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This is the post in which Jerry stated "early-type galaxies are intrinsically redshifted compared to other types" and "as Russell has demonstrated, breaks the degeneracy in Tully-Fisher relationships" Note the date (11 December, 2006); note the generality of the claims (there are no qualifiers in from of "early-type galaxies"). This is the Nereid post commenting on the (sweeping) Jerry claim (quoted in Jerry's post above). Note the date (11 December, 2006). How did you know, Jerry, on 8 December, what I would write three days later? - - - - - - - - - - - - More seriously, please answer the following questions about your claims: 1) How did you go from Nereid's comment on one Russell paper to your sweeping, general conclusion? 2) What - specifically - is the "degeneracy" which you claim Russell broke? 3) How many galaxies - both "early-type" and "others" - did Russell use to establish his conclusions (in any, or all, of his papers)? 4) What kinds of galaxies comprise Russell's "ScI" group? 5) How did Russell address the (possible) systematics introduced into his determination of 'intrinsic redshifts' by Bottinelli et al.'s use of both a TFR and 'distance' for determining the dust extinction within the B band for galaxies? 6) How did Russell address the (possible) systematics introduced into his conclusions by LEDA's t (morphology type), in at least three different places in the ladder leading to PV72? 7) What systematic and random errors does Russell state for the 'instrinsic redshifts' of the galaxies he studied? 8) What "kind of definition" does "Neried" insist "on seeing in any plausible alternative"? If you do not wish to provide detailed answers in this thread, to my questions 2 to 7, please do so in the More from Arp et al. thread. - - - - - - - - - I look forward to your details answers to my other questions on your claims, per post #26, #27, and #28. |
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I will pay particular attention to a clear demonstration of the degree of accuracy and rigour you apply to 'intrinsic redshift' papers, and look forward to comparing that with your claims concerning papers on the CMB and supernovae. Quote:
You have made sweeping claims concerning the nature of a Catch 22 in modern cosmology and modern astronomy. I have challenged your claims. The only substantive defence, of your claims, that you have made so far concerns gravity; I asked you for clarification. As you know Jerry, modern astronomy (astrophysics, cosmology) incorporates a great deal of quantum theory, in the form of atomic theory (emission lines, radiation pressure, and much much more), nuclear physics (stellar evolution, novae, and much much more), and the full standard model (nucleosythesis, phase changes in the early universe, UHECRs, and much much more). Yet your defence of your claims makes no mention of any of this. Why? In closing, I note that you did not answer my third question; here it is again: Quote:
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Wow, there are significant corrections needed for the assertions put forward in most of your examples. This ought to be fun! As time permits....
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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts. |
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A) The Homestake experiment found 1/3 the number of neutrinos expected from the standard solar model. B) Since the model was in good agreement with other observations (luminosity, etc) the question was whether or not the solar model was wrong or perhaps there was something wrong in our model of neutrinos. It was always possible that neutrinos have mass (especially the mu and tau) and that this would allow mixing of the flavors. It's things like this that drive science forward, Jerry. Something you don't seem to understand. C) It was known at the time (60's) that there was a second flavor of neutrino, the mu family. Homestake was not sensitive to them and some suggested that neutrinos might change flavor. This would not explain the 1/3 factor, however. D) In the 70's and 80's the third generation of quarks and leptons (such as neutrinos) was proposed and discovered as part of research on the standard model of particle physics, not in response to any solar research. Further research (Z0 width) confirms that within the standard model three families (and three neutrino flavors) is all there is. E) With 3 flavors the factor of 1/3 from the original experiment starts to become compelling. Several experiments begin in the 80's to try and detect neutrino oscillations (some of my friends worked on these). F) Experiments such as SNO and Super-Kamiodande begin to take data. These experiments are sensitive to all three flavors of neutrino, should be able to detect the entire flux. G) in the early 00's SNO publishes its results. They detect the entire flux in all three flavors and find it agrees with the standard solar model prediction. Super K and other experiments confirm the result. H) Accelerator experiments also detect neutrino flavor oscillations. Minos and MiniBoone (sp) are working on defining the parameters. I) We progress through the 00's to try and better understand the implications of this and how it extends and modifies the stadard models (of the sun and of particle physics). So, Jerry, this is how science progresses. It's not the ad hoc adjustments you seem to think occur, but rather different threads of evidence from different areas of research congealing to form a new theory. For a better description you would do well to check out the papers from SNO as well as John Bachall's page for more detailed descriptions of the solar neutrino problem, its history, and its resolution. This is real science. Something you clearly don't understand. Bachall is dead, unfortunately, but if you feel so strongly about this why don't you write the folks at SNO and tell them that you view them as intellectual frauds. You may not say as much in your post here, but it's clear from context that that is your implication.
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"I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind." - William Thompson, 1st Baron Lord Kelvin "If it was so, it might be, and if it were so, it would be, but as it isn't, it ain't. That's logic!" - Tweedledee This isn't right. This isn't even wrong. - Wolfgang Pauli Last edited by Eta C; 14-December-2006 at 02:43 PM.. Reason: minor spelling |
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There's a lot here to challenge; I'll make just one challenge in this post. In the Quantized Redshifts ATM thread, I replied to Extropia DaSilva thusly (extract): Quote:
You posted to two of those four threads (How good are the best alternatives to the Big Bang theories? and How should we determine which of competing theories is most likely correct?). Your posts in those threads did not really address the questions asked; in particular, you did not seek to provide anything about how well any "verboten alternative" was able to match any good observational results, even within the context of the alternative itself! Jerry, if only Peter Wilson and john hunter presented anything at all* in the way of a '(quantitative) match observations to what alternatives predict', what criteria do you suggest should be used to judge alternatives? (To answer this question, please post in the How should we determine which of competing theories is most likely correct? thread). Now here's my direct, pertinent question on your post (quoted above): Please show, with respect to cosmology theories, that "verboten alternatives" have a) demonstrated quantitative consistency between what they predict (or model) and what is observed b) demonstrated internal consistency c) demonstrated consistency with (other) well-established theories where their respective domains of applicability overlap. Scratch the plural; please show this wrt just one "verboten alternative". *the details are in the How good are the best alternatives to the Big Bang theories? thread; each presents a case for only one set of observations (though john hunter asserts others should match to the same extent they would for concordance models). |
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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts. |
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Haven't you read up on how the mass in galaxies is essentially trivial, in terms of the mass-energy of the universe (even if you adjust DE to zero)? Didn't Zwicky, way back in the 1930s, establish that the DM in clusters far exceeded the (estimated) mass in the individual galaxies? Aren't there several, well-established and (reasonably) well-constrained sets of independent observations which bound the DM mass in clusters? Aren't these results consistent? Doesn't the estimate of the mass in DM, derived from cluster studies, nicely fit with both WMAP (and other CMB observations) and large-scale structure work? Or are you, perhaps, claiming that this kind of consistency - across many different kinds of observations (made using quite a range of different aspects of physics), and of many different kinds of astronomical objects - is a bad thing? that it is NOT what science is about?? Here are the direct, pertinent questions, about your ATM claims, as presented, that I would like you to answer: 1a) within the "current standard model" (of cosmology), how important is DM in spiral galaxies? 1b) How does your answer to 1a compare with the importance of DM in clusters? 2a) In what way(s) are SZE observations (of rich clusters) "gravimetric results"? 2b) In what way(s) are X-ray observations (of rich clusters) "gravimetric results"? 3a) What is the extent to which the various estimates of the DM content of rich clusters are inconsistent? 3b) What is the extent to which the CMB results and the large-scale structure results are inconsistent, wrt DM? |
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Source (reference) please. |
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To my understanding, which is far from comprehensive, early structure formation is research in progress, i.e., it is still being figured out. There is really no consensus theory yet to criticize, Jerry.
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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts. |
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Current Theory looks somethiing like This: [Primal state Gap] Big Bang synthesis followed by [Big inflation gap] followed by [Metallicity gap] followed by [Dark Matter gap] all multiplied by [Dark Energy Gap], and we can divide everything by the [Gap between quantum and relativistic theory] We all agree these gaps exist, what we do not agree upon is whether is is reasonable to assume the initial premise, the primal BB synthesis, is an unquestionable truth; or as NASA puts it in one of their videos: 'We are not certain what happened next, but we are certain what happened first'. That is just silly. The irony here, is I agree, or rather accept the conclusion of a thousand astro physicists, that the only model that 'works' using known physics leads to these conclusion. So my basic model looks more like this: [Universe exists gap] there is a mechanism for [Cosmic redshift gap] which must include [intrinsic redshift gap] in order to explain what appears to be galactic evolution, but is really a combination of [new matter formation gap] and selection effects and a [CMB source gap]. So I'm not doing any better...unless I can both make predictions and explain observations that BB theoriest cannot. Returning to the Catch-22 principle, so much theoretical work has been based upon the initial BB premise cosmology, that any alternative that only addresses one aspect of the problem, such as intrinsic redshifts, is rejected not because there us not evidence supporting such an assumption, but cause of the weight of the body of interlocking evidence that is dependent upon the initial assumptions. Why reject all of this? I am of the opinion that assuming 96% of the universe is Dark Energy is a dismal, albeit necessary, assumption to keep the BB model intact. No, the results of WMAP do NOT reaffirm the existance of Dark Matter, only the inconsistancy of the CMB peaks with the primal synthesis, unless Dark Energy is included in the solution. I hope there is a better answer than that. (Assuming that Newtonian physics underestimates the mass of objects like the sun might be a good first step.)
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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Well, given your track record of misunderstanding of how science works, as exemplified in post 33, why should we take you seriously? You have not done anything to demonstrate credibility as a critic of science. Have you had a chance to go back and read up on the history of the solar neutrino problem? Do you think it at all resembles your dismissive assessment in post 33? If so, why? And don't forget to write the scientists involved and tell them you think they're wrong. I'm sure they'll be as impressed as we are.
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"I often say that when you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about it; but when you cannot measure it, when you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind." - William Thompson, 1st Baron Lord Kelvin "If it was so, it might be, and if it were so, it would be, but as it isn't, it ain't. That's logic!" - Tweedledee This isn't right. This isn't even wrong. - Wolfgang Pauli |
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2. "reasonable to assume the initial premise" - You are misusing the word "assume" AND the word "premise." The idea that today's universe evolved from a very hot, dense, and compact state is not an "assumption" nor an "initial premise." It is a conclusion based on observations and solid logical deductions generated from those observations. Intrinsic redshift is rejected because the circumstantial evidence is just not good enough, and it has an exceedingly long history of the evidence not being good enough. As was mentioned in the Arp thread, if there is such a thing as intrinsic redshift, one would have thought that with the advances in observing technology over the past 20 or 30 years, the evidence would have gotten much better to the point of convincing. But it clearly hasn't. We see the same old arguments with little refinement and no smoking gun. It's like trying to revive a dead horse... one that's been dead for 30 years!
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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts. |
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Some of these questions are now a week old. If you need clarification, please ask for it. If you need more time to answer, please say so (and indicate when you will be answering). If you now wish to retract your claims, please say so. If you wish to abandon your claims, please say so. |
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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2) I have no problem with emission/absorption lines. This branch of astrophysics, or astro-chemistry is very, very solid. 3)UHECRs - nobody understands these, including me. I expect future generations of sensors to improve upon this science considerably. As an aside, I worked for about ten years with one of the very first UHECR researchers. There is much to learn. 3 1/2 Nuclear physics: I expect slightly different half lifes in more-dense/less-dense enviroments, but in general, results very close to what we have experimential observed on Earth. 4)The life of stars: A year ago I would have said the standard burn-out model, (which varies according to mass), is quite correct, but I am much more disillusioned with Eddington now than I was then. I don't know how to interprete what we see in the crab nebula, or the remnant of 1987A, but there is evidence that at the root of a star, there is the ability to create hydrogen. We have curious evidence that the earth is expanding (is the Earth becoming a star?), what about the excess energy given off by Neptune, or is it Uranus? I really do not know. 5) I don't think there was a Big Bang. If there is an intrinsic mechanism for redshifting, all of the evidence for galactic evolution evaporates in a puff of selection effects and an arbitrary distance modules. If there is not, wooh! we are the center of the universe. I don't think that is true. 6) The 'standard model' I am referring to is the Einstein/Walker/Robertson/Goldhaber/Eddington/Wright/everyone else that includes Dark Matter, Dark Energy, Inflation, a Big Bang synthesis, and supernovae type Ia standard candles which vary less than one magnitude. It is a fairy tale, especially the part about the CMB percholating through eons of stucture.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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Large scale structure work all assumes all redshifts are Doppler and cosmic distance scales can rely upon this assumption. Quote:
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Large scale structure research is totally dependent upon the redshift/distance relationship. This include relativistic attentuation. If these relationships are wrong, the conclusions drawn by large scale structure researchers are also wrong, not because of bad scientists, but because of poor prior assumptions. In other words, I think cosmic microwave background researchers are ignoring red flags in the data, but large scale structure research is biased by relativistic assumptions. There are many researchers looking at the CMB data and saying, "Why is there large scale anisotropy? Why does the 'axis of evil' align with the zodiac?" These are symptoms of a systemic bias, a failed model.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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Jerry, your peak luminosity is apparently far in the past, and now your light curve is in steep decline!
I'll let Nereid address most of your remarks, which are characteristically metaphorical, and I'll just comment on this one... Quote:
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Accident reconstructionists can deduce quite a bit from the debris of a train wreck. And it's silly - or uninformed - to think otherwise.
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Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts. |
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- - - - - - - - - - - - More seriously, please answer the following questions about your claims: Quote:
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because I found solar aberrations (abberations?) which are inconsistent with Newtonian mechanics. Quote:
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Thank your for your time and patience. Your are exceptional.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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It should be rejected. Quote:
None of the existing theories, including the Big Bang. provide a better answer than god did it all. Personally, I am of the opinion that there is no reason to believe in a singularity - god or otherwise.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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I have read elsewhere (sorry, I do not have the source), that the underlying theory, basic experimental/theoritical particle physics require a zero mass for neutrinos, but I defer to your greater knowledge/judgement. My opionion of particle physics is not that we can substantually improve upon the quantum models, but that General Relativity contains fundamental flaws which make GR and QED incompatible: Specifically time dilation. Basic science progresses not by application of the scientific method, but by imaginative solutions which, when the scientific method is applied, improve the upon the body of knowledge.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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Why is dark matter always found in distributed ‘tuffs’? I don’t see any way to add all the parameters needed to couple Dark Matter to structure without also coupling dark matter to matter in the very earliest synthesis. Where, in the original synthesis are the bosons necessary to couple dark matter to baryonic matter? Momentum, during a merger, is a function of both gravity and electromagnetic effects. If dark matter is not coupled by something in addition to gravity, why don’t mergers displace the dark matter content? It takes many parameters to get a Dark Matter fit for the galactic patterns we observe. http://www.universetoday.com/2006/08...e-dark-matter/ If collisions 'seperate out' dark matter, and we know many galaxies in our own neighborhood have been in multiple collisions, why is the DM content still so uniform relative to the baryonic distribution? http://www.universetoday.com/2006/11...the-milky-way/ Quote:
A much better answer is that the difference in rotational velocities between what we observe and what Newtonian dynamics predict, is that there is something we do not understand about gravity on a galactic scale.
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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http://www.npl.washington.edu/av/altvw54.html Quote:
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jwj It's a big universe out there...is it really unwinding, really burning out? |
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Rhetorical question: are there any broad, sweeping Jerry claims that you have been able (or willing) to defend? A not-at-all-rhetorical question: with respect to the two questions to which you gave (partially) substantive answers, are you willing to defend those answers? Specifically: Quote:
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I am reluctant to specify details of how you need to answer this question, except that it must be centred on one (or more) of the (in your words) "verboten alternatives". |
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In your answer you have made a (new) ATM claim ("The Newtonian and Einsteinian concepts of gravity are wrong"). With respect to the rich clusters which Zwicky studied, please show, quantitatively, that your claim is consistent with his results. Quote:
If you require clarification, please ask for it. Quote:
There are several, independent, methods used, by astronomer, to estimate the non-baryonic and non-luminous mass in rich clusters, including: the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect, virial theorem (the method Zwicky used), gravitational lensing (of background objects), and analysis of X-ray observations (at least two, independent, effects). My question is: to what extent do these independent methods yield consistent results (estimates of the mass of DM), when applied to rich clusters? Quote:
It seems that you are implying that not "all redshifts are Doppler", and that "distance scales [canNOT] rely upon this". Of course the first is a strawman (and inaccurate to boot). The second is a very severe claim - that astronomers merely "assume" that "cosmic distance scales" can be determined from observations of redshift. To what extent are you prepared to defend this claim? Quote:
Please answer the question. Quote:
For avoidance of doubt, baryonic mass NOT in spiral galaxies includes: baryonic mass in elliptical galaxies, baryonic mass in the IGM, baryonic mass in the ICM. DM NOT in spiral galaxies includes: DM in elliptical and irregular galaxies, DM in the IGM, and DM in the ICM. Quote:
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If you are unfamiliar with these techniques, please ask for clarification; otherwise, please answer the question. Quote:
In terms of your answer, please explain how "[t]he unexpected rotational velocities is real" is relevant to techniques used to estimate the DM content of rich clusters. Quote:
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In 6) above, what is "a Big Bang synthesis" (as part of the standard model, to which you are referring)? With your clarifications in hand, I can return to your original, sweeping claim: Quote:
However, Jerry modified his initial claim, as follows: Quote:
It's time to take a closer look at the other part of this (modified) claim: "the general acceptance of sweeping new parametric assumptions". To me, Jerry's claim is, in essence, non-scientific, or perhaps even anti-scientific. Why? Because it either ignores, or deliberately rejects, a key aspect of how modern physics, astronomy, astrophysics, and cosmology is done - theory formation and testing. For me, the heart of modern science is theories - their formation, testing, modification, and (as necessary) rejection and/or replacement (with better theories). IOW, without theories there is no (modern) science. On its face, Jerry's statement seems to be denying this role, of theories, in modern science. So, Jerry, here's my question, about your ATM claim: in your view of the modern sciences of physics, astronomy, astrophysics, and cosmology, what is the role of theories? |
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Other than the Arp-Narlikar variable mass hypothesis (VMH), I am unaware of any "alternative" which includes "intrinsic redshifts", and which also addresses "one aspect of the problem" (presumably the Hubble relationship). Please state any other (cosmology-related) alternative whose scope includes "intrinsic redshifts". With regard to the VMH, no BAUT member has declared a preparedness to defend this (in the Arp et al thread); would you be prepared to do so? I have already asked you - at least twice - about alternatives; I will ask you again, in connection with this specific claim (in bold): please present an "alternative that only addresses one aspect of the problem" and for which "there [i]s [...] evidence supporting such an assumption" (other than 'intrinsic redshift' and 'the CMB is local'). |
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