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  #31 (permalink)  
Old 23-June-2008, 05:19 PM
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Okay, I'll bite. The computers I build are used for (among other things) n-body Kuiper belt gravimetrics. Point me at some of the models you're talking about.
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Old 23-June-2008, 05:31 PM
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Hi Jay.

The computer model I refer to is the one from Lykawka at Kobe University.

The recent discoveries are those by Matese, Whitmire, Brown and others (cometary wake, Sedna, CR105, 2003DW, etc).
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Old 24-June-2008, 12:53 AM
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Why don't we wait until the OP comes back before this thread continues?

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Old 24-June-2008, 05:25 AM
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Originally Posted by A.DIM View Post
Hi Jay.

The computer model I refer to is the one from Lykawka at Kobe University.
Which is arguing for another world .3 to .7 the mass of Earth. For comparison, a brown dwarf (what the OP is talking about) would be over 4000 times the mass of earth. There is no evidence for a closely orbiting brown dwarf, or a planet heading into the inner solar system.

As I said before, it would be great if something like that was found, but we'll have to wait and see.
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Old 24-June-2008, 05:58 AM
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Tenths of Earth-masses. Not relevant. Further, the model runs in this study were about an order of magnitude less complex than the state of the art in 2003, when I looked at the Kuiper belt gravitation problem. Lykawka's runs were considerably coarsely discretized by the mass of the hypothesized objects. This is all probably due to limited resources availability, but the nature of the models makes coarse discretization an issue.

Good research, for what it is, but not in the least persuasive of a massive object headed this way.
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Old 24-June-2008, 10:43 AM
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Maybe relevant, maybe not:

A popular misconception about Philolaus is that he supposed that a sphere of the fixed stars, the five planets, the Sun, Moon and Earth, all moved round his Central Fire, but as these made up only nine revolving bodies, he conceived in accordance with his number theory a tenth, which he called Counter-Earth. This fallacy grows largely out of Aristotle's attempt to lampoon his ideas in his book, Metaphysics.

In reality, Philolaus' ideas predated the idea of spheres by hundreds of years, and the Counter-Earth was conceived to explain his revolutionary ideas about the lack of up or down in space to the Pythagorean community.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philolaus
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Old 24-June-2008, 05:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Van Rijn View Post
Which is arguing for another world .3 to .7 the mass of Earth. For comparison, a brown dwarf (what the OP is talking about) would be over 4000 times the mass of earth. There is no evidence for a closely orbiting brown dwarf, or a planet heading into the inner solar system.

As I said before, it would be great if something like that was found, but we'll have to wait and see.
I agree, all we can do is wait and see.
If it's there, WISE should find it; as a matter of fact, one of the mission goals is to locate Brown Dwarfs between our sun and the nearest stars.

But the OP states, "Whatever it may be, a brown dwarf, a large planet, an unidentified body that may be invading our solar system." so I don't the s/he was speaking of a brown dwarf exclusively.
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Old 24-June-2008, 05:20 PM
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...snip...
Good research, for what it is, but not in the least persuasive of a massive object headed this way.
Is there any research you know of which persuasively explains the cometary "wake", the kuiper "cliff", the odd orbits of some TNOs etc. (those things cited as evidence of a perturber body)?
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Old 24-June-2008, 06:39 PM
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Is there any research you know of which persuasively explains the cometary "wake", the kuiper "cliff", the odd orbits of some TNOs etc. (those things cited as evidence of a perturber body)?

None that I know of. Lykawka's hypothesis is as good as any to explain that, although it would need more work and some observational validation. It just doesn't fit the brown dwarf scenario for Nibiru.
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Old 24-June-2008, 07:07 PM
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What, according to you, is the "brown dwarf scenario for Nibiru"?


And what would be your best guess at an explanation for the observations cited as evidence for a perturber body in our system?
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Old 24-June-2008, 07:57 PM
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The scenario is a supposed brown dwarf with a period of thousands of years, on a highly elliptical orbit which takes it from beyond the orbit of Pluto to within the orbit of Earth.

Such a scenario is impossible because if an event like a brown dwarf cruising through our system had ever happened the orbits of all the planets would be very elliptical and they're not. They're nearly circular.
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Old 24-June-2008, 08:03 PM
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The scenario is a supposed brown dwarf with a period of thousands of years, on a highly elliptical orbit which takes it from beyond the orbit of Pluto to within the orbit of Earth.
Not entirely so; the nearest it is supposed to come is the asteroid belt, from below the ecliptic.

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Such a scenario is impossible because if an event like a brown dwarf cruising through our system had ever happened the orbits of all the planets would be very elliptical and they're not. They're nearly circular.
There was an orbital modeller we had here some time ago that showed a body up to .08Mj entering the system and did not disrupt the circular orbits.

I'll see if I can locate it.
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Old 24-June-2008, 08:09 PM
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Still, .08 Mj is still 14 times too small to be a brown dwarf.

And the Nibiru freakout involves thinking that the object will come close enough to Earth to severely affect us, and I don't see that happening from a distance of approximately 200 million miles.
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Old 24-June-2008, 08:30 PM
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Still, .08 Mj is still 14 times too small to be a brown dwarf.

And the Nibiru freakout involves thinking that the object will come close enough to Earth to severely affect us, and I don't see that happening from a distance of approximately 200 million miles.

Well, the Nibiru freakout, as you say, comes from people with partial knowledge or insight into what Sitchin wrote.

Then again, it could well have come from Carl Sagan and his hypothetical "death star."

But you're right, .08 Mj is too small to be a brown dwarf, which is why I suspect that if such a perturber body exists and enters the solar system, it will be a satellite (planet?) which orbits the brown dwarf, not the brown dwarf itself.
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Old 24-June-2008, 08:55 PM
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But the OP states, "Whatever it may be, a brown dwarf, a large planet, an unidentified body that may be invading our solar system." so I don't the s/he was speaking of a brown dwarf exclusively.
And it still wouldn't apply. It wouldn't be a large planet, and it wouldn't be invading our solar system.
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Old 24-June-2008, 09:35 PM
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But you're right, .08 Mj is too small to be a brown dwarf, which is why I suspect that if such a perturber body exists and enters the solar system, it will be a satellite (planet?) which orbits the brown dwarf, not the brown dwarf itself.
How is an object orbiting something the size of Jupiter doing so with such huge eccentricity that it can pass through our solar system while the brown dwarf remains outside at sufficient distance to be undetectable and not getting captured by the many other massive objects (like the Sun) it encounters on the way?
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Old 24-June-2008, 09:44 PM
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Well, the Nibiru freakout, as you say, comes from people with partial knowledge or insight into what Sitchin wrote
Well, that's a reliable source.
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Old 24-June-2008, 09:59 PM
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But you're right, .08 Mj is too small to be a brown dwarf, which is why I suspect that if such a perturber body exists and enters the solar system, it will be a satellite (planet?) which orbits the brown dwarf, not the brown dwarf itself.
What brown dwarf are you referring to?

What distance from the sun do you mean by "entering the solar system"?
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Old 24-June-2008, 11:09 PM
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What, according to you, is the "brown dwarf scenario for Nibiru"?

That Nibiru is a brown dwarf.

And what would be your best guess at an explanation for the observations cited as evidence for a perturber body in our system?

I don't have a guess. However, the observations you referred to do not allow for a perturbing body of anywhere near the mass of the hypothetical Niburu. Mass matters in gravitational simulations. A lot.
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Old 24-June-2008, 11:20 PM
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But you're right, .08 Mj is too small to be a brown dwarf, which is why I suspect that if such a perturber body exists and enters the solar system, it will be a satellite (planet?) which orbits the brown dwarf, not the brown dwarf itself.

So the gravity of the brown dwarf's satellite is significant on TNOs, but not the gravity of the brown dwarf itself...
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Old 25-June-2008, 02:43 AM
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There was an orbital modeller we had here some time ago that showed a body up to .08Mj entering the system and did not disrupt the circular orbits.

I'll see if I can locate it.
Rogue Star?
http://janus.astro.umd.edu/orbits/rstar.html
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Old 25-June-2008, 03:21 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by A.Dim
Not entirely so; the nearest it is supposed to come is the asteroid belt, from below the ecliptic.
How is this possible? Are you saying the perturber is orbiting something other than the sun? Am I correct you are saying it is a massive planet orbiting another nearby star which we have not found?

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Well, the Nibiru freakout, as you say, comes from people with partial knowledge or insight into what Sitchin wrote.
A.Dim there are only so many ways to "interpret" what Sitchin wrote and a quick visit to his 'official' website demonstrates that the man is barely on the fringe of orthodoxy.

http://www.sitchin.com/
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Inscribed on seven clay tablets, the text described how the inner and outer planets appeared; how an invading celestial body (“Nibiru”) collided with and broke up the planet ‘Tiamat’, creating “a new heaven;” and how Nibiru, captured in a great elliptical orbit, became the twelfth member of the Sun’s Family - Sun, Moon, and ten planets including Earth, Nibiru and Pluto. These ‘celestial gods’ were matched by a pantheon of twelve deities on Earth. ...
in The 12th Planet I wrote that the Sumerians of ancient Mesopotamia knew: Pluto (“GAGA” in the Epic of Creation) was indeed a moon of Saturn, pried off and sent into independent orbit by the invading Nibiru to play an important role in those celestial encounters.
- ZECHARIA SITCHIN
He makes many other claims which are outside the scope of this thread so we need not discuss them here, but I'm not understanding your defense of his ideas other than, you and he share a belief in a planet-x scenario and you and he believe that earth has been visited by aliens in the past.

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Old 25-June-2008, 01:32 PM
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And it still wouldn't apply. It wouldn't be a large planet, and it wouldn't be invading our solar system.
All we can do is wait and see.
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:34 PM
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How is an object orbiting something the size of Jupiter doing so with such huge eccentricity that it can pass through our solar system while the brown dwarf remains outside at sufficient distance to be undetectable and not getting captured by the many other massive objects (like the Sun) it encounters on the way?
Hi Jason.

I don't know, I'm guessing.
Perturber hypotheses vary widely from having it with an extremely distant circular orbit to it having a much less distant yet elliptical inclined orbit.
I merely speculate on what might account for both.
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:37 PM
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What brown dwarf are you referring to?

What distance from the sun do you mean by "entering the solar system"?
The alleged brown dwarf binary companion to our sun.
3-5AU is entering our solar system but there again, I consider the kuiper cliff as "in" the solar system at what, 50some AU?

I'm speculating how we might reconcile the various distances given for its orbit which vary from 90,000AU to 20,000AU to 50someAU to 3-5AU.
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:40 PM
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What, according to you, is the "brown dwarf scenario for Nibiru"?

That Nibiru is a brown dwarf.

And what would be your best guess at an explanation for the observations cited as evidence for a perturber body in our system?

I don't have a guess. However, the observations you referred to do not allow for a perturbing body of anywhere near the mass of the hypothetical Niburu. Mass matters in gravitational simulations. A lot.

Certainly, and just as with the distance issues so too are there issues with its suggested sizes.
I don't mind guessing, a little.
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:43 PM
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But you're right, .08 Mj is too small to be a brown dwarf, which is why I suspect that if such a perturber body exists and enters the solar system, it will be a satellite (planet?) which orbits the brown dwarf, not the brown dwarf itself.

So the gravity of the brown dwarf's satellite is significant on TNOs, but not the gravity of the brown dwarf itself...
Great question; I don't know.
If the alleged perturber is a brown dwarf in orbit around the sun, engaged in an elliptical binary dance, and has a "planetary" system of its own, I wonder if the brown dwarf isn't responsible for the most distant observations suggestive of a perturber while its satellites responsible for the nearest.
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:44 PM
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That's it; thanks, Jim!
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Old 25-June-2008, 01:50 PM
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How is this possible? Are you saying the perturber is orbiting something other than the sun? Am I correct you are saying it is a massive planet orbiting another nearby star which we have not found?
Yes, just as most known stars are in a binary, or more, system, I think ours may be as well.

Quote:
A.Dim there are only so many ways to "interpret" what Sitchin wrote and a quick visit to his 'official' website demonstrates that the man is barely on the fringe of orthodoxy.
I agree and have never said otherwise.

Thanks!

Quote:
He makes many other claims which are outside the scope of this thread so we need not discuss them here, but I'm not understanding your defense of his ideas other than, you and he share a belief in a planet-x scenario and you and he believe that earth has been visited by aliens in the past.
Yes, I think it entirely plausible, I daresay probable, the Earth has been visited (if not colonized )by ETs.

But I'm not so much defending Sitchin's ideas as correcting misinfo and errant assumptions about his work, and proffering insight as to why refutations & criticisms have failed to disprove his theory.
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Old 25-June-2008, 03:00 PM
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I wonder if the brown dwarf isn't responsible for the most distant observations suggestive of a perturber while its satellites responsible for the nearest.

Except that the best model so far (or at least the one you're referring to) that explains the observable TNO behavior (Lykawka's) also narrowly requires a single perturber circling our sun in order for the model to work at all. You can't just replace one perturber with two, change what they orbit, and fiddle with their masses by orders of magnitude and remain faithful to the data or model, any more than you can replace a violinist with a sumo wrestler in a concert and call them both equivalent performers.
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