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But this only goes when there is a 18-2 distribution, not with the initial given 15-5 distribution. If they knew upfront that there were only two colours, then no new info is given by the anthropologist in this case.
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Knowledge is a curse, but ignorance is worse |
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Guy A would know that guy B has blue eyes. Guy A would know that guy B knows that guy C has blue eyes. But, Guy A can't know whether guy B knows whether guy C knows that anyone has blue eyes. Guy A cannot conclude that guy B knows that guy C knows that anyone in the tribe has blue eyes. When the anthropologist arrives, guy A can make this conclusion. He now knows that guy B knows that guy C knows that at least one person has blue eyes. It works the same with a 16-4 distribution, and all distributions. |
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Perhaps the information revealed by the anthropologist is not important for its information content - but rather it becomes a "focal point" in time to actually consider the logical ramifications regarding distribution of eye color. Essentially, they already did have all the same information provided by the visitor - they just had managed to avoid thinking about it as a group! ![]() Last edited by BioSci; 05-December-2005 at 10:26 PM. |
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The ether of general relativity therefore differs from that of classical mechanics or the special theory of relativity respectively, in so far as it is not 'absolute', but is determined in its locally variable properties by ponderable matter. Albert Einstein, "On the Ether", 1924 |
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The chief declares a brown-eyed person must go first.
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Lighten up! This is a stellar board! Author: duh. "The Sun, with all the planets revolving around it, and depending on it, can still ripen a bunch of grapes as though it had nothing else in the universe to do..." Author: Galileo supposedly. |
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Now this person, call him W, would only "know" that he had blue eyes after the meeting on the fourth day. He would feel confident about his eye color as long as he believed that at least one other blue-eyed person, say X, had heard the anthropologist and that X believed that at least one other blue-eyed person, say Y had heard the anthropologist and that X also believed that Y believed that at least one other blue-eyed person, say Z, had heard the anthropologist. W would believe this because otherwise X would have committed suicide on the third day because of Y's lack of action on the second day which would have resulted from the lack of action by Z on the first day. W would still be morally compelled to commit suicide on the fifth day, however. If W waits until he knows he has blue eyes, he cannot promulgate his lie until after the fourth day. This delay will certainly arouse the suspicion of the other members of the tribe. As the above argument indicates, to feel certain of his own eye color, another blue-eyed person does not have to believe that W heard the anthropologist, only that there exists a chain such as the one that W relied upon. The chain would not have to actually include W. Furthermore, the others may not believe W's lie, even if they pass off his suicide as just the result of a bad hair day. Of course, anyone could tell a similar lie at any time before knowing his own eye color. We'd call it a white lie because it couldn't do any harm in any case. The idea of raising some kind of doubt is a good one. To invalidate an alleged proof, I don't need to disprove the proposition. I need merely show that we cannot be 100% certain of the conclusion. As long as there is the slightest doubt, the slghtest possible loophole, we can't really say we know. If a tribe member doesn't know his eye color, he doesn't have to commit suicide. Looked at this way, how could a tribesman really ever know that everyone had heard the anthropologist and made the appropriate deductions. There is always some modicum of doubt about what has actually transpired in the course of human affairs - who has heard, done, and thought what. |
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