Thanks.

The NH (or SH) will warm based on whether total energy is increasing or decreasing. Solstice is simply when it’s increasing/deceasing the fastest which obviously isn’t the same.

There isn’t really an analogy to this in Milankovitch cycles. There can be a few decades of lag due to the time it takes the oceans to heat/cool, but on the time scale Milankovitch cycles that’s insignificant.


Edit – that’s for the initial temperature change. There is going to be a somewhat longer lag for CO2 levels to change. Even if that is a few centuries, however, it’s still small on the scale of Milankovitch cycles.

Remember that water's effect on warming is highly non-linear, at higher concentrations, where clouds form, its effect is negative.
At even higher concentrations it'll remove itself as rain.

So there's a maximum warming effect of water vapor, which incidentally rises with temperature so increased warming from CO2 will increase the warming effect of water vapor.

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And the "driving on the freeway on a scooter" analogy still holds true because the pilots are sitting in 7 to 30 ton aircraft o' doom and you are running around them in your very own Meatbody, Mark I. Beep, beep.
Trying to make sense of computers, The Error Log.

Don't forget CH₄, which presumably is increasing with the increase in agriculture. Methane is a very effective greenhouse gas and aside from the increase in cattle, there are vast amounts frozen in the tundra that are threatened by the thawing of the northern plains.

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T. Anderson

Water vapor also has a negative feedback aspect which cools by reflecting a larger percentage of incoming radiation. I'm not sure how well understood this effect is. A dense, uninterrupted, cloud cover will probably affect precipitation patterns perhaps dumping water at latitudes and altitudes where it will start building and refurbishing glaciers.

I can imaginine conditions where water in gaseous, vaporous, and clumps of atmospheric ice exist together. I doubt whether we know how the various combinations and permutations of these cloud constituents can affect weather and climate where they are sufficiently longlasting.

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For those inclined to oppose human meddling with the structure of the universe or the composition and configuration of objects and groups of objects within the universe, consider:
Whether there is a limit to the magnitude of a modulation of chaos below which order remains invariant? Or, is order but a fiction invented by perspectives applied over finite, however large, time intervals?

Actually, there's even another feedback mechanism with water - greater amounts of rainfall (from increased water vapor) means that more CO₂ dissolves in the ocean and is removed from the atmosphere, cooling the planet (this one has a very long timescale though - about half a million years to establish equilibrium IIRC).

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WANTED:

Schroedinger's Cat

Dead And Alive