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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 26-July-2006, 06:03 PM
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Default Big Bang seems wrong, computers to blame

Big Bang seems wrong, computers to blame

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If current computer simulations are anything to go by, the Big Bang is wrong, according to cosmologists. But the experts aren't throwing away the theory just yet, they're blaming the computers.

According to a report published in U.S. journal Science on Friday, current simulations, which theoretically map the formation of the universe from when the Big Bang 'unfolded' over 13 billion years ago, are inconsistent with actual observations of nearby galaxies.

Cosmologists might have to wait decades before computer simulations can substantiate their theories, as current computers are simply not powerful enough to yield useful data.
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:13 AM
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That is real easy to hear wrong, it gives fodder to anti-BB types for no good reason. First of all, inadequate computers may be a reason that accurate simulations are currently impossible, but it's not the reason for the headline-- it's not the reason that current computer simulations give inconsistent results. That can't be the computers' fault, it must be the fault of the human-designed simulations. So the real question is, what are the simplifying assumptions in place to make those simulations feasible, and what is wrong with those assumptions?
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:24 AM
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It does seem unfair.

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Gas dynamics that determine how matter settles into galaxies and collapses from there to form much denser stars; and how stellar winds and explosions stir up the remaining gas and control the rate at which new stars form are concepts that are far too complex for current programs, the authors said.
This sounds a lot like weather. Do the weather models predict your rain chances accurately a week from now? Can they predict last weeks weather accurately? How about a million years ago?

Solar system models aren't so easy either.

If these aren't so easy, no reason to be hard on BBT number crunching.
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Lighten up! This is a stellar board! Author: duh.

"The Sun, with all the planets revolving around it, and depending on it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as though it had nothing else in the universe to do..." Author: Galileo supposedly.
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Old 27-July-2006, 04:07 AM
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Do the weather models predict your rain chances accurately a week from now?

They have trouble getting it right for tomorrow
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Old 27-July-2006, 08:43 AM
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Oh, you just know the woo-woo's are going to run with this!
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Old 27-July-2006, 01:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ToSeek
Can anyone show me the phrase that actually says "Wrong"? All I see is indications of not accurate ENOUGH. Limitations.

But does that mean "wrong"? I think in the context of a theory it's not. It's a step.

If I want to measure the thickness of my brake pad, my ruler is not "Wrong" (although it's not the right tool) It's just not accurate enough. But; It still gets me somewhere... I measure it at 3mm when it's actually 2.9mm. Am I wrong? It depends on why I need the measure.
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:01 PM
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How would anyone be able to simulate anything that is 96 percent unknown?
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:06 PM
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Originally Posted by ngeo
How would anyone be able to simulate anything that is 96 percent unknown?
With 96 educated guesses. It may be unkown, but the theories for the 96% are there. And if those guesses are right, then the simulation should match the real world.
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:16 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NEOWatcher
If I want to measure the thickness of my brake pad, my ruler is not "Wrong" (although it's not the right tool) It's just not accurate enough. But; It still gets me somewhere... I measure it at 3mm when it's actually 2.9mm. Am I wrong? It depends on why I need the measure.
Yes, but the issue is confidence. We have great confidence in how brakes work, but many could become more dubious about BB Theroy - "its just another theory and, now, one without a working computer model" may be their cry. Its a credibility issue.

They will ignore the wonderful concordance discovered for BBT and ignore the difficulty involved in producing a computer model for the entire universe. They do, however, know about the weather and our limitations to model it.
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Lighten up! This is a stellar board! Author: duh.

"The Sun, with all the planets revolving around it, and depending on it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as though it had nothing else in the universe to do..." Author: Galileo supposedly.
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Old 27-July-2006, 02:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by George
"its just another theory and, now, one without a working computer model" may be their cry. Its a credibility issue.
But; does that mean it's "wrong" or just not yet working. I guess I'm stuck on the word itself.
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Old 27-July-2006, 03:38 PM
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Yes, good point. If they don't get past the title, then some will claim it must be "wrong" based on advance computer calculations.
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Lighten up! This is a stellar board! Author: duh.

"The Sun, with all the planets revolving around it, and depending on it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as though it had nothing else in the universe to do..." Author: Galileo supposedly.
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Old 28-July-2006, 04:34 PM
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This whole issue speaks to what is the purpose of a simulation. Observations generate the need for a theory to explain them. The theory comes along, and simulations try to check the full ramifications of the theory. When the simulations are difficult, it is not at all uncommon for the simulations to fail to completely link the theory to the observations. Sometimes it means the theory is missing a key element, other times it means the simulations are not reliable. Supernova simulations were carried out for a very long time before they could actually get stars to supernova, and still have problems with it, but no one says that the theory that massive stars go supernova is "wrong". It just means that there must be some aspect of what is happening that is not properly accounted for in the simulations, either because of numerical problems or due to improper simplifying assumptions. It's not unusual.
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Old 29-July-2006, 12:21 AM
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I've about given up on popular science magazines. The quality of writing has just become too poor to bother with them.
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Old 29-July-2006, 02:33 AM
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The computers can't get the BB quite right. I wonder how long before the creationists jump on this?
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Old 05-August-2006, 12:57 AM
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Strike-five for the BB theory...or is anyone even counting anymore?
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Old 05-August-2006, 02:21 AM
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So, it has a few strikes against it. But it still has a pretty good batting average.
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Old 05-August-2006, 12:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ken G
This whole issue speaks to what is the purpose of a simulation. Observations generate the need for a theory to explain them. The theory comes along, and simulations try to check the full ramifications of the theory. When the simulations are difficult, it is not at all uncommon for the simulations to fail to completely link the theory to the observations. Sometimes it means the theory is missing a key element, other times it means the simulations are not reliable. Supernova simulations were carried out for a very long time before they could actually get stars to supernova, and still have problems with it, but no one says that the theory that massive stars go supernova is "wrong". It just means that there must be some aspect of what is happening that is not properly accounted for in the simulations, either because of numerical problems or due to improper simplifying assumptions. It's not unusual.
Very true, it just means that simulations should never be mistaken for physical reality; even if the results are "right" it doen't mean the theory is neccesarily true or correct.

Cheers.
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Old 05-August-2006, 03:24 PM
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I believe we are inside a body,not a universe as suggested.If this is the case,is it possible dark matter is actually the rest of the internal systems we cant see because we are so microscopic?
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Old 05-August-2006, 04:24 PM
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No.
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Old 05-August-2006, 05:45 PM
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Well, there was that couch gag on "The Simpson's" a couple of seasons ago. The camera pulls back to reveal that the universe is just a strand of DNA in one of the few hairs on the head of a giant Homer in another universe.

One of my favorite couch gags, but I don't believe it became a leading theory.
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Old 10-August-2006, 12:55 PM
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Default Anti BB thought

It has not been verified that the red shift is a doppler effect.
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