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Originally Posted by Grey
I absolutely disagree with this assessment of what "fundamentally random" means. If something is random, then there cannot be any mechanism by which the result was chosen.
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I don't think you mean that, I think you mean there is no
predictable mechanism. Rolling a die is a mechanism by which a result is chosen, and it isn't predictable if done properly. My point is that reality must have some way to "roll a die". I'm not agreeing with Einstein that this is unconscionable, I'm saying that it is an unknown mechanism for achieving an unpredictable (by human science) result. Whether there is any other way to "predict" that falls outside human science I cannot even guess, but even if it is absolutely unpredictable, there still has to be a mechanism. There is currently not even a hint of what that mechanism is, and I think we should face the possibility that there never will be. One can certainly say, as I think you would, that the mechanism is
irrelevant if you know the probability distribution of the result, but I would say only that it is
not required to do science.
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If instead there were some reason why one result happened instead of a different one (even if it's some hidden variable that we don't or can't observe), that's exactly what is meant by "deterministic".
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Again, is a dice roll a 'deterministic" phenomenon? Perhaps in the hands of Randi it is, but not in the predict-the-weather-a-year-from-now sense. We know the physics of weather, so we know the mechanism of sensitive dependence to initial conditions, but we can't predict it, because exponential growth of uncertainty is a real you-know-what. But at a deeper level, we don't really know the mechanism, because at some point the uncertainty connects to the quantum domain, and there it is something different from sensitivity to initial conditions.
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Absolutely not. A quantum mechanical description of a particle can tell you which results are possible, which are not, and for those that are possible, which ones are likely and which are not.
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I should not have said that science should never content itself with "reality just does it", because in fact it is part of my point that science
must do just that at some point. What I meant to say is that when science does make that resignation, what we are seeing is a fundamental limit of human science. The existence of such a limit is what I view as the fundamental disconnect between reality and science, whereas I think you would say that we are merely seeing the limit of reality itself. I think that's the "when all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail" approach to metaphysics.
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Nope. Precisely because we understand the mechanism behind tossing a coin, we know that the result is merely very difficult to predict, not truly random.
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Now I feel we have left the domain of science, if you feel you can offer a scientific definition of the difference between "truly random" and "impossible to predict in practice". How would you find observational evidence that there's a fundamental difference between predicting a quantum event and predicting the weather a year from now? I'm not talking about "hidden variables", we know those don't work, I'm talking about having machine-precision accuracy on the location of every particle and every field on Earth and still not knowing the weather in a month. Noise is not escapable in science, and exponential growth of noise is also unconquerable when present. How do we know there isn't some similar quantum chaos? Maybe such explorations will discover a way to understand the mechanism that makes the wave function work, but over that hill will be another one.
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If you don't like the idea of the universe being able to go down one of two paths with no reason whatsoever for chosing one over the other, I think you're beginning to understand why Einstein did not like quantum mechanics.
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Not quite. Einstein didn't like the universe rolling dice. I have no problem with that-- I want to know what dice it's rolling. Maybe science can determine that, via some quantum chaos approach, but if it can't then it's circular to claim that reality must have no such mechanism because science cannot determine it. This is the fundamental issue once again-- when science encounters limits in probing reality, does this have to mean that reality itself ends there, or just science? I would rather define
scientific reality as that objective element of what is "out there" that can be probed by science, and leave it at that. Science need not require there be no other reality outside the domain of science, objective or subjective, yet many scientists seem to think that this is a requirement.
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Actually, I think that Gödel's theorem goes exactly the other way. That is, the reason it works is that it turns out that even relatively simple systems end up being able to describe themselves, even if you specifically try to avoid it.
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I don't follow. If you are including the real numbers as a "relatively simple system", then Godel's theorem says that you can't prove everything that is true about the reals with a system of axioms that is significantly simpler than the reals themselves. That is, you can substitute something simpler for the reality, and make a kind of working model of the reality, but the reality will always have more going on than your substitute can describe. To me, that's science in a nutshell. The difference is that the kinds of things you can't prove about the reals are really bizarre and esoteric things that you probably don't really care about anyway, but I don't see that as the case when applied to the most profound and sublime elements of reality.
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Even if it's true (and it probably is) that an intelligence can always surprise itself, that does not lead to the conclusion that an intelligence cannot describe itself. Perhaps not perfectly, but I've certainly never claimed that a perfect description of anything is possible.
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If we agree that a complete description of intelligence is not possible by intelligence, then that is basically my point right there. Intelligence is a subset of reality, and science will never be able to offer a complete description of
even that subset (no "theory of everything"). All I'm saying is that science always has cracks that reality will slip through, we certainly both agree that science is the best way we've ever found to learn ways to conceptualize the intesection between objective reality and what we can observe, test, and understand.
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But neither is there particularly any reason to suspect that, although some aspect of the universe appears to behave as though it were X, that in reality it is definitely not X, and instead only seem to be X because of some odd happenstance.
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There's no scientific way to bring evidence to bear on that suspicion, that's true-- it's just a suspicion that is actually outside of science. This is another interesting point-- the human brain is capable of doing things that are not science, like art and philosophy, and metascience: having suspicions about what science is doing that are hard to establish as being correct because they are outside science. The "blind spots" can be identified using science, but what is really happening when science is highly
successful requires going outside science to think about. Unfortunately, science is the only way we have to really know much of anything in an objective way.
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Perhaops, but I'd say the difference is this. If there were no discrepancy, we would not be sure that such a unified theory could not work at any energy scale. We might be suspicious of it at scales that had not been directly tested, but we couldn't know for sure. As it stands, though, we absolutely know that at least one of these theories has to be revised.
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That is true, we do get certainty, instead of just a very very very good bet for a gambling man. It's not often that we can be certain of anything, so there's definitely something to be said for it. But even here we see the core irony of science: it is always easier to be certain something is
not correct, than that it is! I'm just applying the same principle to the relationship between science and reality.
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I really think the media is more responsible for this kind of presentation than the scientists themselves.
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I think it's a shared culpability. The media encourages it, the scientists want the fame and recognition, and voila: the press conference or catchy phrase. I don't say it's terrible, I'd probably be more than willing to do the same thing given the opportunity. I just think it does science a disservice that should be watched out for.
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But here's your assumption again. I would agree that it's likely that our description of the universe will never be perfect, and so will always leave things out. But are those things taht will be left out the "most important things"? I think you have no real support for that.
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That's probably true-- the "most important things" are probably rather simple: food, shelter, health, and some level of freedom. Science has given us longer and healthier lives, with much less misery and affliction and slavery ending in early death. To most, that would have to qualify as the "most important things"! I was indeed referring to a more poetic approach to that topic, but I wouldn't defend it-- all that is kind of a luxury in comparison. On a cynical day, I might say chuck the poetry, it was all a bunch of self-delusional drivel, and on an optimistic day, I might say that poetry is the only thing humans created that ever really mattered more than any colony of bacteria. Or would
that be the cynical day?
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