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Old 13-October-2009, 01:57 AM
jtprindl jtprindl is offline
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Default Within our lifetime...

Do you think we will encounter E.T. life in our lifetime? I don't just mean bacteria, I mean anything like humans, wolves, squirrels, bugs, not intelligent life but something similar to life on Earth?

What planet/moon has the best chance of supporting life like this in our solar system?

Also, when are we actually going to Mars (humans).
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Old 13-October-2009, 02:19 AM
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Originally Posted by jtprindl
Do you think we will encounter E.T. life in our lifetime? I don't just mean bacteria, I mean anything like humans, wolves, squirrels, bugs, not intelligent life but something similar to life on Earth?
No.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jtprindl
What planet/moon has the best chance of supporting life like this in our solar system?
Other than Earth, none.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jtprindl
Also, when are we actually going to Mars (humans).
Who knows. I doubt it will be within fifty years.
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Old 13-October-2009, 02:21 AM
jtprindl jtprindl is offline
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Humans suck
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:09 AM
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Humans suck
Aw wait a bit. Our lifetimes are brief in the timescale of something as momentous as encountering extraterrestrial higher life-forms, especially seeing as how we're so self-absorbed with our own nascent sapience. That leaves it largely up to ET to do the legwork and come on over. But the chances of it happening in your lifetime are better than they are in mine, if you accept it is ultimately inevitable.
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:45 AM
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Originally Posted by jtprindl View Post
Do you think we will encounter E.T. life in our lifetime? I don't just mean bacteria, I mean anything like humans, wolves, squirrels, bugs, not intelligent life but something similar to life on Earth?
Bacteria or microbes would be stupendously exciting. It is extremely unlikely that we would discover larger lifeforms similar in some way to Earth life elsewhere in the solar system.

Quote:
What planet/moon has the best chance of supporting life like this in our solar system?
None.
It has been speculated that Europa could conceivably have larger than microbial creatures swimming in the water around hot spots under its ice but this is only thought of as pure speculation, subject to change as we learn more.

Quote:
Also, when are we actually going to Mars (humans).
We're at the very beginning of returning to the Moon. A Mars expedition is further out after that. I hope its sooner than I think but my initial impression is that we'll have people walking on Mars within 30 years at the soonest.
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:52 AM
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Originally Posted by jtprindl View Post
Do you think we will encounter E.T. life in our lifetime? I don't just mean bacteria, I mean anything like humans, wolves, squirrels, bugs, not intelligent life but something similar to life on Earth?
Physical contact? No, I don't.

Intercepted communications signal? I don't know. Neither does anyone else.

Quote:
What planet/moon has the best chance of supporting life like this in our solar system?
Earth is the best.

Europa is the second best. Yes, it's speculation, but it's possible.

I believe that there is the possibility of some other moons containing life, but don't quote me on that. Not intelligent complex life, though, but microbial. However, the chances are low, I feel.

Quote:
Also, when are we actually going to Mars (humans).
"Eventually."

Maybe.
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Old 13-October-2009, 04:45 AM
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Humans suck
What, have you been studying biology? Or did you recently have a baby?
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Old 13-October-2009, 05:48 AM
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In our solar system? Europa or Enceladus' subsurface oceans might have anything in them, even complex (multicellular) life. And I haven't given up on Titan...
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Old 13-October-2009, 12:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jtprindl View Post
Do you think we will encounter E.T. life in our lifetime? I don't just mean bacteria, I mean anything like humans, wolves, squirrels, bugs, not intelligent life but something similar to life on Earth?

What planet/moon has the best chance of supporting life like this in our solar system?

Also, when are we actually going to Mars (humans).
I think there is a good chance we will indirectly discover life within 20 years as discussed here, however its not direct contact. Watch the linked video, it was amazing (Thanks again, A.DIM!)

I think 30-40 years for bootprints on mars. what a shame.

If there is other life in this solar system, IMHO its likely microscopic, unless there is a biosphere under the ice in Europa, or deep underground on Mars. In either case, we are 30 - 40 years from discovering that...
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Old 13-October-2009, 01:32 PM
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I think 30-40 years for bootprints on mars. what a shame.
I seriously doubt that, or even in a hundred years. The biggest technical challenge is radiation exposure, mission duration, project logistics and expense. No single country will put up the funds to make bootprints. A large scale international collaboration would also be a challenge.

As time goes on and climate change increases pressure on energy generation and greenhouse gas mitigation, nations will find more of their budgets going to the energy sector and social projects for a growing and increasingly aging population. There will simply be no discretionary funds for elaborate manned missions to other planets. Manned missions to other planets aren't anywhere on the horizon, IMO.
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:04 PM
iquestor iquestor is offline
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I seriously doubt that, or even in a hundred years. The biggest technical challenge is radiation exposure, mission duration, project logistics and expense. No single country will put up the funds to make bootprints. A large scale international collaboration would also be a challenge.

As time goes on and climate change increases pressure on energy generation and greenhouse gas mitigation, nations will find more of their budgets going to the energy sector and social projects for a growing and increasingly aging population. There will simply be no discretionary funds for elaborate manned missions to other planets. Manned missions to other planets aren't anywhere on the horizon, IMO.
DO you think its possible/feasible for a private company (conglomeration) to land men on the moon in the next 20-30 years? What about Mars? I do think its possible we might see a private expedition to the moon in the next 30 years. Mars of course would be farther off; unless they followed Zubrin's Plan.

I agree with you on the challenges faced by going, as well as the challenges here. I know we have to work on things at home, but I feel space technology is also very important to us as a race.
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:17 PM
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Why would a private company want to land a man on the moon?
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Old 13-October-2009, 03:36 PM
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DO you think its possible/feasible for a private company (conglomeration) to land men on the moon in the next 20-30 years?
It might be possible, but it's doubtful. It simply wouldn't be profitable given the levels of engineering required, not to mention liability exposure. It might become more possible if a permanent base is established for scientific research/astronomical observation, but that would need to be kick started with government funds. In time, the operation could be handed off to private enterprise, but not in such a short time frame.

Quote:
Originally Posted by iquestor
What about Mars?
No chance.

Quote:
Originally Posted by iquestor
I agree with you on the challenges faced by going, as well as the challenges here. I know we have to work on things at home, but I feel space technology is also very important to us as a race.
I don't disagree about the importance, but I just don't see it happening any time soon.

Robotic probes are a different kettle of fish. I think more should be done with designing sophisticated autonomous robots. We already have self driving cars in complex environments, able to travel at normal driving speeds. Make them nuclear powered so that they can operate conterminously and at speed and give them sophisticated diagnostic equipment. Make them an order of magnitude more capable than the current Mars rovers. It would be way cheaper than manned missions and hence, much more likely to be funded. We also need faster, more capable spacecraft.
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Old 13-October-2009, 04:00 PM
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We also need faster, more capable spacecraft.
Well, there was this test recently of new a rocket which could make the trip to Mars as little as 39 days. Fraser wrote an article about it.

Such an engine as this would apparently save billions, freeing up funds for ... lots of things!
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Old 13-October-2009, 04:21 PM
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It might be possible, but it's doubtful. It simply wouldn't be profitable given the levels of engineering required, not to mention liability exposure. It might become more possible if a permanent base is established for scientific research/astronomical observation, but that would need to be kick started with government funds. In time, the operation could be handed off to private enterprise, but not in such a short time frame.


No chance.


I don't disagree about the importance, but I just don't see it happening any time soon.

Robotic probes are a different kettle of fish. I think more should be done with designing sophisticated autonomous robots. We already have self driving cars in complex environments, able to travel at normal driving speeds. Make them nuclear powered so that they can operate conterminously and at speed and give them sophisticated diagnostic equipment. Make them an order of magnitude more capable than the current Mars rovers. It would be way cheaper than manned missions and hence, much more likely to be funded. We also need faster, more capable spacecraft.
Maybe there is a happy medium.... I wonder if it would be possible for more intimate interaction between robotic explorer and earth-bound (or orbital-bound) human. Have a robot that has an autonomous mode for mundane taskes, such as travelling, sample ID, etc, but when the time is right, could handle a much more direct human interface, so that some of the benefits of human presence are acheived. Humans could use the robots to virtually walk around, turn over rocks, inspect strata, shake hands with LGMs, etc. (LOL)

Of course, the big technology hurdle is communications speed - the delay time for commands and feedback would limit that the effectiveness of that type of interaction. Simply picking up a rock and inspecting it, or maybe taking a sample from an interesting cliff face would require a lot of time and patience. Given that Mars and Earth's mean distance is about 78,300,000 Km and light travels at 299,792.458 Km/sec, then round trip time for communications (not counting processing time for commands, etc) would be 78,300,000 / 299,792.458 = 261.2 seconds = 4.35 minutes x 2 (round trip) = 8.7 minutes. Account for communications processing, signal relay times, mechanical interface lag, etc, and the best reaction time you could have is about 9 minutes. Not exactly lightning fast.

Maybe our money is best spent finding a way to make telepresence technology a little better so that we can explore more, short term! Can you say FTL Communications?
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Old 14-October-2009, 02:19 AM
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If you mean ETI: IMO, not a chance.

If you mean evidence of past or extant life in our Solar System: Just beyond the range of being worth betting on.

If you mean an exoplanet with an intriguing spectral signature that might indicate favorable living conditions: Quite good.
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Old 14-October-2009, 02:22 AM
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Why would a private company want to land a man on the moon?
To mine it -- for Helium-3 as well as other resources eventually.

We may also mine asteroids before sending humans to Mars.

Mike
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Old 14-October-2009, 06:08 AM
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No. We reside on a beautiful planet which is rich beyond the wildest dreams of cosmic avarice. But there lies an inexhaustible void of near infinity between
us and the stars, and time remains the great conqueror. And we may as well
add radiation to that . You would never live to see the destination of your choice. But it remains beautiful, and with our gifts we may view it with our children. Some gifts are sufficient.
Best regards,

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Old 14-October-2009, 07:20 AM
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But there lies an inexhaustible void of near infinity between
us and the stars,
No.

No there doesn't.

4 light years is far, yes, but not "near infinity". Neither is 100 light years, or even 1000 light years.
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Old 14-October-2009, 08:08 AM
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No.

No there doesn't.

4 light years is far, yes, but not "near infinity". Neither is 100 light years, or even 1000 light years.
It depends on the context. If you have to walk 1000 miles through a desert with no water, then 1000 miles is "near infinity". Danscope is basically saying that 4 light years might as well be infinity, as far as actually getting there is concerned (and actually I agree). It's hyperbole, OK, but I don't think danscope meant it literally.
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Old 14-October-2009, 09:18 AM
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Depends on the technology you're using.
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Old 14-October-2009, 02:10 PM
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Why would a private company want to land a man on the moon?
1. Mine H3, as was pointed out previously
2. Build a telescope on the dark side and sell time
3. Offer paying customers a chance to visit the moon or experience space

There are many, many ways a private company could profit by going to the Moon. There are lots of challenges, but a company with enough money and resources might be able to find a way to do it long enough to finally realize a profit.
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Old 14-October-2009, 06:03 PM
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1. Mine H3, as was pointed out previously
2. Build a telescope on the dark side and sell time
3. Offer paying customers a chance to visit the moon or experience space

There are many, many ways a private company could profit by going to the Moon. There are lots of challenges, but a company with enough money and resources might be able to find a way to do it long enough to finally realize a profit.
I would pay money to go to the moon. Unfortunately I don't make that kind of income, but I believe space travel will be very profitable someday, providing companies put up the R/D funding first. Virgin Galactic is a good example...
Personally I think it's very possibe, if not likely, that over the next 100 years or so, private companies will take the lead in space exploration - tourism and mining coule make it very profitiable, albiet risky...
There would probably be a coop effort between governments and private orgs....
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Old 14-October-2009, 06:30 PM
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I would pay money to go to the moon. Unfortunately I don't make that kind of income, but I believe space travel will be very profitable someday, providing companies put up the R/D funding first. Virgin Galactic is a good example...
Personally I think it's very possibe, if not likely, that over the next 100 years or so, private companies will take the lead in space exploration - tourism and mining coule make it very profitiable, albiet risky...
There would probably be a coop effort between governments and private orgs....
I agree. I could even possibly swing 100k to take one of VG's orbitals in a few years, it would be worth it to me.
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Old 15-October-2009, 12:37 PM
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Humans suck
haha x2
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Old 16-October-2009, 06:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by iquestor View Post
1. Mine H3, as was pointed out previously
2. Build a telescope on the dark side and sell time
3. Offer paying customers a chance to visit the moon or experience space

There are many, many ways a private company could profit by going to the Moon. There are lots of challenges, but a company with enough money and resources might be able to find a way to do it long enough to finally realize a profit.
1. Unless you expect a major boom in the party balloon business, H3 isn't worth the effort just yet.

2. The dark side doesn't actually stay dark.

3. Even the space clown doesn't have the kind of money to underwrite a moon landing.
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Old 16-October-2009, 06:22 PM
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2. The dark side doesn't actually stay dark.
***************
I'm so glad that you pointed this out. It should have been apparent, but this myth persists. It is only the side we can't see from earth, but it remains in full sun for as long as our side resides in darkness.

Best regards,
Dan
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Old 16-October-2009, 07:36 PM
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2. The dark side doesn't actually stay dark.
True, but it seems like it would be a sweet location for a very large radio telescope.
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Old 16-October-2009, 10:53 PM
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If there is other life in this solar system, IMHO its likely microscopic, unless there is a biosphere under the ice in Europa, or deep underground on Mars. In either case, we are 30 - 40 years from discovering that...
What makes you think we might be anywhere closer to discovering deep underground life on Mars in 30-40 years?
(not to mention Europa)
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Old 20-October-2009, 09:09 AM
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What, have you been studying biology? Or did you recently have a baby?
Jens, that tickled me!
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