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Old 06-October-2008, 08:37 PM
tony873004 tony873004 is offline
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Default Small asteroid to impact Earth tommorow

It's being reported in the minor planet mailing list that Sudan will be hit tommorow by an object not large enough to cause any damage. But this may be the first instance of an impact being predicted at all.
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/mpml/message/21070

This image was generated with Gravity Simulator, using data from JPL Horizons and http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/mpec/K08/K08T50.html. It shows an impact at 02:48:12 with the bolide colliding with Earth at a speed of 12.851 km/s
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Old 06-October-2008, 08:40 PM
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ToSeeked, though your title is better than mine.

PS. It will be today at your time.
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Old 06-October-2008, 08:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kullat Nunu View Post
ToSeeked, though your title is better than mine.

PS. It will be today at your time.
You beat me by a minute! Something was telling me to press submit before proofreading
My title might be somewhat of an exaggeration, as they're calling it a "bolide". I think the cutoff is < 50 meters is a bolide, >50 is an asteroid.

You're right, that is today my time! That's in 6 hours from now.
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Old 06-October-2008, 08:52 PM
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Minor correction: Bolides are very bright meteors. This object is a meteoroid. A few hours.
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Old 06-October-2008, 08:58 PM
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You're right: meteoroid. In a few hours it will be a bolide for a few seconds, and then either a meteorite or nothing.

I guess this implies that they have a size estimate, but I haven't read what it is yet.
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Old 06-October-2008, 08:59 PM
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You beat me by a minute!
I see 4 (or maybe slightly over 3)


Not that it matters. Either way, it's within the composing window.
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Old 06-October-2008, 09:00 PM
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Absolute magnitude H = 30.4 corresponds to a diameter of ~1-5 meters depending on the brightness of the object's surface. So it's really small.
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Old 09-October-2008, 12:15 AM
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No strike?
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Old 09-October-2008, 04:31 PM
Warren Platts Warren Platts is offline
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No strike?
Asteroid affirms prediction program
The impact occurred at 4:46 p.m. Hawaii time Monday over northern Sudan. A colleague compared the asteroid, called 2008 TC3, with the size of a Volkswagen, he said.

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., sent an e-mail saying the impact occurred yesterday at 2:46 a.m. universal time but provided no details, said Tholen, who hunts for hazardous near-Earth asteroids.

. . .

There was one report of a visual sighting by a KLM Airlines pilot, but it was far from the impact location and merely saw "a streak of light," he said.

The only other solid piece of data came from an infrasound station in Kenya that listens for very low-frequency sound waves and can detect the entry of fireballs, he said.

Asteroids create sonic booms, but a lot of the sound energy is lower in pitch than the human ear can hear, he said. The station detected sound waves at about the time the asteroid was predicted and within a few degrees of the impact location, he said.
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Old 09-October-2008, 04:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NEOWatcher View Post
I see 4 (or maybe slightly over 3)


Not that it matters. Either way, it's within the composing window.
HAR!
didn't you mean under ?

time to duck?
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Old 09-October-2008, 05:00 PM
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It seems like the early news is quite disorganized. I would think that somebody would have had a list of potential sighting options before hand.

Anyway; even on this board there's scattered reports, including a sighting by satellite.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Warren Platts View Post
Asteroid affirms prediction program
[...]The only other solid piece of data...

He said? Well, maybe taken out of context where maybe there's an implied "that WE know"
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Old 16-January-2009, 09:35 PM
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More
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infrasound (A way to detect meteor strikes)

Nice Graphics
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/news/2008tc3.html
"The data are consistent with the predicted arrival direction and time and suggest a kinetic energy of about 1.1 - 2.1 kilotons of TNT. "



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bolide#Bolide
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