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They're missing all the money from the people who will die or become incapacitated between its actual completion and May of '09.
I'll borrow the DVD when it becomes available at my local library. There's no hurry and there's no need to pay to see it.
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Life is like a box of chocolates. All of your choices are bad for you. |
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Put it that simply, it's shocking, but it could be more complex than that. And; it may be somebody twisting words from somebody saying that they found that they don't have the time to do it right. You may want a bit more information before going into panic mode. It may very well follow the rumor, but that doesn't mean it will. And; if they see that much potential, maybe that's a sign that they are going to make some serious blockbuster type effort. They might be willing to invest more into it if they see more money coming out of it.
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Numbers are not case sensitive. (me) |
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Now there's a reliable line of information... ![]() Gee, look at updateS. Quote:
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Overall, I don't have a lot of confidence, but the rumors seem to be rather emotionally based and premature. Don't you think?
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Numbers are not case sensitive. (me) |
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It wouldn't be the first time a release date was changed due to expected box office. Stardust springs to mind; it was intended to be a spring release, but they thought it might make more money in the summer, so it got delayed until August. Whether that helped it or not, I cannot say; I would have gone to see it no matter what.
Now, if it were delayed for a January or February release--even March or April--that would be a very bad sign indeed. Blockbusters and other movies with high financial expectations are summer movies. Oscar fodder tends to get released in October through December--to qualify for the Oscars, the movie must be released in at least two theatres, one from a list of New York theatres and one from a list of LA theatres, by 31 December. The remaining stretch of the year is the Dead Zone, so to speak, the time when movies aren't expected to make any money or be remembered during Oscar time. There are exceptions; Silence of the Lambs, which swept the big five awards, was released in March. This year, one of the Best Actress nominees--Julie Christie--was in a movie that I saw on DVD months ago. (The truly excellent Canadian film Away from Her; check it out.) Some of them--Silence of the Lambs again, I believe--didn't exactly hurt in the box office, either, and Gods know there are enough summer releases that flop. But that's Hollywood's expectation, so a summer release is generally a better sign than you might think.
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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It's pretty much all due to Jaws. Jaws is what convinced Hollywood that people really would spend their summer days in a dark theater watching a movie. The Summer Blockbuster has been here pretty much ever since.
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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take" - Wayne Gretzky |
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Movies get schedule-changed all the time.... so much depends on what space is available in the theaters, what other movies the studio is releasing at the same time and making sure that they don't release similar movies (i.e. 2 sci-fi movies) at the same time.
But more than likely the sfx shots may have slipped schedule. And no doubt problems with the writer's strike going on... theoretically, they should not have been doing re-writes/changes/updates to the script during the strike.. ha, ha...right...) |
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Or maybe when Coroline Porco got on board, she said "nope, that's all wrong", and they actually listened.
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Numbers are not case sensitive. (me) |
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Jackson's Lord Of The Rings films did well too, despite being released in December.
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I offer a complete and utter retraction. The imputation was totally without basis in fact, was in no way fair comment and was motivated purely by malice. I deeply regret any distress that my comments may have caused you or your family, and I hereby undertake not to repeat any such slander at any time in the future. |
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A lot of December films do very well; it's expected that better films will come out in December. It's Oscar season, after all. January through April is when films aren't expected to do at all well. Remember, at least a couple of the Harry Potters and The Lion, the Witch, and the Wardrobe were December releases as well. (A lot of "family" movies come out in December, for some reason. Christmas viewing, one supposes, but surely more families have time for movies in the summer.)
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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The automatic equation of radical [artistic] style with liberal politics and of conservative style with reactionary politics is a historical myth that does little justice to an agonizingly ambiguous historical reality. -Alex Ross, The Rest Is Noise: Listening to the Twentieth Century |
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Blessedly, I have never worked in a movie theatre at all; my experience is all as a customer. And I do know about Christmas Day--my mother now goes to movies on Christmas every year, and in fact I saw Sweeney Todd on Christmas Eve. However, Christmas vacation as a whole is only two weeks; summer vacation is substantially longer!
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Gillian "Now everyone was giving her that kind of look UFOlogists get when they suddenly say, 'Hey, if you shade your eyes you can see it is just a flock of geese after all.'" "You can't erase icing." "I can't believe it doesn't work! I found it on the internet, man!" |
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I've followed movies and movie discussions over the last decade. This is the conventional wisdom:
January is the dump month. If it's released in January, it is either junk or an experimental movie looking for a quick look (e.g. Cloverfield). February is another dump month, though these movies may have a slightly higher hope. Jan-Feb is Oscar season. Small Oscar contenders are generally given wider releases during these two months. With the younger audiences in school and winter weather a major hazard, it is difficult to create that blockbuster that will draw audiences day after day. March and April are the wild card months. Spring break, Easter, and better weather means that if a must-see movie is released, it will be seen by those that must see it. In the past, May was also included, but that changed about ten years ago. May is the early blockbuster month. Generally, it is either the first week or the Memorial Day (U.S.) weekend. Since the high budget blockbusters are few and far between (Matrix was a March release), the first weekend in May often has (over the last decade) been a single blockbuster followed by more big movies the week before and the week of Memorial Day. June is the normal summer release. The young people are out of school and can see a movie any day of the week. The blockbuster weekend can be the blockbuster week. These movies are not the biggest of the summer, but they are big movies. The 4th of July (in the U.S.) is the BIG blockbuster weekend. Many people take 3 or 4 days off over that period. The rest of July follows similarly to June. The first week in August is the last chance for any blockbuster. With most schools in session starting in the middle of the month, weekday attendance starts to drop off. To make the big money, a movie must be released in the first weekend. A movie released after that (especially if it is MOVED) is considered dumped. September and October is a continuation of late August for any blockbusters. The best releases now are the small releases. Oscar contenders often try to get the jump by getting released now. A slowly expanding release is the norm. November and December are the Oscar/blockbuster season. Movies that have a chance at getting nominated are best released here. The last week in November and the last two weeks in December are mini-summer type seasons.
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Keeper of the Jabberwock |
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"Earth diameter is 7,900 miles, and Moon diameter is 2,160 miles. It takes on average 90 minutes to complete one Earth orbit, so one Moon orbit should take roughly 25 minutes." - Sam "NasaScam" Colby Bearer of the highly coveted "I found Venus in nine Apollo photos" sweatsocks. DataCable^2008 A+ |
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The biggest problem for any movie moved from December to early summer is that the schedule of promotions must be dialed back. Principal photography is starting to wrap up. As the post-production phase is started, re-shoots and loop recordings are made and it is easy to schedule actors for interviews and talk shows. The Hollywood hype machine can move in lockstep with post-production and a series of teasers, trailers, and TV ads.
With the six month push back, you risk over-exposure and ennui from the casual fans and increase the change some crucial story elements may be leaked. This won't effect the quality of the movie, but it will effect the box office and the immediate perceptions.
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Keeper of the Jabberwock |
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NOOOO... Don't scare me like that.
Tom Cruise joining ‘Star Trek’ cast? I don't care if the title does have a question mark on it... It's still to scary to think of. Quote:
Doctor spock?
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Numbers are not case sensitive. (me) |
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Tom Cruise can't be a friend of Dr. Spock. Dr. Spock was a child psychologist, and we all know how Scientologists feel about psychologists.
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"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take" - Wayne Gretzky |