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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 15-November-2008, 02:41 AM
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Default 2012 Vectors

Recognising baut informative replies, I have not been able to find a good diagram showing the events of 2012.

It seems to me there are three intersecting vectors: the ecliptic, the solstice hemisphere line orthogonal to the celestial equator, and the stars themselves represented by the position of the centre of the galaxy.

I would be interested to know

1. Is this geometry accurate?
2. If so, is a diagram available showing the path from the present position of the galactic centre to its meeting with the ecliptic and the celestial hemisphere line at the solstice point?
3. Is the date 21 December 2012 when the galaxy moves relative to earth into a different hemisphere?

Thank you.

Robert Tulip
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Old 15-November-2008, 02:50 AM
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The "events" of 2012 are essentially fantasy. There is no special alignment in that year.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 15-November-2008, 03:07 AM
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Is this what you mean?
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Old 15-November-2008, 03:29 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Veeger View Post
Thanks Veeger. I read that thread and found this great picture of the meeting of the ecliptic and the solsticial meridian. But, isn't the 2012 issue that the point of the galactic centre will then be at the cross hatch where the sun is in this picture? I am sorry I don't have access to astronomical software (will look at http://www.stargazing.net/astropc/ ). I am wondering, if you took that picture in 2008 and again in 2012, and added to it the point of the galactic centre, would you see what the hoo-hah is about?
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Old 15-November-2008, 03:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
... if you took that picture in 2008 and again in 2012, and added to it the point of the galactic centre, would you see what the hoo-hah is about?
You wouldn't. The galactic centre doesn't coincide with the ecliptic / galactic plane crossing point. The hoo-hah is inexplicable.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 15-November-2008, 03:41 AM
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If I am not mistaken, the December solstice point is very close to the galactic plane, and the precession of Earth's spin axis will carry that point across the plane sometime in the year 2012. Thus the solstice that year will be the first one in the other galactic hemisphere.

I don't expect one iota of physical consequence. A nice exercise in geometry, nothing more.
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Old 15-November-2008, 03:57 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hornblower View Post
If I am not mistaken, the December solstice point is very close to the galactic plane, and the precession of Earth's spin axis will carry that point across the plane sometime in the year 2012. Thus the solstice that year will be the first one in the other galactic hemisphere.
In fact, that alignment happened more than ten years ago, in May 1998. Jean Meeus reported it in his Mathematical Astronomy Morsels (Chapter 48), but you can check it with any decent planetarium software.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 15-November-2008, 04:08 AM
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You seem to be looking for something that is not to be found. Those lines on that image mean nothing. they are not there. It was simply the easy method of understanding the geometry and movement of the components of this galaxy. As Earth trolls around the sun. Our view of the sky changes. We find the galactic center some times obscured by the sun. Thats the only significance to this annual event.
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Old 15-November-2008, 10:14 AM
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Well, I am disappointed that the grant unification of the cosmos has been exaggerated. I was imagining it like the hydrogen-deuterium-carbon cycle, with the two hydrogen atoms in star deuterium equating to the ecliptic and the meridian, and the third atom making carbon equating to the movement of the galactic core across the galactic plane. Missed it by that much.

Quote:
Originally Posted by grant hutchison View Post
You wouldn't. The galactic centre doesn't coincide with the ecliptic / galactic plane crossing point. The hoo-hah is inexplicable. Grant Hutchison
Thanks Grant – so if you added the galactic centre to the 2012-12-21 picture it would not be right behind the sun?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hornblower View Post
If I am not mistaken, the December solstice point is very close to the galactic plane, and the precession of Earth's spin axis will carry that point across the plane sometime in the year 2012. Thus the solstice that year will be the first one in the other galactic hemisphere. I don't expect one iota of physical consequence. A nice exercise in geometry, nothing more.
Thanks Hornblower. It seems the close alignment between the solstice meridian and the galactic plane may have led some to confuse them with each other. For example, on this picture of 2012, is it right that the diagonal line marked ‘galactic equator’ is close but not the same as the solstice meridian?
Quote:
Originally Posted by grant hutchison View Post
In fact, that alignment happened more than ten years ago, in May 1998. Jean Meeus reported it in his Mathematical Astronomy Morsels (Chapter 48), but you can check it with any decent planetarium software.Grant Hutchison
Thanks again Grant, so this part of the theory, ie galactic core moving galactic planar hemispheres as viewed from earth, is incorrect. Yet, as I understand it in line with Hornblower’s comment, the conjunction between the solstice and the galactic core does occur in 2012, does it not?
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Originally Posted by astromark View Post
You seem to be looking for something that is not to be found. Those lines on that image mean nothing. they are not there. It was simply the easy method of understanding the geometry and movement of the components of this galaxy. As Earth trolls around the sun. Our view of the sky changes. We find the galactic center some times obscured by the sun. Thats the only significance to this annual event.
Astromark, no I am not looking for something that is not to be found. I don’t find your comment ‘those lines are not there’ easy to understand. Thank you for the lesson in existential philosophy, but the lines are there in the picture so presumably they reflect an astronomical reality? Lines such as the ecliptic and the meridian indicate how our earth stands in relation to the cosmos. Does not this indicate they are really there?

I think the significance of this event is that the luni-solar 25765 year long precession of earth’s equinox means the December solstice will precess past the galactic core in 2012. It is true that the movement of the galactic core against the galactic equator has a roughly similar cycle? If so, a fifteen year gap between the two events is fairly close.
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Old 15-November-2008, 11:20 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by grant hutchison View Post
In fact, that alignment happened more than ten years ago, in May 1998. Jean Meeus reported it in his Mathematical Astronomy Morsels (Chapter 48), but you can check it with any decent planetarium software.

Grant Hutchison
Apparently I was mistaken. Probably from scanning a lot of 2012 drivel for my own amusement.
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Old 15-November-2008, 12:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Well, I am disappointed that the grant unification of the cosmos has been exaggerated. I was imagining it like the hydrogen-deuterium-carbon cycle, with the two hydrogen atoms in star deuterium equating to the ecliptic and the meridian, and the third atom making carbon equating to the movement of the galactic core across the galactic plane. Missed it by that much.
I see what looks like a vivid imagination going off on flights of fancy with contrived attempts at analogies.
Quote:
Thanks Grant – so if you added the galactic centre to the 2012-12-21 picture it would not be right behind the sun?
Not even close. The galactic center is some 5 degrees from that intersection. See my remarks further down the page.
Quote:
Thanks Hornblower. It seems the close alignment between the solstice meridian and the galactic plane may have led some to confuse them with each other. For example, on this picture of 2012, is it right that the diagonal line marked ‘galactic equator’ is close but not the same as the solstice meridian?
Not even close. The solstice meridian would be straight north and south, with the galactic equator inclined about 27 degrees counterclockwise.

Quote:
Thanks again Grant, so this part of the theory, ie galactic core moving galactic planar hemispheres as viewed from earth, is incorrect. Yet, as I understand it in line with Hornblower’s comment, the conjunction between the solstice and the galactic core does occur in 2012, does it not?
Once again, not even close as I interpret it. First, let me remind everyone that I stand corrected by Jan Meeus's finding that the solstice crossed the plane in 1998. That picture shows the 2012 sun slightly to the right of the galactic plane. I don't know whether or not that was intentional, but it is in good agreement with Meeus.

As for conjunction with the core, I would interpret that as the minimum separation of the solstice point and the core, which is some 5 degrees south-southwest of the current solstice point. That will occur roughly two centuries from now. See this link for the coordinates of the core.
http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/312058

Quote:
Astromark, no I am not looking for something that is not to be found. I don’t find your comment ‘those lines are not there’ easy to understand. Thank you for the lesson in existential philosophy, but the lines are there in the picture so presumably they reflect an astronomical reality? Lines such as the ecliptic and the meridian indicate how our earth stands in relation to the cosmos. Does not this indicate they are really there?

I think the significance of this event is that the luni-solar 25765 year long precession of earth’s equinox means the December solstice will precess past the galactic core in 2012. It is true that the movement of the galactic core against the galactic equator has a roughly similar cycle?
What cycle are you referring to?
Quote:
If so, a fifteen year gap between the two events is fairly close.
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Old 15-November-2008, 01:07 PM
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Robert Tulip ., I said ..." It was simply the easy method of understanding the geometry and movement of the components of this galaxy. As Earth trolls around the sun. Our view of the sky changes. We find the galactic center some times obscured by the sun. Thats the only significance to this annual event." and from your comments I need to explain myself further. Yes on that wonderful image of this galaxy they have emplace the lines of inclination and declination. Yes the solar system does cross the galactic plain. Yes it has happened before., and will again. and, Yes the view of the galactic core will and is often obscured by the sun. That is not an alignment of any significance, ( its only visible in daylight. ) and would pass un-noticed but for a group of crazed doomsday naysayers.... We have no knowledge of any object or fanominum that places us at any greater risk than is the normal. I can tell you that If we were to find information that leads us down this road and or in any way endangered humanity you will read it here.
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Old 15-November-2008, 01:21 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Thanks Grant – so if you added the galactic centre to the 2012-12-21 picture it would not be right behind the sun?
It would not.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Thanks again Grant, so this part of the theory, ie galactic core moving galactic planar hemispheres as viewed from earth, is incorrect.
There is no "theory". People who propound this story are simply mistaken, misled or lying.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Yet, as I understand it in line with Hornblower’s comment, the conjunction between the solstice and the galactic core does occur in 2012, does it not?
You've misunderstood Hornblower. See his comments above. The galactic core is some distance from the solstice point at present, and there will be nothing special about their relative positions in 2012.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 15-November-2008, 07:57 PM
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Many thanks all. I have not studied this issue in depth and am taking the opportunity to ask what of the claims about 2012 might be true. It seems the fact that the solstice point will be in front of the milky way in 2012 has been extrapolated into false claims in some quarters. A main proponent of 2012 Mayan predictions, John Major Jenkins, has what looks to be an accurate explanation here.

I must apologise, my question on the crossing of the galactic plane was answered previously by Grant Hutchison, but in looking at different sources I forgot Grant's answer. At http://www.bautforum.com/questions-a...ml#post1357082 Grant said "The sun is north of the galactic plane at present, and moving farther from it. The period is about 65 million years. The amplitude is about 200 light-years either side of the galactic plane." To which Veeger responded "Thanks for that Grant. Your figures confirm my own research and strikes a body-blow to the 2012 galactic plane crossing, scare-mongers." My last post confused this 65 million year cycle with the 26000 year cycle of precession. Is this 65 million year cycle the one which crossed the plane in 1998?

Robert Tulip
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Old 15-November-2008, 09:38 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip
... the 2012 issue ...
The "2012 issue" is that a bunch of woo-woos are spewing loads of BS which would be worthy of an imaginative, hyperactive 6-year-old on steroids.

What will happen in 2012? Well, go back to the year you were born and use all of the years since then as examples for 2012.

Anybody who makes wild, overstrung, esoteric predictions for 2012 is going to look like a damn fool when that year comes and goes without mentionable occasion, just like any other year.

So, I'm going to go listen to my "Hair" soundtrack and dream about the 60's:

Quote:
"When the moon is in the seventh house and Jupiter aligns with Mars, then peace will guide the planets and love will steer the stars. This is the dawning of the age of Aquarius ..."
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Old 15-November-2008, 09:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
My last post confused this 65 million year cycle with the 26000 year cycle of precession. Is this 65 million year cycle the one which crossed the plane in 1998?
No, the solstice points move along the ecliptic with the 25,800-year precession cycle.
The ~65-million-year oscillation is a movement of the sun north and south within the galactic disc. It can be modelled with reference to a notional "galactic plane", which aligns approximately with the galactic coordinate system. We passed through it from galactic south to north more than a million years ago.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 16-November-2008, 12:39 AM
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I have it on good authority that in 2012, the Midwestern Corn Group will suffer bankruptcy, but...

Or maybe it was the South African Grass Growers Association?

I can't remember which - I must have been tired. Oh well.
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Old 16-November-2008, 01:13 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Many thanks all. I have not studied this issue in depth and am taking the opportunity to ask what of the claims about 2012 might be true. It seems the fact that the solstice point will be in front of the milky way in 2012 has been extrapolated into false claims in some quarters. A main proponent of 2012 Mayan predictions, John Major Jenkins, has what looks to be an accurate explanation here.
...
Robert Tulip
I think, since Jenkins was one of the earlier authors making a link between Mayan "end of the age" sensationalism and the galactic alignment (his original book "Galactic Alignment" was published in 2002 and some essays predate that), many have mistaken his mention of the precessional movement across the galactic plane with a physical movement across the plane. I have yet to see where Jenkins makes the claim, the shift is physical. As a first impression I would consider Jenkins another sensationalist, but I confess, I have never read any of his books; only bits and pieces of his website. He like many of these "researchers" / authors believe ancient people were aware of and in some case had detailed knowledge of lunisolar precession.
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Old 16-November-2008, 11:59 AM
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Why do people worry about the Mayan calendar "predictions"? Our calender "predicts" The End at 31 december of every single year, and nobody panics about that. (ok, except when you forgot to buy presents...)
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Old 16-November-2008, 02:43 PM
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Quote:
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I have not studied this issue in depth and am taking the opportunity to ask what of the claims about 2012 might be true.
I have nothing to say.

I just wanted to stake out an article in this topic because it looks like it's going to be a magnet for people seeking 2012 prediction information. I may have something to say about that. Gotta go.

===

Edit: Vectors? I'll give you some vectors. Follow these pointers to enlightenment.

Yep, rodin pushed it over the edge, below, with ludicrous and unsupported claims of psychological operations and disinformation campaigns, so, in case scared people come here looking for information about pseudoscientific year-2012 predictions, to counteract the nonsense, I present this collected wisdom of BAUT Forum members in regards to the nearly entirely false predictions for year 2012, scattered among a large number of topics.

This isn't a FAQ, a collection of frequently asked questions. It's all the questions and answers I could find at one point in time many months ago, and accumulations since. But, funny thing, a lot of them are asked frequently, repeatedly, over and over, redundantly, till the cows come home, which will probably be some time in 2013. Enjoy, if you can.

Some BAUT Forum topics that have addressed aspects of predictions for year 2012, and some allied articles, are:
  1. 2003 no, 2012 si
  2. 2012
  3. End of Mayan Calendar
  4. Pole shift / Planetary alignment 2012?
  5. 2012 alignment question
  6. about the Mayan 2012 item
  7. 2012 Debunking?
  8. Possible asteroid impact in 2012?
  9. 2012 asteroid?
  10. We don't have to worry about 2012!
  11. More on 2012 from India Daily
  12. 2012 Completion of conspiracy?
  13. Here's what's REALLY going to happen in 2012...
  14. crop circles, Planet X and 2012
  15. Planet X, crop circles and 2012 cataclysma
  16. According to the Mayans, what will happen on 23rd Dec. 2012?
  17. More 2012 Nonsense
  18. NEO 2012?
  19. Dangerous NEO in 2012?
  20. Christmas 2012
  21. 2012 mayan calender end of world
  22. Regarding the supposed polar shift/new ice age in 2012
  23. New 2012 threat?
  24. 2012 look at this thing on the sun
  25. Russian Expert Predicts Global Cooling from 2012
  26. Pole shift idea origins
  27. Dec 20 2012
  28. 2012 Stuff
  29. No reply previous question
  30. Horizon Project-New End of World Scare?
  31. Date: December 21st 2012
  32. Earth passing thru Galactic center in 2012 - didn't that already happen?
  33. 2012: What do you think well happen (if anything)
  34. So what will we see in 2012?
  35. Galactic Tsunami?
  36. Plane of the ecliptic of the galaxy?
  37. Earth's Magnetic Field & 2012
  38. 2012?
  39. Any truth to this?
  40. How can the sun be aligned with Galactic centre?
  41. the whole 2012 poles flip nonsense
  42. Planet X Official Advertisement
  43. What year are we in
  44. Quick question about the sun
  45. Galactic Alignment
  46. Books of 2012! -
  47. 2007 = 2012
  48. Return of Planet X By Rand
  49. Don Alejandro - Mayan Elder.
  50. Toutatis 4179: 2012?
  51. Galactic Alignment in 2012 ?
  52. Solar Storms
  53. A real prediction!
  54. NIBURU - Brown Dwarf, The DESTROYER
  55. 2012 Galactic Alignment
  56. Not 2012 again! But I cant help it~
  57. New evidence for 2012 TEOTWAWKI!!!
  58. this may be a silly question but...
  59. Just to know if this is true
  60. Just Wondering...
  61. Planet X/Nibiru, is it real?
  62. Youv heard this a million times.
  63. Nibaru or Planet X
  64. Mayan calendar
  65. 2012 Article?
  66. can i say something please on planet x
  67. Nibiru
  68. The growing earth.... :P
  69. Our Solar System's Eclipse of the Galactic Plane on Dec 21, 2012?
  70. Something scaring the hell out of me....
  71. It's Only the end of the World AGAIN!!! (Woo Woo Alert)
  72. 2021 Doomsday
  73. is it just me or is the milky way brighter..?
  74. Polar Shift in 2012?
  75. I would like to ask about Nubiru stuff...
  76. Bit behind the times, my appologies...
  77. the "pole shift thing"
  78. All the Truth about 2012
  79. Confused about 2012 (yes, another one!)
  80. Another paranoia mind due to 2012
  81. novelty theory
  82. Possibility of Pole Shift
  83. 2012 Vectors
Universe Today: No Doomsday in 2012
Bad Astronomy Blog: 2012, the year nothing will happen
Universe Today: 2012: No Planet X
Universe Today: 2012: Planet X is not Nibiru
Universe Today: 2012: No Killer Solar Flare
Universe Today: 2012: No Geomagnetic Reversal
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Old 16-November-2008, 10:46 PM
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http://www.greatdreams.com/2012.htm presents an argument that
Quote:
The date December 21st, 2012 A.D. (13.0.0.0.0 in the Long Count), represents an extremely close conjunction of the Winter Solstice Sun with the crossing point of the Galactic Equator (Equator of the Milky Way) and the Ecliptic (path of the Sun), what that ancient Maya recognized as the Sacred Tree. This is an event that has been coming to resonance very slowly over thousands and thousands of years. It will come to resolution at exactly 11:11 am GMT....On the winter solstice of 2012, the noonday Sun exactly conjuncts the crossing point of the sun's ecliptic with the galactic plane, while also closely conjuncting the exact the center of the galaxy.
And yet the same website states:
Quote:
John Major Jenkins has pointed out that the detailed graphs of the cycles do not actually show significant termination points at the end of the Great Cycle; ...According to John Major Jenkins, it will take 36 years to precess through the Galactic equator. The Galactic Alignment "zone" is 1998 +/- 18 years = 1980 to 2016. This is "era 2012".
Was the Mayan linkage of the precessional cycle to the galactic core out by 14 years?
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Old 16-November-2008, 11:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip View Post
Was the Mayan linkage of the precessional cycle to the galactic core out by 14 years?
There's no evidence the Maya were bothered about any such thing. Their calendar had a start date of purely mythological significance, and progressed in a sequence of Long Counts of 20x18x20x20x13 days, or about 5125 years. Five of those Long Counts turn out to be a couple of hundred years shorter than the precession cycle. The only people who are out by 14 years are those modern fantasists who are trying to concoct some astronomical significance for the end of the current Long Count.

Grant Hutchison
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Old 16-November-2008, 11:15 PM
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Quote:
... On the winter solstice of 2012, the noonday Sun exactly conjuncts the crossing point of the sun's ecliptic with the galactic plane, while also closely conjuncting the exact the center of the galaxy.
If so, so what?

If true, it's a nice statistic, like some doped up baseball millionaire hitting x+1 homeruns, but is positively and absolutely meaningless to our lives.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Robert Tulip
Was the Mayan linkage of the precessional cycle to the galactic core out by 14 years?
What Mayan linkage?

Something tells me, that when a people doesn't use the wheel and thinks the world is flat, that it doesn't make many usefull predictions about galactic phenonema.
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Old 16-November-2008, 11:32 PM
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A relevant quotation from EG Richards' Mapping Time:
Quote:
The Maya never employed intercalations or paid undue attention to synchronizing their calendar with astronomical events, so the accuracy of the calendar is of no concern. The Maya knew, as we know ourselves, that the first of Pop [start of the Mayan year] would occur one day earlier with respect to the seasons every four haabs [365-day Mayan years] or so. They made adjustments from time to time of the date of such of their festivals as were considered seasonal.

(My explanatory insertions)
These folk cared so little about keeping their calendar matched to the seasons, they never had a leap year: they just adjusted the dates of seasonal events instead. Does that seem like a group of people who would tie their long calendar to a particular solstice date in the far future?

Grant Hutchison
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Old 23-November-2008, 09:45 PM
rodin rodin is offline
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2012 is a psyop (you only have to see who has been promoting it) but the date may be manipulated for some contrived end. My technical analysis of markets predicts a dislocation around the much vaunted 12 21 2012 date. Numbers, it seems, do matter to some
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Old 23-November-2008, 09:57 PM
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Cool. A secret gub'ment operation. A perfect topic for our Conspiracy Theories forum.
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Old 23-November-2008, 09:58 PM
Tinaa Tinaa is offline
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rodin do not post ATM/CT stuff in Q &A.
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Old 24-November-2008, 12:44 AM
thorkil2 thorkil2 is offline
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We Mayans have established a safe haven in the nth side dimension where we will ride out the end of the world cycle in 2012 (give or take), and come back to rebuild the world in neatly fashioned megaliths. Anybody wanna sign up to be a Mayan? (Special perks for stone masons, astrologers, and sacrificial virgins.) Membership includes a cool "I survived 2012" T-shirt (or loin cloth, your choice), lapel button, secret handshake, and your own set of nth dimensional gate incantations. But sign up soon...the nth dimension isn't all that big, and the end is coming...
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"To complete the picture all the photons can be seen to be synchronising friction on and off throughout the overall cone which itself is synchronised to the equal and opposite reaction of equilateral triangulation"... by a scientificator in ATM, too priceless to be lost to posterity.
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Old 24-November-2008, 01:09 AM
thorkil2 thorkil2 is offline
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I hasten to add that previous was not directed at the OP, though he is welcome to sign up too.
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Time is a great teacher, but unfortunately, it kills all its pupils. Hector Berlioz

"To complete the picture all the photons can be seen to be synchronising friction on and off throughout the overall cone which itself is synchronised to the equal and opposite reaction of equilateral triangulation"... by a scientificator in ATM, too priceless to be lost to posterity.

Last edited by thorkil2; 24-November-2008 at 02:50 AM.. Reason: added invitation
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Old 24-November-2008, 07:58 PM
John Mendenhall John Mendenhall is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thorkil2 View Post
- - Not! It's from an ATM'er.

"To complete the picture all the photons can be seen to be synchronising friction on and off throughout the overall cone which itself is synchronised to the equal and opposite reaction of equilateral triangulation"... by a scientificator in ATM, too priceless to be lost to posterity.
I love it. Thank you.

Last edited by John Mendenhall; 24-November-2008 at 08:00 PM.. Reason: clarity
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