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The 2012 crowd is already picking up on it.
UPI even seems to have picked up the story. Looking for opinions of the Astronomer. http://en.rian.ru/russia/20060206/43371626.html Quote:
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We need to burn more fossil fuel!
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An idea is not responsible for the people who believe in it. - Don Marquis Join the Illuminati
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Quote:
http://www.john-daly.com/solar/solar.htm http://www.john-daly.com/sun-enso/sun-enso.htm http://www.john-daly.com/topevnts.htm - and look here for other relevent pages: http://www.john-daly.com/guests.htm
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Carl Smith The land of Oz |
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A third rate theory forbids. A second rate theory explains after the fact. A first rate theory predicts. A. Lomonosov |
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This may be a case of a stopped clock being right twice a day. He may have the right results, for entirely the wrong reason.
There's concern that rising global temperatures is melting the Arctic ice. That's freshwater, which lowers the salinity of ocean water around it, which affects the water temperature, which affects water & air currents. There's good evidence that in the 1500s, a change in climate led to a major drop in temperatures throughout Europe, called the Little Ice Age. If this meltoff does happen, it could have nasty effects on today's European populace.
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"Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away." Philip K. Dick, Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep? "A lie can travel half way around the world while the truth is putting on its shoes." Mark Twain Avatar courtesy of Bunny. |
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I'd like to bump this thread because it has been up for 11 day with 216 views and 5 replies that did not address why I posted the link.
I was hoping to get some feedback on the astronomer. Is he a reputable astronomer "normally"? In other words... I'm not looking for a debate on the merits of climate change, anthropomorphic global warming, potential of anthropomorphic global cooling or even if his prediction for this "mini ice-age" has merit. (I did appreciate the links by Carl Smith to Dr Theodor Landscheidt's work at http://www.john-daly.com/) I could not find much on Khabibullo Abdusamatov of the Pulkovo Astronomic Observatory and was wondering if his name was known and what his reputation is. Maybe I should have posted this in the astronomy section, but on the chance he is not a reputable astronomer, I chose to inquire within. |
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Well my take on it all:
Where as the therory is sound, the match in those 178.5 year cycles isn't. If the Sun has a major pulsation cycle then the 11 year sunspot cycle would be at a 'harmonic' of the major one. lets say he's right for a moment but it's 176 year major cycle. This would put the the 11 year cycle at the 4th harmonic of the major. 176 / 2^4. (intrestingly enough a quadradic harmonic). This would also mean the 11 year variability only reflects a vatiation thats the same portion less then the major one. So 2% Variability... 2*2^4 or a major cycle of around 36% variability... Which obisouly is not the case, if the sun had that much variability it would be known about, and earth would not be habitable at all during the peak end. Now lets say the the 11 year cycle is the major, and the 176 year one is the harmonic. Then the long cycle would only add (or remove during the ebb) a 0.125 % increase on solar output. Not enough to cause the kind of climate changes in the models. In a pulsing body such as stars the cycles operate in harmonics, the 5 minute pulse beat of our sun is a direct harmonic of the 11 year solar cycle. If it wasn't when the pulsations clashed, stars could litterally rip thier own outer envelopes apart from the energies released during the sub sonic missmatched clashes. Which is exactly what Wolf-Ryant type stars seem to be doing.
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There is no problem that cannot be solved by a suitable application of high explosives - US Army Demolitions School I just saw Hayley's comet, she waved, Said "why you always running in place? Even the man in the moon disappeared, Somewhere in the stratosphere" - Shinedown http://worldsofothersuns.home.comcast.net/ |
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