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View Poll Results: Which of these are you most likely to see in your lifetime?
A total solar eclipse (in person) 37 75.51%
A manned mission to Mars (on TV) 13 26.53%
A daylight supernova 3 6.12%
SETI contact made 5 10.20%
A new good Star Wars movie 1 2.04%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 49. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 24-May-2006, 06:09 PM
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Question Which will you see?

Which of these are you likely to see in your lifetime?
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Last edited by aurora; 24-May-2006 at 10:02 PM.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:12 PM
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I see a lot of vast space....

Is this the psychic thread? What three things are you talking about?
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:14 PM
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You had to wait for the system to post the poll.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:18 PM
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George Lucas has said he´s done with Star Wars, so I don´t have hopes. I´ve seen two total solar eclipses, so I´m probably done with them, too. My wish list is seeing a mission to Mars [big chances] and an ET contact [only a wishful thinking]. A daylight SN? Forget it.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:25 PM
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In order of probability:

A total solar eclipse (in person)
I voted for this. Quite likely - I intend to do this after I retire, or sooner if sufficient amounts of time and money make themselves available.

A daylight supernova
With luck, I have 40-50 years left. I think the probability is about 0.05-0.10.

A manned mission to Mars (on TV)
0.01. By the time it happens, I expect TV to be so dumbed down that all channels are showing American Idol reruns.

SETI contact made
Probability unknown but low. I think there are very few technological civilisations in the galaxy, but that's little better than a guess.

A new good Star Wars movie
Zero.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:29 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aurora
You had to wait for the system to post the poll.
Lol, it never came up for me and I'm on my work server. Odd. I chose the total solar eclipse as the most probable.
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Sunset

Die Sonne scheidet hinter dem Gebirge. In alle Täler steigt der Abend nieder
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Last edited by Melusine; 24-May-2006 at 08:26 PM. Reason: typo
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:31 PM
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Well, I've seen a total solar eclipse and expect to see at least one more.

I don't expect to live to see a manned mission to Mars or SETI contact, but we're overdue for a supernova in this galaxy, so that would be my second pick.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:37 PM
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In order of possiblity

1. A total eclipse - 100% if my lifespan holds up and we don't commit planet suicide first.

2. Mars landing - 0% not with tv, but it will be broadcast of the optical relay network.

3. A good new Star Wars movie - 100%, George can still play with the Empire Strikes back and call it new, he did it for the orginial.

4. Day-Time SuperNova - no guess, could happen at any time or not within my life.

5. SETI contact - not likely at all, we have to go out and find THEM.
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Old 24-May-2006, 06:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnW
A manned mission to Mars (on TV)
0.01. By the time it happens, I expect TV to be so dumbed down that all channels are showing "American Idol" reruns.
Yeah, and likely lots of folks will be calling in their votes, too.

There's a total eclipse due to cross over the US (coast to coast, NW to SE) on Aug 21, 2017; maybe I can catch it.
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Old 24-May-2006, 07:06 PM
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Does the mission to mars have to be on TV? I am working to just look out the window to see the guys on the surface.

course, one of the things I have to do is get 6 inches shorter and 100 pounds lighter
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Old 24-May-2006, 08:32 PM
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I have already seen a total solar eclipse, so that is my vote...
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Old 24-May-2006, 10:01 PM
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The reason I put the on TV after the Mars was just to indicate that you didn't have to go there yourself, as opposed to a total solar eclipse -- where the issue was whether you would see it in person, since we already know when and where they will occur.

This is just a fun thing, which is why I put it in Babbling.
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Old 25-May-2006, 05:21 AM
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Default Re: Which will you see?

I've seen two total solar eclipses (1963 and 1970), don't think the human species has the spirit of adventure it used to, so there goes Mars, I support SETI, but don't have unrealistic expectations, and as long as Lucas is at the helm, zilch re SWTGM. As ToSeek mentioned we're overdue for a daylight supernova.
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Old 25-May-2006, 05:31 AM
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Well, I'm a virgin when it comes to total solar eclipses...but I KNOW I will be seeing the TSE in 2017.

All I have to do is drive up the coast a "bit".

Manned landing on Mars? Gee, I hope I live that long...

I consider the other options highly unlikely.
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Old 25-May-2006, 07:24 AM
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The eclipse. I gotta go visit my parents at the right time in 2017, but when there's an total solar eclipse happening back home, the trip must be made.
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Old 25-May-2006, 07:27 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by R.A.F.
Well, I'm a virgin when it comes to total solar eclipses...but I KNOW I will be seeing the TSE in 2017.

All I have to do is drive up the coast a "bit".

Manned landing on Mars? Gee, I hope I live that long...

I consider the other options highly unlikely.
Of course, you realize that since the eclipse is happening in Oregon, there's a slim chance of seeing it. (Unless you can eclipse liquid sunshine. )
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Old 25-May-2006, 09:17 AM
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I get a kick that "a good new Star Wars movie" is (so far) the only thing with a zero. 'Course, I wouldn't have picked that two movies ago (I had some faint hope horribly dashed three movies ago).
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Old 25-May-2006, 10:22 AM
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Something different - my late uncle, the eldest of my mother's brothers, was pleased to have seen Halley's Comet, twice.
But that is just an accident of birth, and weather.

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Old 25-May-2006, 04:13 PM
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Probably none-of-the-above.

I've already witnessed a total solar eclipse (US, pacific northwest, 1980/81?), so to make any serious travel effort to see another one is not appealing (i.e. "been there, done that").

I am almost 48 years old. A manned mission to Mars (on TV) would have to come within the next 30 years for me to be alive to see it. That probably won't happen.

A daylight supernova: possible. This might be the one with the greatest possiblility of happening in my lifetime.

SETI contact made: I doubt it --my own (opinion) solution to the Drake equation is a very very low number.

A new good Star Wars movie: Unless those new 3D versions are something special... The whole saga has been told, to fill in the gaps would not do it justice, and any other story line from that 'galaxy' wouldn't be Star-Wars.
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Old 25-May-2006, 04:51 PM
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Good thing the choices weren't complicated by inclusion of any truly rare events - such as the Cubs winning the World Series.
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Old 25-May-2006, 05:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by farmerjumperdon
Good thing the choices weren't complicated by inclusion of any truly rare events - such as the Cubs winning the World Series.
Ha!

I was limited to 5 choices, and I tried to keep them astronomy related (except for the last one, which was supposed to be good for a chuckle).