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View Poll Results: How many intelligent civilizations are there in the Milky Way?
1 (us) 50 21.83%
10 44 19.21%
100 32 13.97%
1,000 36 15.72%
10,000 or more 67 29.26%
Voters: 229. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1201 (permalink)  
Old 22-January-2006, 05:33 PM
Bobunf Bobunf is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eburacum45
...even a very diverse species could end up limited to a single solar system...a single solar system filled with diversity, rather than a diaspora of species into galactic space.
Not filling niches has not been the course of life on Earth. The pattern of life for four billion years has been to fill every possibly available niche, including places considered uninhabitable only a few decades ago.

It seems to me that a civilization with substantial interplanetary capability would eventually move toward interstellar exploration, especially if they found a nearby world with water, land, oxygen and chlorophyll. At least a robot probe after a few hundred years—imagine how capable robot probes will be in 2500 AD--even ours.

And who could imagine ET wouldn’t find some motive to go in person within a few thousand years? With biology stretching lifetimes to many centuries, even millennia; with the relative cost of interstellar travel modest, with all the diversity, ideologies and causes that will arise in ten thousand years of a civilization occupying dozens, hundreds, even thousands of celestial bodies.

Will they never have a psychotic group seeking Truth on X world, or Lebesraum, or Utopia; a mad scientist, a greedy nut—all of this aside from the rational or romantic reasons to explore a New World.

It seems to me almost inevitable that they will make the step—someday.

Bob
  #1202 (permalink)  
Old 22-January-2006, 07:34 PM
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Trouble is, it takes more than a mad scientist or a cult following to finance an interstellar spacecraft.
A spacecraft capable of carrying live specimens to another planetary system would require several times the energy used by our own civilisation in a year.


But maybe even fringe groups will have access to vast amounts of energy in some advanced civilisations. If a stay-at-home civilisation can tap the vast energy resources of the local star then such a project might be trivial; a civilisation which has built a partial Dyson shell, for instance, could spare the energy to send off several interstellar missions per day.

Long before a civilisation in a single solar system begins to collect significant fractions of the local star's power, it will reach a level of wealth far beyond our current imaginings.
A sizable population of a trillion sentients in a planetary system with access to a millionth of that star's output would each receive 30000 kilowatts of usable power per hour. If a small proportion of such a fabulously (energy)wealthy civilisation were to band together they could easily provide the energy required to get to another star.
  #1203 (permalink)  
Old 22-January-2006, 08:35 PM
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Quote:
A sizable population of a trillion sentients in a planetary system with access to a millionth of that star's output would each receive 30000 kilowatts of usable power per hour. If a small proportion of such a fabulously (energy)wealthy civilisation were to band together they could easily provide the energy required to get to another star.
How would they do that?

with regards
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  #1204 (permalink)  
Old 22-January-2006, 09:58 PM
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Originally Posted by Champion_Munch


How would they do that?

with regards
By building freaking huge solar batteries that would orbit local sun in freaking huge arrays and collect freaking huge amounts of solar energy that we wouldn't manage to consume right now, I presume...
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Last edited by Carnifex; 22-January-2006 at 09:59 PM. Reason: freaking grammar mistakes
  #1205 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 01:58 AM
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Thanks Eburacum, I made up that list as I went along, although I had been thinking about it for a while.

The common assumption that all species or civilization groups within that species does will act a certain way would seem to be a fallacy. However, it is also observable that disparate cultures often eventually unite into a monoculture with at least some common characteristics. See how far the US has come since the first groups established colonies in North America. Sure we have a long ways to go, but picking two random people from the US will show that we are more alike than different.

Moreover, a political union will end up designing certain features into the members of that civilization. This can happen two ways, cultural assimilation or physical conquest. That is, they will either agree upon certain general points of behavior and become space capable, or they will conquer, possible to the point of annhilation, the less adventursome subgroups in their species. Of course, the less adventursome subgroups may win, but then they would be less likely to become space faring. This means that any space-faring species we contact are more likely to have very common characteristics, at least from our perspective. But, I agree that it would probably not be to the extent caricatured with Star Trek aliens.

One reason I think we may not have been contacted, if there really are aliens, is that they are waiting for us to initiate. I don't mean a prime directive or a zoo hypothesis, but something more like a welcome mat or a doorbell. One of the few likely assumptions we could make about spacefaring intelligent aliens is their understanding of physics. They will understand wave-particle duality as well as the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle. They will know, perhaps from trial and error, the universal principle of Meus et Tuus: Mine and Yours. I think the one thing that may be in common agreement is to stay away unless and until invited. This puts the onus on us to put out a "doorbell." A doorbell, being a combination Rosetta Stone and contact protocol should be developed by us and, perhaps, broadcast. It is interesting and useful to note that some people have tried to develop a protocol for the chance that an alien should land on earth, but we need to go the next step and give them landing instructions. While this may seem to fall on the universal intention fallacy (or whatever it is called), we need not assume that there is more than one (if any) alien waiting at this point in time.

I hope that made sense.
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  #1206 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 02:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ara Pacis

The common assumption that all species or civilization groups within that species does will act a certain way would seem to be a fallacy. However, it is also observable that disparate cultures often eventually unite into a monoculture with at least some common characteristics. See how far the US has come since the first groups established colonies in North America. Sure we have a long ways to go, but picking two random people from the US will show that we are more alike than different.
It could be argued that 200 years of immigration has left US culture more diverse than ever before.

There is no such thing today as a unified American culture. The American way of life is as variable as Americans.
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  #1207 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 03:48 AM
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Originally Posted by Faultline
It could be argued that 200 years of immigration has left US culture more diverse than ever before.

There is no such thing today as a unified American culture. The American way of life is as variable as Americans.
How many of them have eaten MacDonald's? Think smokers should go outside? Think that Democracy is the preferred form of government, even if they don't like the current politicians? Celebrate Christmas in some fashion? Tip their waitress? Only drive in the right lane on a regular two lane road.

It's not the culture, which are diverse, but the behaviors that often are.
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  #1208 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 04:49 AM
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Originally Posted by Ara Pacis
Only drive in the right lane on a regular two lane road.
Hardly any of them do that
  #1209 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 04:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ara Pacis
How many of them have eaten MacDonald's? Think smokers should go outside? Think that Democracy is the preferred form of government, even if they don't like the current politicians? Celebrate Christmas in some fashion? Tip their waitress? Only drive in the right lane on a regular two lane road.

It's not the culture, which are diverse, but the behaviors that often are.
We're getting off topic, but only half of those are relevant to culture. Christmas isn't celebrated by Jews and Muslims, which have a population here. The smokers thing, and the driving are enforcable laws, not culture. Tipping the waitress isn't specific to America, and for that matter neither is McDonald's.

But McDonald's is a part of American culture, I'll let you have that one.
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  #1210 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 08:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
Wolverine,

Firstly, I have been answering direct questions in a timely manner to the best of my ability.
You haven't put forth much effort that I can see.

Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
Secondly, there is nothing arrogant in assuming someone cannot relate to my situation and there is nothing uncalled for in assuming that he is not employed. And there is nothing arrogant in my claiming that he is not and I am.
There certainly is. Your comment is doubly rude, as 1) it's insulting to suggest other participants are unemployed simply because they devote time to posting, and 2) because it's a weak diversionary tactic attempting to draw attention away from the questions you've dodged.

Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
Thirdly, you are playing favorates. No mention was made against is unfounded and attack against me by suggesting I was back peddaling.
The only favoritism I'm displaying is toward this forum's rules. You were backpeddling, and Van Rijn's observation was correct.

Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
Fourth, I have asked members to IM me the specific questions they are referring to since this discussion thread has grown and it is not easy to go back and pick out which comment they are talking about. And noone has. I can recall that I had regarded some questions as being rhetorical. Perahps that was a mistake.
Other participants have had no problems keeping up with the discussion. Moreover, you need to address unanswered questions publicly, as you've made claims publicly. PMs are not the way to answer them.

Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
It is not fair when others unfairly attack my credibility and you say nothing -- I found his accusation of me back-peddaling to be offensive -- and when I make a logical assumption that you choose to read as being an attack, you then threaten me.
I do not make threats here. It's my job to make sure people comply with this forum's rules. It's your job to follow those rules.

Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
And what direct questions are you talking about? I have answered the ones I could find and I even offered to have people message me if I have not. No one has messaged me.
It's not anyone's responsibility to message you. It's your responsibility to keep up with the discussion in which you've chosen to participate and posit claims.

You should begin by addressing Van Rijn's:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Van Rijn
So you do understand that folks here, and many in SETI research do not believe in ETI? You understand that many people won't make assumptions on limited information?
  #1211 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 10:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Champion_Munch


How would they do that?

with regards
Like this
http://www.orionsarm.com/civ/Dyson_Spheres.html
  #1212 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 10:56 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolverine
You should begin by addressing Van Rijn's:
Can I please have my question answered after Van Rijns? I still really want to know how Mr. Thompson knows about this NASA issue?

I'll narrow that down to one question. How about addressing just this:

Quote:
Originally Posted by N C More
So, NASA continues to investigate the question of life elsewhere in the galaxy because they (are) placating those who want to believe in ETI, but they really know better? For them, it's simply all 'bout the Benjamins'! Do you have any proof of this claim?
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  #1213 (permalink)  
Old 23-January-2006, 04:30 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by William_Thompson
I suspect thou art not gainfully unemployed. If you were you would understand. This is not back peddling, my friend.
See, this is my point. You seem to have plenty of time to post responses like this, and go find a smiley to express your feelings about your own place in the world but no time to back up irrational claims. I understand fully balancing family, fun, work, and life in general William, what I don't understand is if your situation is as much a struggle as you present, how do you manage to come to this site and post at all? I'm saying if you have time for the activities on this forum you do take part in, not answering direct questions, as you've avoided Van Rijn's for some 10 pages at least now, is back peddling, or as wolverine just pointed out nothing more than a diversionary tactic.

I pointed out that you are avoiding direct questions; you got offended for being called on that... again.

You accused me of not having a job or a life. for no reason.
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  #1214 (permalink)  
Old 24-January-2006, 04:36 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Faultline
We're getting off topic, but only half of those are relevant to culture. Christmas isn't celebrated by Jews and Muslims, which have a population here. The smokers thing, and the driving are enforcable laws, not culture. Tipping the waitress isn't specific to America, and for that matter neither is McDonald's.

But McDonald's is a part of American culture, I'll let you have that one.
Well, a bunch of those are still debateable, but it is off topic. My point is that finding a race like the ferengi that are primarily motivated by money and have rules of acquisition they follow is more like a behavioral activity. This might be more likely to occur if, for example, the only ones to take up the goal of stellar exploration are wall street types. Maybe, maybe not. But the chances of meeting an alien species, traveling in a ship, are likely to limit our observation of their homeworld's cultural diversity.
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  #1215 (permalink)  
Old 24-January-2006, 06:28 PM
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I think we're like the Irish or maybe the Icelanders cluelessly on the edge of a vast poly-cultural empire. If they know about us they don't really care.
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  #1216 (permalink)  
Old 25-January-2006, 10:56 AM
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Hmm...I see Mr. Thompson has yet to answer Van Rijn's question (or any of the others either). Something to pass the time while we wait, perhaps?

Quote:
ESTRAGON: What do we do now? VLADIMIR: I don't know. ESTRAGON: Let's go. VLADIMIR: We can't. ESTRAGON: Why not? VLADIMIR: We're waiting for Godot. ESTRAGON: (despairingly). Ah! Pause.
Waiting for Godot
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  #1217 (permalink)  
Old 25-January-2006, 01:49 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by N C More
Hmm...I see Mr. Thompson has yet to answer Van Rijn's question (or any of the others either). Something to pass the time while we wait, perhaps?


Waiting for Godot
Hehehehe.

Man, you're like a pit bull. Latch on and don't let go... I like that
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