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let's hope you are wrong.
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"I will do my best to understand and explain the universe from big to small without invoking miracles, unrepeatable events, or divine intervention. In place of those things I will use observations, mathematics, and science." -Cross My travel blog Some of my Astrophotography Those that lack education have a hard time understanding its value. - Cross |
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Based on existing evidence, unfortunately, I'm not. Since that's exactly what's been happening for most of the 20th and early 21st century. But the mantra that a nuclear war equals Total Species Death is also unproven, since we have (fortunately!) never seen one outside of simulations and fiction. There would undoubtedly be some survivors, and they would retain or rediscover knowledge to rebuild civilization, since such recorded knowledge is increasingly widespread around the world. So even if we "blew ourselves back to the stone age", we wouldn't stay in the stone age for long.
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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you're kidding right?
first off infrastructure would be hard to find. Second the few survivors would probably be military people with the abilities to barricade and wait out the worst, and then rural people. I imagine most people would know how to operate a car and even some how to fill the tank with power out at the pumps. Civilization? very doubtful. Do you think you could repair a road? run a hospital? build an engine? even machine a part? My thoughts are that the people who survived would live long enough on what wasn't destroyed that they could form some groups hopefully of which there would be a few capable people. But that is very optimistic. As far as all this "knowledge" you're talking about, where is it? and how can we find it now? Rural libraries might be able to store some information. Check there first. How to build a cabinet, clean a carburetor. That would be helpful. ![]()
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"I will do my best to understand and explain the universe from big to small without invoking miracles, unrepeatable events, or divine intervention. In place of those things I will use observations, mathematics, and science." -Cross My travel blog Some of my Astrophotography Those that lack education have a hard time understanding its value. - Cross |
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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A few simple things like guns and mettalurgy would ensure that at worst people could be blown back to the 18th century. Everyone who regresses further than that would be mopped up by the people who remember how to make the guns.
As far as targets go - wasting your nukes on all the non-participant countries would be pretty stupid and pointless. I'd say there are good odds of non-participant countries making it through a nuclear engagement unscathed for the most part (except for a few months of climactic difficulty). But you have a point - most of this knowledge is tacit. Everyone knows how to do a specific thing, no one really knows how to do everything (at a modern level of sophistication - in 18th century terms you might find a few "rennaisance men" who actually do know how to do a bit of everything). Just because your cities are destroyed doesn't mean that there is no one to rely on for trade and mutual exchange between the survivors (which would include the vast majority of land area in a large country like the US or Russia, even with a few thousand h-bombs either way)
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http://amssolarempire.blogspot.com |
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The U.S. defense is spending unbelievable amounts of money on robotics research. We aren't developing robotic technology because we can... we're doing it because someone thinks we're going to need it.
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The only way of finding the limits of the possible is by going beyond them into the impossible. Arthur C. Clarke The Brain Science Podcast |
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The challenges for the first few generations after a nuclear holocaust would certainly be huge,
but it's easy to underestimate the resilience of knowledge. I know lots of people who can do handicraft at least at a pre-industrial-age level, all on their own and without any modern tools. And it's much easier to build on that, once you already know what's feasible (and roughly how). You can skip all that pointless trial and error necessary the first time around, say: - trying to make gold from other metals - treating infectious diseases with blood-letting - looking for continents or travel routes that don't exist - dying in stupid flight attempts - etc. etc. etc. Also, most survivors would be able to read and write, and thus to preserve at least part of their specialized knowledge for future generations. |
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that's an advantage for sure, but I'm expect that you are overestimating the general knowledge of our population. Ever have an adult man ask you why the moon is up in the day time?
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"I will do my best to understand and explain the universe from big to small without invoking miracles, unrepeatable events, or divine intervention. In place of those things I will use observations, mathematics, and science." -Cross My travel blog Some of my Astrophotography Those that lack education have a hard time understanding its value. - Cross |
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Any day you wake up on "the right side of the dirt" is a good day. T. Anderson |
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Yes, it is... start looking here....
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Active_SETI |
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Well, as an astronomer myself and considering the number of astronomers that I know and the fact that I don't know of a single one who is partaking in this activity and didn't even know that it was going on at all, it seems a bit unfair for the original poster to accuse "astronomers" of doing something dangerous by "shouting out" to the universe.
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Not to mention that it would be a pretty impressive facility that even could "shout out" to the universe in any sufficiently capable manner.
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http://amssolarempire.blogspot.com |
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But there definitely are some who are doing this using planetary radars, radio telescopes, (even aricebo on occasion). Again I say that even though the risk is small, they don't have the right to speak for all of us... and they definitely cant present a case that says it must be done right this minute. A sensible course would be to wait and see what we find out passively before going 'active'. It is an exciting time in astronomy and we might learn a lot in the next decade or so. It still strikes me as hubris. Exactly the kind of thing that Murphy's law will apply to.... |