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  #121 (permalink)  
Old 09-March-2008, 04:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
So, what was the point of your remark: "Wow, someone here has a lot of time on her hands...", after Nereid took her time to examine an EU publication like a scientific paper?
Two things, first the length and number of posts, second the emphasis on exposing Thornhill's/Tabott's intellectual dishonesty. Actually Papageno, you're concentrating too much on the minor issues here.
I still don't understand: are you not glad that somebody took her time for a detailed and in-depth examination of an EU paper, and exposing its short-comings both in form and content?
Isn't this the kind of attention EU proponents ask from mainstream scientists?



Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
I don't remember seeing you particularly active in scolding ATM proponents that do just that against scientists.
I don't need to, mainstreamers and moderators are doing it adequately, another side-issue.
So, do you think that in this case eventual false accusations made by Nereid would not have been dealt with adequately by "mainstreamers" and moderators, to the point that you felt the need to step in?



Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
Are you implying that Nereid conclusions about Thornhill&Talbott's paper are wrong?
Some are,... [SNIP!]
Then feel free to explain which ones are wrong and how you determined it.



Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
Quote:
Originally Posted by papageno
Are you saying that Thornhill&Talbott's paper about comets is not relevant?
No.
So your only problem with Nereid's review of that paper, is that you don't agree with all of its conclusions.
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  #122 (permalink)  
Old 09-March-2008, 05:57 PM
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I want to applaud Neried for her excellent analysis of the EU papers. I have been trying for years to make sense out of EU claims; and the problem that I keep running into is that they keep insisting phenomenon are caused by gross charge differentials even though there are good collisional, thermal, gravitational or nuclear models for many of the phenomenon.

It was clear to me before the Deep Impact event, that EU threorists expected a massive discharge before the impact event, and within the resolution of the many cameras focusing upon the collionsion, the high energy event coinceded with the moment of impact, and not even a millisecond beforehand.

As far as what the Mainstream was expecting, A'Hearn stated in a lecture that one of the reasons that the 'copper washer' mission was approved, is that he walked into the funding board with five different predictions of what would happen; and he also said, none of the expectations agreed with the results; and certainly not the most straightforward interpretations of the EU predictions. (For what it is worth, neither did mine.)

That said, I am of the opinion that Tesla is right: If we completely understood the nature of matter and energy, all phenomenon are electromagnetic.
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  #123 (permalink)  
Old 09-March-2008, 11:05 PM
VanderL VanderL is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nereid View Post

Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nereid
In which peer-reviewed journal may one read the details of this "electric comet model" (a reference please)?
Not yet.
Would you mind clarifying please?

Do you mean "there is no such peer-reviewed paper yet" (or similar)?

Or "I, VanderL, have not yet found such a paper" (or similar)?

Or something else?

No.
Yes.
Yes.
Yes, I expect such a paper will be published in the future.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nereid View Post
Would you mind clarifying please?

First, is the T&T PDF (see reference earlier in this thread) the primary (public) material presenting the "electric comet model"? If not, what is that primary source?

In terms of verification/falsification, by what method(s) could/will the Rosetta mission results contribute to any qualitative verification/falsification?

Specifically, what role(s) will hypothesis formation and testing play in such verification/falsification?
What role(s) will model building and testing play in such verification/falsification?
What role(s) will peer-review (or review in general) play in such verification/falsification?

Assuming that the ECM "can be understood qualitatively as described in the electric comet pdf" (my emphasis), what criteria could - in principle - be used to assess:

a) internal consistency (of the ECM)?

b) consistency between the ECM and results from the Rosetta mission?
Would you please try to limit your posts to only a few questions at a time (and not several posts in a row), that way we could actually have a useful exchange. This piling up of questions is something I don't have enough time for (another reason why I said "wow" earlier). This means I only want to get back to something I promised Fortis, and I won't respond to anything specific from your earlier posts.

I'll just try to address the question on how the Rosetta mission can give us answers:

1. The spacecraft will orbit the comet nucleus and be able to produce close-up images of the comet's surface. This will show us the surface characteristics and pinpoint the origins of the jets. This will either be small holes venting, or bright arcs (both point sources and interconnected "curtains" similar to Io's volcanoes) hovering close to the surface, preferentially on the highest elevations.
2. The lander will provide even better detail, but chances are the environment will prove too electrically active. If the lander survives it can show the surface composition, either subsurface ices, or minerals as deep as it can get (30 cm).
3. The plasma instruments will show either will show that nothing much is happening, neutral material that is only ionised by solar UV, away from the surface, or a very active plasma environment, getting stronger towards perihelion. Ionic species will either have higher concentrations away from the surface, or close to the jet source/surface (ionisation first, recobination to neautrals later).
4. The surface will either be changing because of the jets, or stay relatively intact (assuming subsurface chamber of ices volatiles are not disintegrating)

I'll think of more details if you want, but I think you get the idea; qualitative descriptions of events that can discriminate between the two models.

Cheers.
  #124 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 08:47 AM
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Originally Posted by VanderL View Post
I'll just try to address the question on how the Rosetta mission can give us answers:

1. The spacecraft will orbit the comet nucleus and be able to produce close-up images of the comet's surface. This will show us the surface characteristics and pinpoint the origins of the jets. This will either be small holes venting, or bright arcs (both point sources and interconnected "curtains" similar to Io's volcanoes) hovering close to the surface, preferentially on the highest elevations.
2. The lander will provide even better detail, but chances are the environment will prove too electrically active. If the lander survives it can show the surface composition, either subsurface ices, or minerals as deep as it can get (30 cm).
3. The plasma instruments will show either will show that nothing much is happening, neutral material that is only ionised by solar UV, away from the surface, or a very active plasma environment, getting stronger towards perihelion. Ionic species will either have higher concentrations away from the surface, or close to the jet source/surface (ionisation first, recobination to neautrals later).
4. The surface will either be changing because of the jets, or stay relatively intact (assuming subsurface chamber of ices volatiles are not disintegrating)
But we have already flown through a comet with lots of instruments, and I even gave the link to the abstract by Harri Laakso and offered to send the pdf.

1. if there are to be bright arc, then why have they, up until now, not been seen by other spacecraft?
Secondly, the vocanoes of Io are NOT electrically driven, but tidally. You will probably refer to the XXX & Dessler paper (forgot the other author at the moment) where they saw that the plumes of the volcanoes were filamented when the were getting to the ionosphere if I am correctly remembering. This would be what one would like to see, as the ionosphere is the closure region of the currents flowing in Io's Alfven wings (what used to be called the unipolar inductor).
2. Well there has not been a lander, only an impactor, which did not create any EC signature.
3. Why not read up on Harri Laakso's paper, you will get more detail about the plasma environment of Comet Halley than you will like. But I guess that is typical EC behaviour, claiming stuff without even trying to find out if something already has been found.
4. In any case the surface will be changing, either it gets machined (and I think you need a loooooooot of power to get to the emissions you need, but hey, no EC proponent is willing to do the calculations) or through the venting of gasses.

So, how about coming up with a model? How much machining needs to be done? How do you get the charge of the comet? How do you get the necessary discharges? Do you believe that solar wind protons and cometary O or OH combine to make water in the tail, if yes, what is the reaction rate at the energies of the solar wind protons? etc. etc. etc.

Well, read Harri's paper and come back to us.
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  #125 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 10:43 AM
VanderL VanderL is offline
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Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
But we have already flown through a comet with lots of instruments, and I even gave the link to the abstract by Harri Laakso and offered to send the pdf.
Thanks for the offer, I'll PM you for the actual paper.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
1. if there are to be bright arc, then why have they, up until now, not been seen by other spacecraft?
They probably have been seen (bright spots on all close-up images of Tempel 1 and Wild 2), we only lack dynamic, spectroscopic and plasma data from these sructures themselves.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
Secondly, the vocanoes of Io are NOT electrically driven, but tidally. You will probably refer to the XXX & Dessler paper (forgot the other author at the moment) where they saw that the plumes of the volcanoes were filamented when the were getting to the ionosphere if I am correctly remembering. This would be what one would like to see, as the ionosphere is the closure region of the currents flowing in Io's Alfven wings (what used to be called the unipolar inductor).
They might turn out to be electric phenomena after all, maybe both models are partly correct. The tidal mechanism rests on a number of assumptions that cannot be proven (like for example the internal composition of Io), so nothing is certain. Btw, you mean one of the most outspoken advocates of a Plasma Universe, Anthony Peratt.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
2. Well there has not been a lander, only an impactor, which did not create any EC signature.
I beg to differ, there certainly was a double flash, I'll look up the peer-reviewed published details today and see how this matches the predictions.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
3. Why not read up on Harri Laakso's paper, you will get more detail about the plasma environment of Comet Halley than you will like. But I guess that is typical EC behaviour, claiming stuff without even trying to find out if something already has been found.
You guess wrong (I know for a fact that some EU proponents do try to find relevant papers), and of course some thing have not been found yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
4. In any case the surface will be changing, either it gets machined (and I think you need a loooooooot of power to get to the emissions you need, but hey, no EC proponent is willing to do the calculations) or through the venting of gasses.
You're right that the surface changes will be harder to interpret, but I think EDM as a mechanism would favor the higher elevations, while outgassing probably wouldn't.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
So, how about coming up with a model? How much machining needs to be done? How do you get the charge of the comet? How do you get the necessary discharges? Do you believe that solar wind protons and cometary O or OH combine to make water in the tail, if yes, what is the reaction rate at the energies of the solar wind protons? etc. etc. etc.
To answer these questions you need to get measurements, either from experiments designed to mimic the processes, or in situ. I am convinced that all theoretical models must bow to the experimental data.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
Well, read Harri's paper and come back to us.
Will do.

Cheers.
  #126 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 01:05 PM
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As promised:

This from one of the Deep Impact papers published in Icarus:

Evolution of the Deep Impact flash: Implications for the nucleus surface
based on laboratory experiments Carolyn M. Ernst, Peter H. Schultz

And this is what they have to say about the flash evolution:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ernst, Schultz
"The DI impact flash consisted of three self-luminous components: the “firstlight,” the saturated central flash, and the downrange plume. The “first light” appeared uprange of the projected point of impact. The light intensity then faded briefly before undergoing a second brightening at a position closer to the impact point. This central self-luminous component quickly and dramatically brightened, which resulted in detector saturation. A downrange-moving plume then emerged from the impact site, consisting of vapor and entrained, radiating dust particles. The combined luminous efficiency of these three components was lower than predictions based on simplified laboratory experiments using silicate powder; however, the duration was comparable to predictions. The difference between the predictions and observations indicates the effect of high porosity and the presence of volatiles that suppress the luminous efficiency.
The photometric and spatial evolutions of the DI first light are consistent with the existence of an uprange plume directed up and out of the penetration funnel due to cavitation. The delayed brightening results from the emergence of heated material with the opening of the transient crater. Based on comparisons with laboratory impact flash studies, these observations and the low luminous efficiency are consistent with an under-dense (porous) target surface."

I think the most important conclusion is that the first flash happened upstream from the impactor's trajectory, fully consistent with the EU prediction of an early discharge flash. What is also important is that the
light source "moved"; they imaged 4 frames in which the first frame showed the "first light", the second frame was dimmer and closer to the projected impact site, the third frame is closer to the impact site but still upstream, the fourth and all subsequent frames were all downstream. Their interpretation is that the impact must have kicked up an "upstream plume" first, then the impactor burrowed deeper in very loose material and a second flash ocurred followed by a downstream plume.

An additional point is that the plume front apparently accelerated, which is
claimed as evidence that the plume material must contain volatiles that were released after impact. I wonder if any other acceleration mechanism exists.

Cheers.
  #127 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 01:25 PM
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Originally Posted by VanderL View Post
I think the most important conclusion is that the first flash happened upstream from the impactor's trajectory, fully consistent with the EU prediction of an early discharge flash.
However, according to what you copied of Ernst & Schultz it is also fully consistent with the laboratory experiments they did.

Then about the message before about Io (oh we have gone through this before numerous times)

Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
They might turn out to be electric phenomena after all, maybe both models are partly correct. The tidal mechanism rests on a number of assumptions that cannot be proven (like for example the internal composition of Io), so nothing is certain. Btw, you mean one of the most outspoken advocates of a Plasma Universe, Anthony Peratt.
No, they are NOT electric phenomena, because the electric currents in the Alfven wing of Io does not reach the solid surface of the moon, but is closed through the highly conductive ionosphere of Io. I did the calculation somewhere, there was many orders of magnitude difference between the conductivity of the moon proper and of its ionosphere. Any basic electric circuit theory will show you that the current, in parallel resistors, will mainly flow through the one with the least resistivity, i.e. in this case the ionosphere. And yes, the ionosphere has been measured again and again and again in the Galileo era.

The internal composition of Io can well be determined from the flybys of Galileo and the various gravitational moments and our knowledge of solid bodies in the solar system. Do not make it sound like we mainstreamers know nothing and just assume whatever we like to make the data fit our presumptions.

Ah so true, it was Peratt who wrote that paper with Alex. I hope we do not have to go through that paper again, explaining about the plumes of the volcanoes of Io. Definitely not in this thread.
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  #128 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 04:45 PM
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Originally Posted by VanderL View Post
No.
Yes.
Yes.
Yes, I expect such a paper will be published in the future.
Thank for the clarification.
Quote:
Originally Posted by VanderL
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nereid
Would you mind clarifying please?

First, is the T&T PDF (see reference earlier in this thread) the primary (public) material presenting the "electric comet model"? If not, what is that primary source?

In terms of verification/falsification, by what method(s) could/will the Rosetta mission results contribute to any qualitative verification/falsification?

Specifically, what role(s) will hypothesis formation and testing play in such verification/falsification?
What role(s) will model building and testing play in such verification/falsification?
What role(s) will peer-review (or review in general) play in such verification/falsification?

Assuming that the ECM "can be understood qualitatively as described in the electric comet pdf" (my emphasis), what criteria could - in principle - be used to assess:

a) internal consistency (of the ECM)?

b) consistency between the ECM and results from the Rosetta mission?
Would you please try to limit your posts to only a few questions at a time (and not several posts in a row), that way we could actually have a useful exchange. This piling up of questions is something I don't have enough time for (another reason why I said "wow" earlier). This means I only want to get back to something I promised Fortis, and I won't respond to anything specific from your earlier posts.
(emphasis added)
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nereid (extract)
"or is Nereid posting here as a bonafide, full-on defender of mainstream orthodoxy" - you are free to interpret what I write in any way you wish.

However, if you are interested in my own perspective, then I shall tell you: I intend to "attack [ATM] arguments [as presented] with glee and fervor"; I expect that my "[d]irect [pertinent] questions [about the ATM ideas, as presented will] be answered in a timely manner"; "[i]f it appears that [you] are using circular reasoning, depending on long-debunked arguments, or breaking any of these other rules", I shall report the post(s) in which these appear; if "[you do not] keep [your] topics about space and astronomy", I shall also report the post(s) in which such non-space and astronomy topics appear.

Any questions?
(source)

Would you please clarify?

Have you stated, in this post that I am quoting, that you will not respond to direct, pertinent questions on, and challenges to, ATM ideas, as presented, in this thread (by you)?
Quote:
I'll just try to address the question on how the Rosetta mission can give us answers:

1. The spacecraft will orbit the comet nucleus and be able to produce close-up images of the comet's surface. This will show us the surface characteristics and pinpoint the origins of the jets. This will either be small holes venting, or bright arcs (both point sources and interconnected "curtains" similar to Io's volcanoes) hovering close to the surface, preferentially on the highest elevations.
2. The lander will provide even better detail, but chances are the environment will prove too electrically active. If the lander survives it can show the surface composition, either subsurface ices, or minerals as deep as it can get (30 cm).
3. The plasma instruments will show either will show that nothing much is happening, neutral material that is only ionised by solar UV, away from the surface, or a very active plasma environment, getting stronger towards perihelion. Ionic species will either have higher concentrations away from the surface, or close to the jet source/surface (ionisation first, recobination to neautrals later).
4. The surface will either be changing because of the jets, or stay relatively intact (assuming subsurface chamber of ices volatiles are not disintegrating)

I'll think of more details if you want, but I think you get the idea; qualitative descriptions of events that can discriminate between the two models.

Cheers.
Thanks for the answer.

However, it does not - it seems to me - to answer the questions asked.

In a later post I shall clarify the questions, show that the above does not answer them, and request that you answer the direct, pertinent questions, on the ATM ideas, as presented.
  #129 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 05:02 PM
VanderL VanderL is offline
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However, according to what you copied of Ernst & Schultz it is also fully consistent with the laboratory experiments they did.
That could well be correct, but if, and only if, there is a substantial, highly porous surface layer. I guess the Rosetta Lander, Philae will hopefully answer that question. Although any rocky surface will likely be interpreted as atypical and be presented as mere (bad) luck.

Quote:
Originally Posted by tusenfem View Post
Then about the message before about Io (oh we have gone through this before numerous times)

No, they are NOT electric phenomena, because the electric currents in the Alfven wing of Io does not reach the solid surface of the moon, but is closed through the highly conductive ionosphere of Io. I did the calculation somewhere, there was many orders of magnitude difference between the conductivity of the moon proper and of its ionosphere. Any basic electric circuit theory will show you that the current, in parallel resistors, will mainly flow through the one with the least resistivity, i.e. in this case the ionosphere. And yes, the ionosphere has been measured again and again and again in the Galileo era.

The internal composition of Io can well be determined from the flybys of Galileo and the various gravitational moments and our knowledge of solid bodies in the solar system. Do not make it sound like we mainstreamers know nothing and just assume whatever we like to make the data fit our presumptions.

Ah so true, it was Peratt who wrote that paper with Alex. I hope we do not have to go through that paper again, explaining about the plumes of the volcanoes of Io. Definitely not in this thread.
No, we don't have to revisit that discussion, but the possibility of mainstreamers fitting data to presumptions (we see water molecules, therefore ice) has been the subject of this thread as well .

Cheers.
  #130 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 05:18 PM
VanderL VanderL is offline
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Originally Posted by Nereid View Post
Thank for the clarification.(emphasis added)(source)

Would you please clarify?

Have you stated, in this post that I am quoting, that you will not respond to direct, pertinent questions on, and challenges to, ATM ideas, as presented, in this thread (by you)?
Thanks for the answer.

However, it does not - it seems to me - to answer the questions asked.

In a later post I shall clarify the questions, show that the above does not answer them, and request that you answer the direct, pertinent questions, on the ATM ideas, as presented.
As long as you can cram the questions into something digestible, I will answer any questions (also the direct, pertinent ones), but sometimes when I answer one, I get 10 new ones in return. What I mostly do then is trying to answer what I think is the most important question.

Cheers.
  #131 (permalink)  
Old 10-March-2008, 10:18 PM
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I prefer to see hard evidence, not mere calculations.
I think that we all do, but I had asked
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fortis
The Deep Impact site claim that the quantity of surface ice is not sufficient to generate the quantity of water observed. (Note that does not say that there is not enough sub-surface ice present.) I am hoping that the electric comet proponents can show if the hypothetical discharge process is sufficient, or not, to generate the observed quantities of water.
If the mainstream didn't try to address this answer then we would just rebut the electric comet by saying that there is surface ice and hence this can produce the water that we observe. It is only when you attempt to determine if the production rate from surface ice (or plasma processing) is sufficient, that you begin to refine your understanding. Currently I see no evidence that the hypothesised plasma process can even get within an order of magnitude of the correct amount because no-one seems willing to estimate the production rate.
  #132 (permalink)  
Old 11-March-2008, 04:05 AM
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[Snip!]I prefer to see hard evidence, not mere calculations.
So do I, but based on the record I fear we will see neither from the Electric Universe proponents.
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  #133 (permalink)  
Old 11-March-2008, 01:03 PM
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No, we don't have to revisit that discussion, but the possibility of mainstreamers fitting data to presumptions (we see water molecules, therefore ice) has been the subject of this thread as well.
Well, at least the conclusion about water coming from ice on or inside of the comet's nucleus makes more sense that having machined molecules fly away and react with solar wind protons. If not only for the dynamics and cross sections of such processes.

Assuming that indeed machining takes place, what comes out? OH+ I would assume as creating negative ions by electrical discharges is, IMHO, rather unlikely (but if you have a reference, you may prove me wrong here). Then we will need the following reaction:

OH+ + H+ + e → H2O+

I cannot find so quickly the reference to the EDM on comets (apart from thunderbolts, and we already know he does not do math). So, in all, at the moment it looks rather unlikely to me that EDM and solar-wind-driven chemistry will produce the water that we see in the halo and coma of the comet. But like always, I would love to see some detailed calculations of these processes, from any of the EC proponents.
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  #134 (permalink)  
Old 11-March-2008, 04:51 PM
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