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| View Poll Results: How many intelligent civilizations are there in the Milky Way? | |||
| 1 (us) |
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50 | 21.83% |
| 10 |
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44 | 19.21% |
| 100 |
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32 | 13.97% |
| 1,000 |
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36 | 15.72% |
| 10,000 or more |
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67 | 29.26% |
| Voters: 229. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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It seems to me that a civilization with substantial interplanetary capability would eventually move toward interstellar exploration, especially if they found a nearby world with water, land, oxygen and chlorophyll. At least a robot probe after a few hundred years—imagine how capable robot probes will be in 2500 AD--even ours. And who could imagine ET wouldn’t find some motive to go in person within a few thousand years? With biology stretching lifetimes to many centuries, even millennia; with the relative cost of interstellar travel modest, with all the diversity, ideologies and causes that will arise in ten thousand years of a civilization occupying dozens, hundreds, even thousands of celestial bodies. Will they never have a psychotic group seeking Truth on X world, or Lebesraum, or Utopia; a mad scientist, a greedy nut—all of this aside from the rational or romantic reasons to explore a New World. It seems to me almost inevitable that they will make the step—someday. Bob |
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Trouble is, it takes more than a mad scientist or a cult following to finance an interstellar spacecraft.
A spacecraft capable of carrying live specimens to another planetary system would require several times the energy used by our own civilisation in a year. But maybe even fringe groups will have access to vast amounts of energy in some advanced civilisations. If a stay-at-home civilisation can tap the vast energy resources of the local star then such a project might be trivial; a civilisation which has built a partial Dyson shell, for instance, could spare the energy to send off several interstellar missions per day. Long before a civilisation in a single solar system begins to collect significant fractions of the local star's power, it will reach a level of wealth far beyond our current imaginings. A sizable population of a trillion sentients in a planetary system with access to a millionth of that star's output would each receive 30000 kilowatts of usable power per hour. If a small proportion of such a fabulously (energy)wealthy civilisation were to band together they could easily provide the energy required to get to another star.
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Orion's Arm . The Starlark . Voices: Future Tense- Novella Contest Issue! . OA Flickr set |
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with regards
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All words, phrases, definitions and theories provided in the above post are, unless otherwise stated, the property of Champion Munch © 2005. Sign up to sue the Sun |
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Thanks Eburacum, I made up that list as I went along, although I had been thinking about it for a while.
The common assumption that all species or civilization groups within that species does will act a certain way would seem to be a fallacy. However, it is also observable that disparate cultures often eventually unite into a monoculture with at least some common characteristics. See how far the US has come since the first groups established colonies in North America. Sure we have a long ways to go, but picking two random people from the US will show that we are more alike than different. Moreover, a political union will end up designing certain features into the members of that civilization. This can happen two ways, cultural assimilation or physical conquest. That is, they will either agree upon certain general points of behavior and become space capable, or they will conquer, possible to the point of annhilation, the less adventursome subgroups in their species. Of course, the less adventursome subgroups may win, but then they would be less likely to become space faring. This means that any space-faring species we contact are more likely to have very common characteristics, at least from our perspective. But, I agree that it would probably not be to the extent caricatured with Star Trek aliens. One reason I think we may not have been contacted, if there really are aliens, is that they are waiting for us to initiate. I don't mean a prime directive or a zoo hypothesis, but something more like a welcome mat or a doorbell. One of the few likely assumptions we could make about spacefaring intelligent aliens is their understanding of physics. They will understand wave-particle duality as well as the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle. They will know, perhaps from trial and error, the universal principle of Meus et Tuus: Mine and Yours. I think the one thing that may be in common agreement is to stay away unless and until invited. This puts the onus on us to put out a "doorbell." A doorbell, being a combination Rosetta Stone and contact protocol should be developed by us and, perhaps, broadcast. It is interesting and useful to note that some people have tried to develop a protocol for the chance that an alien should land on earth, but we need to go the next step and give them landing instructions. While this may seem to fall on the universal intention fallacy (or whatever it is called), we need not assume that there is more than one (if any) alien waiting at this point in time. I hope that made sense.
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"What you think you thought you saw you did not see." Agent J, MiB - Manhatten Bureau |
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There is no such thing today as a unified American culture. The American way of life is as variable as Americans.
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My son is my universe. |
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It's not the culture, which are diverse, but the behaviors that often are.
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"What you think you thought you saw you did not see." Agent J, MiB - Manhatten Bureau |
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But McDonald's is a part of American culture, I'll let you have that one.
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My son is my universe. |
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You should begin by addressing Van Rijn's: Quote:
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http://www.orionsarm.com/civ/Dyson_Spheres.html
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Orion's Arm . The Starlark . Voices: Future Tense- Novella Contest Issue! . OA Flickr set |
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I'll narrow that down to one question. How about addressing just this: Quote:
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An open mind is like an open window...without a good screen you'll get all sorts of weird bugs! |
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I pointed out that you are avoiding direct questions; you got offended for being called on that... again. You accused me of not having a job or a life. for no reason.
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The saddest aspect of life right now is that science gathers knowledge faster than society gathers wisdom. --Isaac Asimov |
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"What you think you thought you saw you did not see." Agent J, MiB - Manhatten Bureau |
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Hmm...I see Mr. Thompson has yet to answer Van Rijn's question (or any of the others either). Something to pass the time while we wait, perhaps?
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An open mind is like an open window...without a good screen you'll get all sorts of weird bugs! |
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Man, you're like a pit bull. Latch on and don't let go... I like that ![]()
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"A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong gives it a superficial appearance of being right." -- Thomas Paine Being intelligent is not a felony. But most societies evaluate it as at least a misdemeanor. -- Heinlein Creationists make it sound as though a "theory" is something you dreamt up after being drunk all night. -- Isaac Asimov |