005/06/17 06:21:42 40.758 -126.595 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
6/18.
6/24.

7/2..
7/8..

7/17.
7/23.

8/1..
8/7..

8/16.
8/22.

8/30.
9/5..

9/14.
9/20.

file check dates 6/ 8 9 10

  #39 (permalink)  
Old 09-June-2005, 02:51 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050609 Moving along anyway

to? http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html

as a filter to some of the "NOISE"

link?} http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/0609hood.jpg
7:36am PDT 20050610 note? ---|||=:--- bottom line (probably){A Go_Mint}dT's
8:18 {Math Lab Closed till Sum/Term} Thus:: QUEEN CHARLOTTE IS
PLUS hood, Flag Point { no i dont know where Flag Point Is }?
I would expect "Off The OREGON Coast" on BBC at 5:55AM PDT {Soon}?

VFP SHZ UW : Flag Pt. Mount Hood, OR http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/

7:42 6/10 http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html
7:44 http://www.pnsn.org/WEBICORDER/PNSN/...005060912.html

anyway? compare/contrast the strange 8--line{Green} signal at several sites
{BLACK LINE dT} = .3Min & .5Min Green Line {"DELAY"} 11 Min? +{Humm}?
dT's Date Time STAMPED
  #40 (permalink)  
Old 15-June-2005, 04:12 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050615


%% 6:07 AM 6/15/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} {hmm?}?
Well? I cannot find my file with the 5:55 in it...
So I'll fake someWHAT?/ at 5:50 AM PDT on the BBC
bradcast {CH10 OPB} (Oregon Public Broadcast) THEY?
reported a 7.1 Quake in california... (no report of)?
--------------
For my part from memory? I do not recall my 4cast
DATE NUMBERS... there were 6's as i recall at this
time? Maybe a Six/Nine{6/9} but i'll have to recheck
once i get online {if I get online} (HMM2) IN THE
meantime i'll look at the Moon?/? 1st1/4=01:24UTC 6/15
=============
So it would be my guess, the 5:50 Blurb was a parity on
Lull@1st1/4 {due in 48 hours & 48 mili Second2} air?
I would not 'poise that the .1 {string} would be maintained
IF this is a buck back tail.. but that like all good NEws
(North East wEST sOUTH) aid would drift right B4 touch down2
:::::::::::::::::
in the following paragraph {below ??} i'll attempt to find the
4CAST4 these TVized cover... of this tails.. IF I can find 'EM
I'll appologize for not paying attention to this silliness My
own self ... as 7.'s simply are to small to attract my attention
{apearently}? anyway?: i've nothing further {see .2? below ??}
?????????????
9:13AM PDT NH439C03 http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...=483886#483886
expect "Off The OREGON Coast" on BBC at 5:55AM PDT {Soon}?

SO there tiz? I 'poise Ca is JUST off D O Coast {BWUW}
now back to?


  #41 (permalink)  
Old 15-June-2005, 04:31 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 9:25

Ok? note the Depth: ONE ZERO point Zero So its said?
anyway? the tail today is about the LULL@1st1/4
---
thats NORMALLY Occures TWO(0) days after the first Quarter Moon
which occured on the 15th so the fine detail would suggest 6/17
==
NOTE2: the 6/16 4cast4.. is VERY close to the Lull? {to close i'd say}
anyway i'll attempt to plot the curve durring the upcomming LULL@1st1/4
:::::::
and see if U can see any LULL 4yourself
My guess IS that the Lull will occure but that the time frame may be
?????
shifted slightly
1 day Late? 6/18 ?/?
  #42 (permalink)  
Old 16-June-2005, 05:58 AM
beskeptical beskeptical is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 5,060
Default

HUb', you keep bringing this up but you have never addressed the fact the average rate and size of quakes is unchanged.
__________________
The real news, including science news corporations may not allow on stations they own. http://www.democracynow.org/
  #43 (permalink)  
Old 16-June-2005, 05:50 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050616

Quote:
Originally Posted by beskeptical
HUb', you keep bringing this up but you have never addressed the fact the average rate and size of quakes is unchanged.
Yeah? Tanks {I mean Tents} as in Second TentsI digress?
back to todays trail {Stickey}? anyway the local news paper
{called the Oregonion}( no link provided ) had a cover story yesterday
maybe only on the Earily edition? (who knows)? about a TZunomi aleart
"on the OREGON Coast" I was going to read it myself but forgot2
-----------
I guess the drift of it may have been that the Ca 7.? {whatever}
gave reason for the small town that has a system in place
(Canon Beach) to do a live test.. that possibly went sout?
========
Like i've said { ( I DID NOT read the paper ) } i only saw the
head line in the news stand (which are locked up){and require COINs to
operate} etc..
:::::::: ok back to Now 10:50 in a few minutes {ed @}?10:57 AM PDT?

map 3.9 2005/06/16 12:11:17 40.777 -126.485 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 3.5 2005/06/16 11:37:51 36.086 -120.144 15.6 CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
map 2.6 2005/06/16 08:46:16 33.500 -116.536 10.5 SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 2.7 2005/06/16 02:42:27 40.428 -125.099 0.3 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 2.9 2005/06/16 02:40:56 40.370 -125.488 2.4 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 3.6 2005/06/16 02:30:27 40.417 -125.342 5.0 OFFSHORE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 2.7 2005/06/15 20:59:51 40.443 -124.077 0.0 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 3.4 2005/06/15 13:23:01 40.798 -125.586 34.2 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 4.7 2005/06/15 07:14:12 40.905 -126.392 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 4.7 2005/06/15 06:27:06 40.823 -126.489 10.0 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 3.5 2005/06/15 04:37:10 40.837 -125.825 23.5 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
map 3.7 2005/06/15 04:17:17 40.974 -125.978 2.5 OFF THE COAST OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
so it may be that the trail {N} will change from
OFF THE to offshure { i mean shore}
  #44 (permalink)  
Old 17-June-2005, 05:16 AM
Tobin Dax's Avatar
Tobin Dax Tobin Dax is online now
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Middle of Nowhere, Kentucky
Posts: 2,498
Default

If anyone is interested, that article is here. If that doesn't work, try the front page: http://www.oregonlive.com/news/. The newspaper article seems to mostly discuss the flaws in the coastal warning system, which looked like it was being discussed in the tsunami warning thread.
Oh, and for completeness, The Oregonian is Portland's newspaper.
  #45 (permalink)  
Old 17-June-2005, 04:33 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050617

NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY in data set {June 2005}
9 ====================================
10 ===============================
11 =======================
12 ==============================
13 ========================
14 ==================================
15 ==================

CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 from data set
9 =============================================
10 ===========================================
11 ==========================
12 ======================================
13 =================================
14 ==================================================
15 ========================
-------------------------------------------------
NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY >5.55 {FROM "the" REDUCED data set}
9 =
10 =
12 ==
13 ==
14 ===
15 ===
CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {FROM data set >5.55}
9 =
10 =
12 ===
13 ====
14 ======
15 ======
NOTE2U: it seams "clear" to me / is different than \ (maybe not though)
My 4cast4 remains that i'll see a LULL@1st1/4 {maybe on the 18th}?
FROM the >5.55 ?"reduced"? data set. Probably not in the "data set"?
where I would 'poise a "Hi" number in the NUMBER of Quakes 4that day2?
i DO wish to comment on the new papers in Cramer Hall basement oK? ?/?
THIS FILE COMPLETED 4:06 PM 6/16/05 {bwuw}


%% 5:42 AM 6/17/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} (hmm)
Well1? School's scheduled to begin Monday 6/20
---
i'll try4 PH211 General Physics-Calculus CH271 11:45
TA399U NH11 W 5:30PM SPST: Understanding Mov
==
BBC today seams to be rerunning yesterdays neWS ?/?
i've no explaination? {other than preRECorded} ?????
:::::::
NOW, reconsidering: http://www.badastronomy.com/phpBB/vi...=483886#483886
its seams clear the ||| signal "following" |\ means
??
something? What i dont know? could it be avolanche's
or Rock Fall? clearly widespread? Magma? probably not?

  #46 (permalink)  
Old 17-June-2005, 04:55 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050617 9:41 AM PDT

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tobin Dax
If anyone is interested, that article is here. If that doesn't work, try the front page: http://www.oregonlive.com/news/. The newspaper article seems to mostly discuss the flaws in the coastal warning system, which looked like it was being discussed in the tsunami warning thread.
Oh, and for completeness, The Oregonian is Portland's newspaper.

WELL?
for some reason or other? I turned on the TV (YESterday) and "Field Guide" was abou 1/2 way thru ... it was about the RETREATING Glaciers?
{up on Mount Hood}? with a local PSU professor manning the Gear..
----
I thought it starange at the time but it was 1/2 way over and the next
segment was about the Three Sisters Area and the "OBSIDIAN" trail
So 4Me the plot was just thicking ... U C
=
today on my way in here NH437C03 the normal pathway {thru the park}
is blockaded with an ART FESTIVAL {lots &LOTS of white tents} Guards ...
:::
so I took an alternate route {thru Music (LH)} Cramer Sub ... on my way to the seismo.. as I entered the Basement (from the sub) who should be
opening the door to CH17 but said equipment (GEAR) handler {hmm}
???
so I delayed a bit, and then approached the seismo site.. there ? (WHERE)?
the papers are posted, about offshore (CA) was a 2guy 1 gal crew
discussing events.. So I avoided looking at the papers and moved along
QUICKLEY now South in Cramers mid hall ... and low and behold
the Wife of said Gear handler was also entering HER space {see Obsidian trail} at the time ... whoo Hi Gear so I did get here by rerouting past the
French club SMC236 {in Spanish}? it makes no sence ... Maybe I read it wrong? So yeah: Later Gater and flat 5's too.
  #47 (permalink)  
Old 17-June-2005, 07:11 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 12:08

there were 9 pages 6 of which I can find on the web (below)
I could not find the THREE that are seismograms... although I can find sesismograms
the ones I find are not as detail as the three posted in Cramers Basment


http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqsww/
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...N_America.html
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...10/235_40.html
-----
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...kes/usziae.htm ... 2005 June 15 02:50:54 UTC
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ziae_l.html
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ziae_h.html

???
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ziae_r.html
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/seismogram/2005_06_15/
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/FM/neic_ziae_q.html
  #48 (permalink)  
Old 18-June-2005, 12:08 AM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 200617 5:07PM

%% 3:51 PM 6/17/05 sqU/O^ie(A'misH {yeah? Hi Hi (HiHo)'s}
A broader discription {of the North end} (of the Central)
{North South} Cramer basement Hall {WHERE it ends)
AT the North (EAST/WEST) hall below the steps up to
CH1 etc etc (And where {just to the Right} facing North
the seismograph Drum is located behind sliding Glass doors
-----------------
Today (the :"NINE": paper pages previously describe)
{as well as i could locate them}(on the web) are taped
up to the Glass.. on the East sliding glass door panel?
========
Anyway the Seiesmic Drum (farthest West component) "DID"
have paper on it.. and did have red ink tracings from
side to side {L-R} indicating some very minor activitys
of one type or another, mostly single spikes ?/?
::::::::
next Right again facing north looking thru the glass
are two computer moniters(CRTs) the left appeared stuck
on the Mt St Hellens Web cam ... the right stopped on
(you dont have access to this page)
????????????
the Left Three papers (Landscape Format) Wider than Tall
showed the Saturated (|||:||>>-) Signal for the Hour {2}?
the middle one of those three Broke off a portion of
the leading several minutes Streched and dislayed the
Unlimited WaveForm.. the bottom(3/3) a selected portion
of 2{above} showing detail of the main (P+S} wave parts
//tilt\\
thus there were three time scales = 11 in (1/3) 24/1hr/1day
Saturated (2/3) one 1hr line showing full amplitudes (3/3) Just
the Leading few minutes {10-15}? filling an 11 inch page
beyound tilted already:
As I recall these pages were accessing the PSU seismic
Equipment {Located in the SUB_Basement} (I'll Search WEB)
  #50 (permalink)  
Old 18-June-2005, 04:02 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050618

%% 7:11 PM 6/17/05 Reg_i/o_mo {Mat_0_Mag'IC} Final Ed.
it took me a VERY LONG TIME, at last? page one of three OF NINE was found
http://seismos.geol.pdx.edu/Seismogr...2005-06-15.GIF (1/3)
----------
maybe 2 & 3 come from the raw data ... anyway thats my current guess.
I ran out of time so that download was aborted.. 21megs Slowley?/?
What took me so long? The http://www.pdx.edu web site has been changed
======
boo to THAT: I couldn't find the geology department anywhere .. and the
search crap took me to a phone NUMBER & i've no CELL PHONE.. in fact i've
NO PHONE at all.. this is a WEB medium ? Can't they leave links to dept's
::::::::::
ENOUGH: rant_N back to the North End ... So yeah, took another LOOK its
15 Minutes (3/3) (not 10) The P:S intervals not Clear ? to me anyway ?
there just seams to be an S1 S2 ?/? My chart puts P:S at around 1 min
????
and S:S2 about 1/4 of 1 {further study needed}?/? the other questions
WERE A: & B: B was a NW seismo map (R1,C2) of 3X3=9 or #4/9..
A: was penciled in{Marked up} as slip>/<strike OR S\S (4Later2}?


http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/FM/neic_ziae_q.html
hmm? well thats one of the NINE pages
when I said 1 of 3 (1/3) I ment the top Left
the papers form a 3x3 matrix (3 down 3 across)
like a tic tack to board # so the discription should be A1 I 'poise
as i recall the _q would be C2 ( third Column sencond row)
however if its i'th row j'th column (R,C) then maybe (2,3) is correct
HOPEFULLY i'll get the # labels correct SOON: HUb'
  #51 (permalink)  
Old 18-June-2005, 04:29 PM
snowcelt's Avatar
snowcelt snowcelt is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: edmonton
Posts: 970
Default

What! Are you saying that there is a possibility/probability that there will be a 5.3 plus quake in the Andreas plate about now? At about 1%,

Edit
__________________
I have grasped the bull by the tail and am lookin' 'im right in the eye.
  #52 (permalink)  
Old 20-June-2005, 02:35 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050620 Classes begin in 1/2 hr

Quote:
Originally Posted by snowcelt
What! Are you saying that there is a possibility/probability that there will be a 5.3 plus quake in the Andreas plate about now? At about 1%,

Edit

%% 1:14 PM 6/19/05 Scientific Poppy Cock {C} (Equation_1st)
t=(0:0.1:120) % 120 day (4 applause){three Lull} Summer05 Season_of
plot(t,.5+.5*sin(t/40)+abs(sin(t/4.7))+.5*cos(t/2.35)) % Long Season
----------
in this 1st approximation? its necessary to note that the ?:" SHIFT ":?
(or frequency MODULATION){Component} is left out.. The Result of the
Shift? causes the LULL@1st1/4 to be displaced from the normal 2 days after
==========
their 4: as the Lull {over a long time span} shifts eithor side of the
NORMAL 2 days after First Quarter Moon.. Any effort to sort the fft
component 14&3/4 days out.. gets washed away by the shift..
::::
HOWEVER: once the general pattern is set OVER the short term data
A picture of coincidence should be observable by those so inclined
to see such patterns emerge from what to many seams total random
??
its NOT.. link to theroized graph} http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/eq6.jpg

link to plot of ALL data_A}
LINK TO: (>5.55) data_5}
//tilt\\
THIS (event time) has Ignored SHIFT, but that shift2 is probably
possible to FORMuLATE.


%% MyAn:
t=(0:0.1:120);
plot(t,1.2+.2*sin((t)/44)+abs(sin(t/2.35))+(.07*sin((t+15)/4.7)+.45).*cos(t/1.175))
hold on
% plot(t,.05*sin((t+14)/4.7)+1.95)
title('THEROIZED Summer05 (4M)"Long" EarthQuake cycles')
text(13,1.71,' ^ ')
text(12,1.69,'6/18')
text(12,1.66,'LULL')
text(43,1.82,' ^ ')
text(42,1.79,'July')
text(42,1.76,'LULL')
text(72,1.84,' ^ ')
text(71,1.82,'Aug')
text(71,1.79,'LULL')
text(102,1.77,' ^ ')
text(100,1.75,'Sept')
text(100,1.72,'LULL')
text(19,2.10,'June')
text(19,2.07,'Full.')
text(49,2.18,'July')
text(49,2.15,'Full.')
text(79,2.18,'Aug')
text(79,2.15,'Full.')
text(108,2.11,'Sept')
text(108,2.08,'Full.')
text(28,1.75,'3/4')
text(57,1.82,'3/4')
text(87,1.80,'3/4')
text(34,2.09,'New.')
text(63,2.14,'New.')
text(94,2.10,'New.')

%% MyAn:
t=(0:1:120);
f1=(.1+sin(t/44));
f2=(sin((t+15)/4.7))+.6;
f3=.5*(cos(t/2.35))+1;
f4=4*abs(sin(t/2.35))-2.5;
f5=2*cos(t/1.175);
f6=f2+f3;
plot(t,f6.*(f4+f5))
% axis([0 60 2 10])
pause(15)
hold on
plot(t,f4+f5,'r')
plot(t,f3+f2,'g')
%plot(t,f2,'y')
plot(t,f1,'m')
%plot(t,f5,'c')



%% 6:13 AM 6/20/05 MyAn: 6CAUAC 17 ZOTZ JD2453542
Above? are two versions of .m files used in an attempt at visualization
of the current :" SUMMER05 ": "Active" Earth Quake _SEASON_
-----
THERE EXIST: many many MANY problems with BOTH: #1 Neithor deal in any way
with the ?"SHIFT"? that is to say? {the frequency modulation} of the SIN
or perhaps (the phase shift over TIME) {({ ( its SLINKEY components ) )})
====
#2 the y axis values: Those numbers between 0&2 as ploted represent in so
generalized way {inacuratly} the NUMBER &/or Cumulative Mag SUMs of EVENTS
which numbers (CS) range from ZeroS to maybe 30 or even as high as 40 ...
::::
#3 nor is the relative amplitudes of the individual components, represented
in any factual manner. but can be EASILY assumed to be quite Falce and
missleading ... NONE the LESS: these are presented as MY 1st aproximations
????
What I would hope to convay, if anything at all, is a broad generalized
pattern Which WHEN overlain on the plot of the actuall data numbers GRAPHs
by means of "constant" shiftings (Left&Right}? to achive cooralations in t.
S0 Later? #-o #-o #-o
  #53 (permalink)  
Old 21-June-2005, 03:19 PM
 
Posts: n/a
Default 20050621


NUMBER of QUAKES per DAY {in data set}
9 ====================================
10 ===============================
11 =======================
12 ==============================
13 ========================
14 ==================================
15 ============================
16 =========================
17 =======================
18 ========== { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
19 ==============
20 ==============
CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set}
9 =============================================
10 ===========================================
11 ==========================
12 ======================================
13 =================================
14 ==================================================
15 ======================================
16 ==============================
17 =============================
18 =========== { THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
19 ==================
20 ==================
NUMBER of QUAKES >5.55 per DAY {in data set}
9 =
10 =
12 ==
13 ==
14 ===
15 ====
17 =
{ THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
19 =
20 =
CUMULATIVE SUM OF MAGNITUDES per day /3 {in data set > 5.55}
9 =
10 =
12 ===
13 ====
14 ======
15 ========
17 ==
{ THIS LULL ? is the "ONE" I call :"LULL@1st1/4":
19 =
20 =
--------------D'claim'N
#1 4Me it does show up .a. YES: delayed 1 day {rather tipically
.2 U C that the data in the data set changes from day to day
B: because on the 18th it was 2.8 while it was 3.1 a change of .3
==========
note: 2self? thats a change in CUMULATIVE SUM {however its spelt}
and does not count twards finding a cause of phase shift.. AND
by phase shift (today) I mean the +1 day move in June of LULL@1st1/4
::::::::
In July? it may possibly? occure when its supposed2 (50 hours after)
the moon reaches its first Quarter (15:22utc 14 July)+50=7/16@1730
and that should be the time WHEN I look for A Lull {probably NOT}?
??????
REMember (Quite Clearly) My mythode {is not logical positivism}
(ei predicting WHEN an EarthQuake will occure) its based upon
Ill-Logical negativism ( Say as best I can ... when there WONT BE some)
//tilt\\
yeah? i feal tilted?/? what did i skip 2day? Lull occured |/ |/
data changed |/ an increase (to the right{above}) should occure
in general?/? in accordance with {but unrelated MagNitTudanally }2:

http://web.pdx.edu/~pdx00782/img5/eq6.jpg

&beyound this LIne.. So the Lulls are liNED up theory & data {at Lull}
and the general pattern is then expected to hold over a short time
frame OF (DAYS) OR {WEEKS}. the shifs move the data. So New Do 2Do
&BB
the result of shifts {over LONG time frames} Makes it inposible
using STANDARD fft's to find a fit... So: yeah? No need 2LOOK4 1
My guess (whaterver causes Shift) is about ready to reverse (July)?