NOAA ISSUES 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK

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In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

Here is more detail from the CNN story:

Last year's season actually outperformed NOAA's forecast. Isn't Florida setting up a sales tax exemption for disaster supplies?

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In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

Yah i forget when, but i think June is tax free for supplies. What they deem hurricane supplies i dont know.

Maybe i can get tax free on my video games if i explain that i need them incase of a hurricane to keep me from going crazy.

To tell the truth, even tough the destruction os horrible and the deaths are very, very ad. I do find hurricanes fun to go through.

It seems like they are always predicting an "above normal" season. When does "above normal" stop being "above" and becomes "normal?"

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"Oh no no no I'm a rocket man Rocket man burning out his fuse up here alone." -- Sir Elton John

J Pax

When i figure out how to shut off this damn Doomsday weather machine!

From the NOAA forecast:

We seem to be in an up-cycle.

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In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

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Everything I need to know I learned through Googling.

2005 Atlantic Storm Names

Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Dennis
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katrina
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rita
Stan
Tammy
Vince
Wilma

[edit: Whoops! Looks like my source was using the 2006 list. The NOAA has the official list. I corrected the one posted above.

__________________
In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

Great link. Thanks.

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In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

Oh, so somebody is playing around with the Touchstone again...

Planet X, better late than never I suppose!

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"Most editorials are written by people that love to argue but got kicked off debate team for not making any sense." -Seanbaby

I'm not sure who you mean by "they," but if you're talking about scientists and meteorologists, that's not true. In fact, most have been clear to NOT predict the frequency of hurricanes, though the intensity is something many do predict to be above normal based on nearly a century's worth of data plus climate changes, etc (noted in article below). But if intensity does increase, say in part due to global warming, then eventually that may become the norm over extended time--200 years data averages. They readily admit that we just don't know for sure. The media, otoh, is just whacky, and the bottom link I post here is for 1) his links, and 2) the data in related articles supports his idea that at least we should not dismiss the research so easily.

Either way, I love hurricanes, and people will just have to move or adapt. The east coast of Florida has just barely finished fixing up a lot of damage from 2004, and still there's much incompleted, so I'd hate to see that all get hammered again. However, I would love a Category 4 or 5 to come up the Gulf of Mexico in a northwesterly direction and land at San Luis Pass, Texas. Give the developers a run for their money!

Thanks ToSeek for that article.

Related info:
Hurricanes A compendium of hurricane information
NOAA Global Warming and Hurricanes
Xtreme weather meets Xtreme media bubble

Cool. I emailed the Galveston TV station quoted in my post above to point out their error and the webmaster made the correction and actually replied to thank me.

Of course I had to respond suggesting some promotional item would be a fitting reward.

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In the progress of this discussion I shall endeavor to give a satisfactory answer to all the objections which shall have made their appearance, that may seem to have any claim to your attention.

Alexander Hamilton, Federalist No. 1

Yeah, like a weekend get-away on South Padre during the...ahem..."off" season.
No hurricanes to speak of there for well over a decade. That bridge, btw, broke 3 yrs ago? in the nighttime and cars plunged to their deaths.

I wait with bated breath. :roll:

The most recent hurricane to affect the south Texas coast was Hurricane Bret in August 1999, but it moved onshore over very sparsely populated land well south of Corpus Christi. (I used to live in Brownsville)

BTW, it was a section of the Queen Isabella Causeway (which links the town of South Padre Island to Port Isabel on the mainland) that collapsed after being hit by a barge.

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"It's time to receive our missions from The Head."

Didn't even make the news!
#-o Wrong bridge. Yeah, that's it, and that one was during the day. Which one was at night? Hmm....

Alot of Hurricane damamge still needs to be fixed. My father in laws pool screening is still in limbo. Roofing for many houses is still hard to get (Blue tarp has now become a fashion statement). You get the idea.

Lerts just say that the next huricane to have a direct6 hit here in Central Fl will do more damage than before juts becasue the rooves have not been fixed yet for many homes and busnesses.
Tress are realy not a problem anymore. Most of the bad ones were knocked down in the first three. :-)

If it works like temperatures and precipitation, after 30 years. Most climatological "normals" are 30-year averages.

I believe I recall reading in that article that the 1990s were below normal, and we've been running above normal since then (but I'm too short on time right now to verify that).

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"I am Meteora, supreme goddess of weather" - Meteora, in The Unchained Goddess

One nice thing about being a meteorologist who also likes astronomy is that the sky is always interesting!

Meanwhile, from the 'Other Side':
May 17
"A tropical depression in the Eastern Pacific was likely to grow into a tropical storm -- perhaps even a hurricane -- that could hit Central America by the weekend, forecasters said Tuesday...preliminary forecasts suggested it could emerge over the Caribbean as a tropical depression and regain some force while moving toward the Cayman Islands and Cuba...since 1966, only one tropical depression has ever hit the coasts of Guatemala or El Salvador in May."
NOAA imagery