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View Poll Results: How many intelligent civilizations are there in the Milky Way?
1 (us) 50 21.83%
10 44 19.21%
100 32 13.97%
1,000 36 15.72%
10,000 or more 67 29.26%
Voters: 229. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 10-June-2005, 03:36 PM
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Default How many intelligent civilizations in the Milky Way?

This is a poll in companion to the Rare Earth thread. Feel free to comment along with your vote.
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Old 10-June-2005, 03:40 PM
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Default How many intelligent civilizations in the Milky Way?

Quote:
1 (us)
10
100
1,000
10,000 or more
What about other countries. \/
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Old 10-June-2005, 04:01 PM
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Wot? no zero??

PS: link
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Old 10-June-2005, 04:03 PM
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I goofed. Meant to click 1,000 and hit 100 instead. #-o

As for as my 1,000 I actually think it's probably higher but 10,000+ was too high IMO. My reasoning? The fact that I think there are other intelligent civilizations out there coupled with the enormous amount of stars in our galaxy. A couple thousand is really not that much when you think about it and goes with my (unsupported) opinion that intelligent ET life is not all that prevalent, especially in our neck of the woods.
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Old 10-June-2005, 04:05 PM
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I voted 10k+, if you define both intellegence and civilization very broadly.

Edit to add: I would consider several other species on Earth to have an intellegent civilization, in my broad definitions.
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Old 10-June-2005, 05:59 PM
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Well...we only have proof of 1 (us).
I think we can speculate, but without proof, I'd say we're the only ones!

It would be great to live in a "Star Trek" or "Star Wars" type of galaxy, but for some reason I don't think that is very likely.

Technologically speaking, we are very, very young, so who knows what/who we will find in maybe a few thousand years or so as our technology advances to a level where we can really search the galaxy and beyond.

I think any alien civilizations are so few and far between that I doubt if they would ever overlap in the time that they could communicate with eachother. Maybe someday we'll find the remnents of an ancient (millions of years ancient) technological society.
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Old 10-June-2005, 06:11 PM
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I voted for 100, by which I mean 100 or more, but probably less than 1000. Just a hunch, really.

As I understand it, we have discovered very few planets outside our solar system. This doesn't mean that they don't exist so much as they are far more difficult to detect than are stars. Am I correct?
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Old 10-June-2005, 06:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Archer17
I goofed. Meant to click 1,000 and hit 100 instead. #-o
OMG! I'm more conservative than you, Archer! I chose only 100 but I actually think it's probably more likely to be 200 to 400 but not as many as 1,000. Then again...any guess could be correct about this subject.
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Old 10-June-2005, 06:51 PM
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I get the feel our Milky produced 100 - and I think some are already gone, due to extinctions

SETI will take a long time to find them
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XNBLVR1
...It would be great to live in a "Star Trek" or "Star Wars" type of galaxy, but for some reason I don't think that is very likely...
I agree that it seems unlikely that we live in a galaxy full of human beings in robes with light sabers and samurai mannerisms or sporting red or gold cloth uniforms and beaming up and down from starships to and from Earthlike planets - (where everyone speaks English.) Not to mention all the robots. :wink:

However I do feel, without proof, and based on the diversity of life on our tiny earth, that life-forms with their own intelligence (not our intelligence,) likely exist in the galaxy.

We have a tendency to define intelligence too narrowly, based not only on ourselves and the way we think, but unconsciously on our present day culture, including our concepts of abstract thought, logic and the cultural aspects of science; as well as philosophy, ethics and religion. Western culture, which permeates our civilization, and our abilities with technology, color our underlying assumptions when speculating about alien civilizations. (Civilizations being our concept, not theirs.)
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:30 PM
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Ok, perhaps I'm a spoil-sport... but I'd have preferred to see an option for "we don't know"... consider my vote cast as such.
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:42 PM
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In compliance with my traditional stance on this subject, I vote for 10. Life and intelligence must come in unexpected forms.
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Manchurian Taikonaut
I get the feel our Milky produced 100 - and I think some are already gone, due to extinctions

SETI will take a long time to find them
Just right. My thoughts too.
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolverine
Ok, perhaps I'm a spoil-sport... but I'd have preferred to see an option for "we don't know"... consider my vote cast as such.
Or the option, "1...ourselfs...we don't know of any others."
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by R.A.F.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Wolverine
Ok, perhaps I'm a spoil-sport... but I'd have preferred to see an option for "we don't know"... consider my vote cast as such.
Or the option, "1...ourselfs...we don't know of any others."
...but that option is up there --- 1(us)
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:49 PM
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I picked 100, implying hundreds. Something like a fraction of a percent of the stars should have some life, and of that fraction, a fraction might be what we would deem as "intelligent."
Now down to the business of defining intelligence. :-?

(I also agree with the fact that "1 sample" is far too little to draw any conclusive numbers, but just for fun, I'd like it to be hundreds... and have one of those hundreds meet us, be nice, and share some sweet sweet tech with us! )
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:51 PM
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Why would they, though? What can we offer them?
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Old 10-June-2005, 07:53 PM
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Apple Pie, Iced Tea, The Bahamas, Carnavl Cruise, Disney Land! :wink:
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Old 10-June-2005, 08:14 PM
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Cultural things, sure. But those simply wouldn't be a match to the technological knowledge that they'd want to trade.
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Old 10-June-2005, 09:49 PM
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The last several posts assume they are just like us. Practically identical in fact. It seems more likely that an intelligent alien group would be very different. Their behavior may not relate to lifeforms on our planet. We still might still be able to communicate however.

First we will have to discover some Earthlike planets. Or intercept a SETI signal that indicates an artificial source. Then we can take it from there.

BTW - I voted 100. No reason, just felt right.
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Old 10-June-2005, 09:58 PM
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You're right, of course. It's hard to get away from thinking of extraterrestrial life as similar to us. Look at your own post: you say we need to find Earth-like planets to find life. Not necessarily. :wink:
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