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Sibrel's assistant attempted to address other concerns of mine as well. You can read our brief exchange at http://home.utah.edu/~mjm23/Bart_Sibrel/BS.html
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If only closed minds came with closed mouths! |
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I wonderer if there's some way to contact the current owner of the Zapruder film to see if BS did in fact pay for its use. There are a lot of folks out there who don't pay much attention to conspiracy stuff and who are blissfully unaware of the existence of BS and his little production.
Then again, the huge production costs cited by BS may include attorney fees and court costs.
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It's ironic that BS actually shows a successful launch in his opening sequences. It's a silo-launch of a solid fuel ICBM, probably a Minuteman. As soon the missile reaches the edge of the screen, BS, apparently thinking no one will notice any difference, cuts to an Atlas missile in flight, which appears to be an early test vehicle, given that the sustainer engine is not firing. This of course blows up. Not only does he pad the film length with an interminable slow-mo during the Zapruder clip, but he also uses the same footage of the Titan pad explosion twice. Ditto with the Polaris upper stage destruct, except here he flips the film and zooms in. Now, if, instead, he had used real-time footage of successful launches, especially of vehicles directly related to Apollo, this would have been one very long film!
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It doesn't matter if rockets before or after Apollo failed, all that matters is that the Saturn rockets used for Apollo succeeded and it would be totally ridiculous to deny that. Thousands (millions?) of people witnessed the launches of the Saturn rockets, so obviously they worked.
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In addition to misleading the viewer by showing only rocket failures, Sibrel is misleading in assuming that unmanned test vehicles are necessarily engineered the same way as manned vehicles and thus failure rates can be directly compared.
Reliability in the "high nines" is difficult and expensive. If a project has a fixed budget and is unmanned (i.e., it has an acceptable loss rate) then the best overall choice is a moderately engineered vehicle deployed in redundant missions. If you can build a rocket for one million dollars that has a reliability of 90%, you can have ten of them for ten million dollars. If you want 99% reliability, that extra nine percent of assurance isn't going to increase the price by a mere nine percent; more like double or triple the cost of the vehicle. So for ten million dollars you can only get three or four of them. If you have three targets to hit and three missiles, you get a 99% chance of taking out each target, and a 97% chance of taking out all three targets. But if you have ten missiles and three targets, you can assign three missiles to each target with one hot spare. Even though each missile individually has only a 90% success rate, all three assigned to a target would have to fail in order to omit destroying the target. The chances that three such rockets will fail is 0.1% for a per-target chance of success of 99.9% and an overall 99.7% chance of success. ICBMs are intentionally built to a lower degree of reliability than a manned launch vehicle. To say the latter is impossible because the former behaves as expected is specious. |
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Truely amazing |
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I did my own little film with stock NASA footage on my PC, and all it cost me was my time. Even the music came from a CD given free with my newspaper.
I wish I could have got $30 :wink: I never heard Jay say what he thought of it when I posted the link here
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Fame, glory adventure, a cyber warrior craves not these things. |
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"Flying in space is risky business, but just staying on this planet is risky business too." - John Young, astronaut |
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JUst send an email
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I never heard Jay say what he thought of it when I posted the link here
Sorry, I didn't mean to snub you there. Pretty good effort. It's definitely got a groove to it. |
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It's a great show if you haven't seen it. I'm currently going though the first two seasons now (yay Netflix)
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People who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do. |