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But you're talking about something completely different now. I think it's an interesting question about whether the planets' movements are related to the Great Year, but that's an entirely different matter from whether human history moves in cycles.
About the history, I came up with an other idea for considering your hypothesis. How about choosing another number, say 1,000 years for convienience, and see if you can find historical parallels. If there are, then it would tend to reinforce the idea that one can read things into historical events.
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It is analogous to ocean tidal patterns: no one is surprised that crabs come out at the same phase of each tide; its just that when we look at such a slow cycle frequency as precession people find it very hard to get their heads around it, and also find it hard to view free people as subject to ecological cosmic cycles. If anyone wants to study historical cycles with other frequencies then good luck to them. I see little point except as you say that this would be a useful comparator for the 2147 year phasing, especially if it could be somehow statistically quantified with a regression analysis, but that is beyond my skills. There would be merit in looking at history against the 179 year barycentre phases as that period is also part of the same natural harmonic cycle. My underlying aim here is to unpack how precession provides a framework for terrestrial cosmology, using historical correlations as a signpost. PS: for any prime tragics out there, 2147 = 113 x 19 ![]() |
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Because we find something that correlates on a supplied date means nothing if it will also correlate on many other dates. I would agree that a correlation between the Barycenter cycle and Earths Precession would be interesting to examine further. I've actually found a similar statement made other places as well. It's ties to to the history of Earth are dubious at best, however. Apart from the Rome/US link, are there any other nations that existed at different times that share a common history? If the US is the new Rome, then who is or was the new Egypt? Or Babylon? Spain and Portugal probably had more of impact on the Western expansion than the rest of Europe, so where do they fall in all of this? If it "works" for Rome and the US, then why does it not work for any other nation/empire? As for this: Quote:
"The timing of parallels may vary"? How can than that make them parallels? Even if the general course of history between the two match up in a broad sense, the point of this, as I understand it, is that there are exact correlations at exact intervals. What about Rome being founded 98 years (adjusted) before there were any territorial claims made in North America? What about the fact that it was still over 200 more years before there was a permanent English Settlement? Rome had existed as Rome for over 200 years before what would be the US would be settled by anyone, and 450+ before there was the first real progress made toward founding an independent country, let alone an empire by any use of the word. Quote:
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I'm not evil. An evil person would do the things I think up. |
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You have shown nothing to make me conclude that the observed proportions are anything more than a coincidence. Quote:
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Well, it looks like there are now two topics to be discusses, which are slightly linked. One is the history, the other is the (non)significance of the great Platonic year and its twelveths (darn, that is a difficult word) and the motion of the barycenter of the solar system.
Now, the precession of the Earth is 25,765 years, and can completely be described by the torque on the Earth from mainly the Sun and the Moon and for a lesser extend by other solar system bodies. Now, the question is: when periodicity of the barycenter of the solar system is 179 years to return to its starting point, would it not be reasonable that this periodicity is also in the Earth's precession? The ratio of these to periods is ~144 of which, naturally, the square root is 12. But what does this mean? First of all, I would expect that the precession of the Earth might vary a little in period through the 179 year cycle, or will it?????? What does the barycenter describe? It is the center of mass of the solar system, and naturally this moves around because the planets have different locations all the time, but does that mean that the distance Earth-Sun changes? No, that remains fixed through the orbit of both. So, basically, I do not have any inclination, at the moment, to suspect that the motion of the barycenter has any influence on the torque that the Sun and Moon (and other bodies) provide on the Earth in order to make it precess. However, the two are related in the fact that both the total torque and the motion of the barycenter are generated by the solar system bodies. This leaves the fact that the ratio of the two, precession and barycenter period, is just coincidentally 144. The claim that: The precision of the correlation suggests physical causation, although its scientific basis needs more study and my numbers should be checked. does not hold, as I showed in another thread using some spurious correlation between the shirt I chose to wear that day and receiving an email. Only, when based on a real mechanism can correlation imply causation. Also, the Earth is not "whipped like a gyroscope" by Jupiter or Saturn. As is well known (even wiki knows this!) the main reason for the Earth precession is the torque by the Sun and the Moon, as I already said above. I think Celestial Mechanics had one of his nice dialogues precisely on this topic.
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Any comments in glorious red are to be considered in ModeratorMode. 善數, 不用籌策 (shàn shù, bù yòng chóu cè) He who is good at counting, uses no counting tools “A good scientist has freed himself of concepts and keeps his mind open to what is” 道德經, 二十七 (dào dé jīng, 27) |
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added: I see he has but still it eludes him. Truth, the tighter you squeeze it the less you have. Last edited by tsig; 28-March-2008 at 05:29 PM.. Reason: further reading |
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Even if we gave him that all the events matched perfectly, I am at a loss to see what that would prove except that humans do the same thing age after age. After all the range of human behavior is limited, so patterns are bound to repeat. |
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If you limited yourself to observing snowfall data at my current location over two annual cycles you would be hard pushed to make any real estimate of the cyclical behaviour of snowfall. For example the first decent snowfall of the season has actually occurred on the first day of spring. As you only appear to be covering human history over less than two of your hypothesised cycles, I cannot see how you can make any claims regarding a historical cycle of 2147 years. |
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It's "twelfths," Tusenfem, but you're right; it's not an easy word.
I believe I have a few direct questions on the table. There have been two posts from Robert; my questions have been left unanswered.
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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I confess I had not heard of the Olmec civilization, and would be thrilled to hear of actual dates of events as exist for Rome, and of successor civilizations with a continuity over separate ages as exists between the modern west and ancient Rome. As I have said, this data does not exist to my knowledge for pre-Columbian American cultures, so they will be very difficult to use as examples. Your call for me to delve into historical byways misses the point regarding the existence and nature of the precessional cycle. I need to repeat in simpler terms things I have already said. Precession is a real cycle. There is no doubt it is real. This is why I assume there is a cycle. We are part of this cycle because we are part of the solar system. The issues are how it is manifest in human history, and how the ~25800 year cycle can be shown to have sub-cycles. There are more Roman examples which could be explored for modern parallels, for example Fabius Maximus is similar to Franklin Delano Roosevelt in refusing to fight for many years against a formidable foe (Hannibal & Hitler). The starting point, as a matter of historical interpretation, is to get a sense of what events are most important, and of the broad sequence of civilisational evolution, as I have presented here already. We can readily see that the event which propelled Rome into domination of the Mediterranean, the defeat of Hannibal, is precisely one age before the events which propelled the USA into domination of the world – the defeat of Germany and Japan. Just on this basis, and the cosmic indicator given by the physical nature of precession, it is reasonable to explore how ancient Mediterranean history was like an incubator for the modern world, using the separation by one age as an analytical reference point. A further point on the barycentric 178.9 year cycle caused by patterns of the outer planets. With the longer precessional cycle, we can look at the biggest events and see how they reverberate in world history after one phase. We can do the same for the barycentre. The biggest event in modern history is the French Revolution, marked by the storming of the Bastille on 14 July 1789. This event was precisely one barycentric cycle before May 1968, when the Sorbonne was closed by student protest. These biggest events have this apparent prima facie reverberation against cosmic cycles, suggesting a productive analytical research program to investigate the structure of time. Of course, the 1960s differ massively from the 1780s, but it is a reasonable hypothesis that within these differences a cosmic causal factor pushed through and made itself manifest in the biggest events. In a previous thread on Precessional Cosmology I provided the following picture and related discussion which indicated why the twelfth division of the great year is likely to be significant. Together with the 1/144th division producing the barycentre, this evidence looks to me to be strong for the physical existence of the age. Together with the observation that the single main events for the dominant powers of the ages of Aries (Rome) and Pisces (USA) occurred at precisely the same time in the cycle, I think the case is persuasive. I accept that it will not be compelling until a fair bit more yakka is done to establish a causal mechanism explaining the correlations. (But is there not some question remaining regarding the causal mechanism for gravity?) I think your questions introduce extraneous material which distracts from the central case, but this is still very helpful to force greater clarity and to show how previous explanation has not been sufficiently precise, complete and logical. |
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Robert. You have not, now or ever, shown a logical reason that these cycles should fit human behaviour. You have not, now or ever, shown evidence that they do.
If you want to show that there is any evidence for your idea that this cycle actually influences human history, you must show more than two "parallel" civilizations. Finding what you believe to be more and more similiarities between the US and Rome is not, despite what you may believe, what you need to do in order to make your claim seem more reasonable. You have to show that the US and Rome are not the only parallel civilizations. You have to show that it's more than mere coincidence. I'm letting you off the hook entirely with regards to why the cycles of anything but Sun and Moon should have influence on human civilization. It's not my field of expertise. But the fact remains that, well, you hadn't heard of the Olmec. You didn't realize that the Egyptians have documentation going farther back than the Romans. You think India and China might have records enough for your little project, but you've never looked into it enough to work out whether they do. You are, in fact, assuming that they will, because your cycle is real, so they must. Guess what? That's a logical fallacy! So. Leave out the astronomical stuff. I've never disputed that the thing about the Great Year is true. I'll leave that to those who know the relevant science. I have a few more direct questions, however. How many data points must you map before you can call something a parallel? How many data points must you map before you can call a hypothesis properly explored? Is having a lot of possible data points regarding one parallel better or worse than having multiple parallels? If you don't have the latter, how do you know that your system really works? Why do you expect me to believe that your system works if you can't show me how it fits into anything other than Rome and the US? Am I just supposed to believe that you're right because, look, it mostly lines up for Rome and the US? Do you really think I'm being unreasonable when I ask you to look into other civilizations to test your hypothesis? And, as I asked before--twice--what number of years do you consider to be "close enough" for a cycle?
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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Anyway, here's a page that shows the Roman Empire in a larger setting.
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As above, so below |
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There is also a need to avoid "confirmation bias". If you just look for parallels then you will likely be guilty of this, i.e. trying to find data that fits your hypothesis rather than looking for data that may falsify it. Then again, I'm not sure what would be regarded as an observation that Robert would accept as falsifying his hypothesis.
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The events on earth for which data is most comprehensive are those which provide the best material to illustrate how the precessional cycle can be seen in history. My issue with the Olmec, with no disrespect, was that the quantity of data about them and their place in history are so comparatively minor that they cannot be used as an example on the world scale I am suggesting. We have neither the adequate records of dated events nor a subsequent world civilisation which is widely seen as its successor. These are available abundantly for Rome and the USA. I thought that was obvious but apparently not to some. As well, arguably but more contentiously, there is a critical path of the dominant powers of the world. Even if Ancient China was bigger, Ancient Rome is the antecedent of the USA, the current dominant power and so is arguably at the cutting edge of human activity. Your comments demonstrate that you are too fixed in your views to see that the comparisons between Zama and Normandy/ Hiroshima, between the expulsions of the kings in Rome and England, and between the imperial expansion of Rome and the USA have strong parallels separated by exactly one cosmic age. To me these examples are interesting evidence, but I can see that it challenges some emotional assumptions of modern astronomy so I understand why stubborn rejection is so attractive. I am illustrating a deductive thesis of cosmology by events that are well known. It makes little sense to ask to illustrate it from things that are not well known, whether by me or by others. In discussing with a friend, I realised that the issue of astrology is more of a sticking point here than I have suggested so far. I have been reluctant to discuss astrology here because it elicits such hysterical emotion among scientists, partly I admit with good reason given the anti-scientific nature of much astrology. However, astrology is necessary as a logical framework for these ideas, explaining both their rationale and their rejection. The underlying logic of this thesis is a harmonic structure of time. Dane Rudhyar argues in his book Astrological Timing that the cosmic ages are a natural harmonic division of the great year, and that if this natural harmonic twelve-fold division is considered as a physical reality, then it makes sense to explore the historical evidence for a further twelve-fold division of these periods. I have previously discussed the harmonic significance of the number twelve as a divisor of terrestrial cycles. When the hypothetical step is taken to divide the age into twelve sub-ages or houses, we find that these periods are exactly – exactly - the same length as a basic rhythm of the solar system, the 178.9 year solar system barycentric cycle. This is physics, not mysticism. Rudhyar uses this period, which he took as the rough approximation of 180 years, as a definition of the twelve ‘houses’ of the age. Now, the point is, if for convenience of reference we say that the Age of Pisces began at the moment 0 (ie between 1BC and 1AD), and the Age is rounded here to 2148 years, then we can define and illustrate the twelve houses of the age by the following cube diagram with two vertices per house. ![]() My thesis is grounded in the empirical observation that this cube is a representation of the age, so repeats twelve times each great year, about two million times since life began. It suggests a long term cyclic pulsing of terrestrial time, so that each time the earth gets to the same point in the wave pulse, every 2147-8 years, similar things happen – there is a deep long term underlying causality in which events have causes and effects that are not immediate but are separated by an age. It is rather like the way creatures of habit do the same thing at the same time each day, like baboons warming their hands to the sun or people having a siesta, but this is a bigger and deeper causal framework. I have assumed in this thread that precession has a constant rate, so that the current arc second rate of precession maps equally onto all terrestrial time to produce the age period of 2147 years. It may well be that precession is changing its speed, but I have not seen strong argument for a rate of change. I consider it unlikely that such a rate of change would produce much material difference, but am willing to be convinced otherwise. A further key argument arising from this model of time is its implications for Christian eschatology. Again, this is a theme I have hesitated to discuss here in view of Baut’s rules on religion, but this is an evidence-based physical argument from astronomy, suggesting a 2147 year gap between the life of Christ and the reign of God. My claim is that key major New Testament texts are strongly explained by a precessional framework. Jesus Christ as Alpha and Omega equates to his temporal position not only at the beginning of the Age of Pisces and end of the Age of Aries but at the beginning and end of the 25765 year cycle of the Great Year. The parable of the loaves and fishes equates to the then beginning Pisces-Virgo equinoctial framework as the source of abundant creativity. The Olivet Discourse of Matthew 24 introduces the concept of the age as the key temporal structure in a way that corresponds precisely to the precessional age. The three wise men are a direct mythic link to astrology. An elegant physical representation of the Trinity can be presented in natural terms in our corner of the universe as God the Father = the constellations of the zodiac, God the Son = the precessional cycle of earth incarnated at the turning point of the Great Year; and God the Holy Spirit = the reverberation of Father and Son through planetary history. Most tellingly, the vision of New Jerusalem as a large cube with twelve foundation stones in order of the zodiac signs in reverse presents a direct coded reference to precessional cosmology. I am now reading an interesting book, The Great Year, Astrology, Millenarianism and History by Nicholas Campion. He does not take up these neo-Christian ideas, but he does point out that the Old Testament hostility to astrology is at the root of a deeply felt western cultural aversion to systematic efforts to understand history as revealed in parallel to cosmic signs. My view is that Jesus Christ saw his own vision as requiring such an astrological cosmology, and as reconciling such a cosmology with monotheism. The startling inference is that Jesus deliberately presented these astrological ideas in a coded way, expecting they would not be understood for a very long time, but with confidence that they would eventually become the basis to reconcile and integrate religion and science. |
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It becomes apparent in these lengthy posts by Mr. Tulip that numerology can be split into two applicable branches: 1. Numerical pareidolia (seeing patterns in groups of numbers that aren't there) 2. Historical pareidolia (seeing patterns in historical dates that aren't there) On the other hand astrology should not be split into branches. Instead it just needs to be cut down, ground into sawdust and recycled into something useful, which is what Phil does in his article "Astrology = Garbage".
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How does precession affect life on Earth and how could this manifest itself in cycles of civilisation? Quote:
What reason would you have, to think that precessional cycles should affect human events on Earth? Without looking at history, how would you predict events or cycles? Quote:
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If I roll a die 10 times, and pick out just the events where "3" followed "2", can I say that's a cycle? I also think people here have provided examples that contradict your word (that I bolded) above.
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Eye-watering, but not answers. In the fewest words possible, please answer these direct questions.
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_empires However, they are well known and like any pseudo-science, the first to have associations applied to them. |
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Robert Tulip, Gillianren has (again) asked you direct, pertinent questions. According to the Rules for ATM, you are required to address those questions in a timely fashion. You may address them by (1) answering them, (2) linking to a previously provided answer, (3) giving a time frame in which you will answer them, or (4) saying you have no answer. If you feel the questions are not pertinent, you should explain why. If you do not understand the question(s), ask for clarification.
On another matter, you have embedded many, many images in your posts. In future, please consider those who access this Board via dialup and keep your attachments small; also consider the total effect of many small images on the same page. And, remember that not everyone uses a wide screen monitor or a 1024x768 resolution; it would help to resize the images so Members don't have to pan to view them. There is some very good freeware available which can help you with this. (Of course, you could always provide a thumbnail or link instead.)
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Never attribute to malice what can be adequately explained by ignorance or stupidity. Isaac Asimov |
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There are cycles in history. However to find these cycles you need to start from data that was compiled by people who didn't know about the cycles. An Encyclopaedia is a good source. Then using all the data you have to find a way to categorize events in to various classes, again without biased picking. So that should be done by someone expert in the field and who does not know about the cycles. Finally you can then look for cycles in that resulting data using mathematical tools like Fourier analysis.
You might find the work of Raymond Wheeler interesting. He made a thing called "The Big Book" which is basically an analysis of history for several thousand years with what was going on in science, architecture, music etc etc. He found that a lot of things came back to long term weather fluctuations - wet/dry, hot/cold. Whether leaders were regarded as great, mediocre or rotten was almost totally determined by the weather. Seems the leader gets credit for when the crops are good or bad even though it was nature. I see the same things happening today. There is a book about Wheeler's work called something like "A Roadmap of Time" and the author's name starts with Z but I can't remember it .. Zuhartov or like that. |
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I can find cycles in fluid mechanics. This does not mean there is any mysticism involved. |
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However there are good reasons why cycles are sometimes divided in 12 as Tulip is suggesting the precession cycle is divided. Although New Agers and Astrologers often talk a lot of twaddle, there is sometimes a little grain of truth that they find because they are more open minded than hard nosed scientists who "know" what can and cannot happen. Therefore they are very much more likely to make brand new discoveries than these same scientists who generally can only make little incremental changes to existing knowledge. |
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