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Old 29-May-2009, 02:20 AM
Michael812 Michael812 is offline
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Default Regarding Tunguska, etc.

Hi,

First, let me say that I'm not entirely sure if this would be the best forum on which to post this information but I'll give it a try.

Let me also say that I am NOT posting my information to promote the sale of, or belief in, anything. I simply have sufficient evidence of the credibility and authenticity of the source of the information to render obvious skeptical attacks quite moot.

I'll also add that my exchanges with Phil in the past have been less than satisfying but I hope that any prejudices on his end won't prevent all of you from forming your own opinions, pro or con.

Here then are links to two articles that have information about the Tunguska event that deal with the ET hypothesis:

http://www.theyfly.com/PDF/The_Tungu...illy_Meier.pdf

http://www.theyfly.com/Tunguska1.htm

...and here are a few other links to articles that contain scientific information that was also published well in advnace of "official" discovery:

http://www.theyfly.com/newsflash94/U..._the_Towel.htm

http://www.theyfly.com/Breaking_News.html

http://www.theyfly.com/newsflash95/U...unami_Ver2.pdf

http://www.theyfly.com/lost/meier.prophecies.1958.htm

Dare I say that I look forward to your responses?

MH
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Old 29-May-2009, 04:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
First, let me say that I'm not entirely sure if this would be the best forum on which to post this information but I'll give it a try.
Welcome to the board.

If you intend to present and defend a conspiracy hypothesis here, you should state or summarize it in your post, and use links only to support these statements. When you just give us links to pages written by others, and make no claims yourself, it's not very fair to us, as we don't know what specific claims or arguments you mean to present or defend.

I will comment on one page for starters; the one about how "UFO Skeptics" are supposedly "throwing in the towel" because someone said that there was water on Mars many years ago.

Looking past the hyperbole and smug self-congratulatory tone of the article, the only thing I see there is that someone stated - without a shred of supporting evidence - that his alien pals told him that there was water on Mars. He conveniently left all the hard work and skull sweat of actually proving that there really was water on Mars to NASA.

Can you tell me why this is supposed to be impressive, or why any UFO skeptics should care about this? If this fellow thought (for whatever reason) that there was life on Mars, why is it so shocking that he guessed that there was liquid water there? Why should such a guess convince anyone else without supporting evidence?

Jonathan Swift was at least able to guess that Mars has two moons, and he wasn't even trying very hard.
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Old 29-May-2009, 04:54 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Hi,

First, let me say that I'm not entirely sure if this would be the best forum on which to post this information but I'll give it a try.

Let me also say that I am NOT posting my information to promote the sale of, or belief in, anything.
Like, perhaps, Billy Meier? It appears every link you provided (all from one website, some of which appears to have been written by you - I saw an "MH" there) was about Billy Meier claims.


Quote:
Here then are links to two articles that have information about the Tunguska event that deal with the ET hypothesis:
All I see there are Billy Meier claims. If you have a conspiracy theory to present, with evidence, go ahead.
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Old 29-May-2009, 05:59 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Let me also say that I am NOT posting my information to promote the sale of, or belief in, anything. I simply have sufficient evidence of the credibility and authenticity of the source of the information to render obvious skeptical attacks quite moot.

I'll also add that my exchanges with Phil in the past have been less than satisfying but I hope that any prejudices on his end won't prevent all of you from forming your own opinions, pro or con.
[snip]

MH
From the website you linked to:

http://www.theyfly.com/prophecies/prophecies.htm

Quote:
Michael Horn is the authorised American media representative for the Billy Meier Contacts and has researched the case for over 25 years.
Are you Michael Horn? If so, do you have any other purpose here than to promote Billy Meier?
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Old 29-May-2009, 06:57 AM
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Welcome to BAUT, Michael812. If you intend to promote a theory simply by posting links for people to read, you have indeed posted to the wrong forum. This is the place to propose a theory by posting it here, supporting it here, and answering questions about it here. You may, of course, make reference to off-site materials but it is bad form to make your entire argument with the contents of another website.

Please read our Rules For Posting To This Board as well as the thread, Advice for Conspiracy Theory Supporters.

I hope you enjoy your stay here, should you decide to pursue the discussion.
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Old 29-May-2009, 03:22 PM
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Before Shoemaker-Levy, I leaned a bit towards the artificially produced blast explaination. Basiccaly because no one knew what an impact event was really like.

No that we know, Tunguska matches a natural impact event perfectly.
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Old 29-May-2009, 04:25 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jja View Post
Jonathan Swift was at least able to guess that Mars has two moons, and he wasn't even trying very hard.
Funny you should say that. A couple days ago I read Professor French's article about Patrica Putt's failure to pass the preliminary test for the James Randi Education Foundation's Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge in the Guardian. In the comments is a hard to understand rant (well several from the same guy) that claims his wife wrote an entire book on Swift's precognition abilities (or some such) to predict the two moons and their 'precise' orbits and periods. (Swift was off the mark by quite a bit, in actual fact, but don't underestimate the power of woo).

http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/20...2-324fe422cd83

I found this rather insulting to Swift's intelligence. He knew that no moons were yet spotted orbiting mars. Any moons therefore would have to be small and close. Once distance was known, simple orbital mechanics will allow you to predict how long something takes to revolve around Mars. The thought of the day was since Earth had one moon, and Jupiter had four, logically, Mars would have two. (This seems to go back to Kepler at least). Swift chose 3 and 5 as orbital radii (it's closer to 1.4 and 3.5) it has been suggested mostly as a joke.
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Old 29-May-2009, 05:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Dare I say that I look forward to your responses?

MH
Sorry but Billy Meier quotes are not considered as evidence on this board. Do you have any concrete evidence?
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Old 29-May-2009, 06:44 PM
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A quote from the article:

"It just so happens that the Swiss UFO contactee had also been told, and had written, about the Tunguska event. And, as is typical of the depth and extent of the prophetically accurate information in the case, Meier actually first received the information on February 3, 1953"

I say, this kills the whole idea from the getgo. Why? Because Billy Meier is a well known "UFO contactee" who is not taken seriously by the scientific community. So his evidence about Tunguska is worthless from a main stream science point of view.
What I know of Tunguska is that photos of kilometers of trees blown over plus reports of sonic booms hundreds of km away, point to a large explosion in the atmosphere. This must have been an asteroid or comet, because nuclear bombs hadn't been invented in 1908.
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Old 29-May-2009, 08:44 PM
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First off: Welcome to the Forum.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Let me also say that I am NOT posting my information to promote the sale of, or belief in, anything. I simply have sufficient evidence of the credibility and authenticity of the source of the information to render obvious skeptical attacks quite moot.
Well if what Van Rijn says is true and you are M. Horn and you are “the authorised American media representative for the Billy Meier Contacts” then you are promoting BM’s books in a round about way so would profit from any interest generated by the sites you linked. This alone severely damages your credibility.

If “obvious skeptical attacks are quite moot” why bother posting it. Who or what source is the information from?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
I'll also add that my exchanges with Phil in the past have been less than satisfying but I hope that any prejudices on his end won't prevent all of you from forming your own opinions, pro or con.
As most people here have respect for Phil and his opinions, though some may not agree with all of them, your veiled attack on him does not help your case.

BTW what is the case you are promoting beside the websites? Do you have a theory to put forward?
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Old 29-May-2009, 08:51 PM
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Interesting that the BA is blogging about this today
Quote:
Thank heavens aliens and their flying saucers are so thoughtful! As reported by Fox news — yeah, imagine that — a Russian scientist claims that an alien spaceship crashed into an incoming asteroid in 1908 to save the Earth.

Kinda brings a tear to your big, black, pupilless almond-shaped eye, doesn’t it?

In 1908, a smallish (30-50 meter wide) asteroid had Earth dead in its crosshairs. According to mainstream scientists, who we know make things up all the time, it was atmospheric pressure that caused the rock to explode several kilometers off the surface of the Earth, creating a huge fireball and shock wave that set fire to and knocked down trees for hundreds of square kilometers in a remote swampy region of Siberia.

"Atmospheric pressure". Ha! Stoopid scientists. What obviously really happened was that a brave alien saw what was happening and swung his/her/its spaceship into the way of the incoming space debris, blowing it and him/her/itself up in the process.
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Old 29-May-2009, 11:29 PM
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Thanks for all of your responses. I had just posted a couple of links on a page devoted to the Tunguska event, jumping the gun since it took me a while to realize that my original post had indeed appeared here.

Okay, if we are really interested in determining if there is merit to the Meier case and the claims contained therein, I expect that there are things that we would allow and things that we would disallow.

I consider that the only two possibilities are that the Meier case is either the biggest, most impenetrable hoax, or the most important story in human history. I'm sure that most of you would automatically side with the former possibility, as appears to already be the case.

Since my own experience, and 30 years of research, cause me to conclude that it's quite authentic, naturally the burden of proof (a subject in itself) would be mine.

I will state though that because I have chosen to, voluntarily (for free, without pay, gratis, etc.) represent the material in the case shouldn't in itself be viewed as a negative. Do you discard the opinions of any scientists, researchers, etc. because they are affiliated with and/or have received funding from institutions, etc. - something that doesn't even apply to me?

So I'd like to continue the conversation and do so by responding to what other board members would consider to be the first priority.

I will say that:

There are well respected experts and scientists who support and/or have authenticated the evidence in the case

All skeptical challenges have indeed been defeated

Documented proof is available for many of Meier's specific claims

So I would very much like to proceed and make my best case. Please let me know where you'd like me to begin.

Thanks!
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Old 29-May-2009, 11:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
I consider that the only two possibilities are that the Meier case is either the biggest, most impenetrable hoax, or the most important story in human history.
Well, which do you think it is, Michael?

Of course, I don't believe the hoax is impenetrable in the least. It was downright silly, in my opinion. But this has nothing to do with Tunguska...

It was clearly a meteoroid, and was even recognized as such by some of the witnesses who didn't wonder about what it could be, but rather what it most likely was.

It has all the features of a meteoroid air-burst. I am not sure about what qualities that were present that suggested otherwise.
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Old 29-May-2009, 11:59 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Van Rijn
Are you Michael Horn?
There is the first question.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Micheal812
There are well respected experts and scientists who support and/or have authenticated the evidence in the case
Who are the scientists? Where is this authentication?

Quote:
All skeptical challenges have indeed been defeated
That is a mighty bold claim.

Quote:
Documented proof is available for many of Meier's specific claims
Can we see these documents?

And just remember, you are to answer direct questions.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:02 AM
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Hi Jason,

Thanks for responding. In my opinion, the Meier case is absolutely no hoax. Let me point out that you mention here a belief of yours, i.e. that it's a hoax and not impenetrable. You don't state any evidence for your belief.

While I entered the discussion regarding the Tunguska event, it was pointed out to me that this is a place to propose, support and answer questions about a theory, in this case mine would be that the Meier case is authentic, i.e. an actual example of extraterrestrial contact.

This certainly necessitates my presenting the best evidence I have, devoid of any beliefs. Likewise, if someone is proposing that the case is indeed a hoax, the best arguments, devoid of beliefs, are required. In any event there needs to be evidence that is examined.

My experience is that when it comes to evidence for non-terrestrial UFOs, the skeptics regard any (even abundant) evidence as effectively the same as no evidence. But I think that since we are dealing with a rather unusual subject we should simply use fair, reasonable and objective criteria for examining the evidence.

If someone claims that they have seen and photographed, even been aboard, such objects, just what criteria should we use to try to assess their claims?

Since I am not a credentialed scientist I will not pretend to be one. However, that doesn't mean that I'm unwilling or unable to respond to scientifically based challenges for "proof". And since there are a number of types of proof, I am prepared to present and argue for them, as it pertains to the evidence in the Meier case.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:06 AM
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Nick,

Yes I am, sorry for not addressing that first.

Some of the documented comments are available here:

http://theyfly.com/PDF/Scientific%20Experts.PDF

Information on Vogel:

http://theyfly.com/PDF/Documentation...20IBM%20on.pdf

Regarding the documents, yes, in most or many cases they are available to see. They exist in books, websites, etc.

Now a question from me. When did you learn that there were two planets discovered beyond Pluto?
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:09 AM
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P.S. Nick, I forgot to address your statement regarding my own claim that all skeptical challenges have been defeated. I'd be glad to elaborate on that but I'd first suggest that you review the articles under The Latest Evidence at my site.

I'm glad to expound on the information contained therein.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:11 AM
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I noticed that my last response posted quickly but my two previous ones didn't, at least not yet. If they got lost let me know and I'll respond again.

Thanks.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:12 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Documented proof is available for many of Meier's specific claims

So I would very much like to proceed and make my best case. Please let me know where you'd like me to begin.

Thanks!
If you have a space or astronomy related conspiracy theory that you want to present, this is the forum. If you have a space or astronomy related ATM idea you want to present then you want the ATM forum.

Quote:
I consider that the only two possibilities are that the Meier case is either the biggest, most impenetrable hoax, or the most important story in human history. I'm sure that most of you would automatically side with the former possibility, as appears to already be the case.
No, I would go with the "Meier case" as a very minor and obvious hoax. It's hard for me to understand why anyone would take him seriously, but then there are plenty of other ridiculous things that some people take seriously.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
I noticed that my last response posted quickly but my two previous ones didn't, at least not yet. If they got lost let me know and I'll respond again.

Thanks.
Did they have links? Posts containing links by new users are held in a moderator queue. It's an anti-spam measure.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:14 AM
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Van Rijn,

Do you have any evidence to support your...belief?
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:15 AM
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Thanks, they do have links as I was asked for some information for which provided the links. Please then bear with me when requesting documentation, etc. as I will be referring to links to it whenever appropriate.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Van Rijn,

Do you have any evidence to support your...belief?
Why don't you present an ATM or CT claim, with what you consider evidence, and then we can discuss it.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael812 View Post
Thanks, they do have links as I was asked for some information for which provided the links. Please then bear with me when requesting documentation, etc. as I will be referring to links to it whenever appropriate.
Seems to me you've just gone in circles this whole thread, I don't have any idea what it is you are claiming.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:32 AM
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Okay, I claim that: The Billy Meier UFO contacts in Switzerland are indeed authentic, documented and substantiated by several types of acceptable evidence. I further claim that the facts about the case have been distorted, even suppressed by powerful forces.

That should be a start.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:36 AM
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Then the direct questions posed to you still stand, and you need to start answering them.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:37 AM
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Nick,

I did submit answers but there were links with them and I was informed above that this will take longer to post.

In the meantime, if you'd ask me one that's most important to you, I'll do my best to answer without posting links.

How's that?
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:38 AM
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P.S. Yes, I'm Michael Horn.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:39 AM
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I'll be patient and wait for the mods to allow your posts.
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Old 30-May-2009, 12:40 AM
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Okay...me too.
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