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I've been watching the late (6:44pm PST) Press conference on Nasa TV. Here are some Facts they were able to announce.
The temperature/presure sensors failed in succsession from the back of the left wing towards the front over a time of about four minutes. At no time did any of the sensors detect any level of heat or pressure annomolies before thier failure. (this sort of hints it wasn't a tile/impact issue, but nasa hasn't ruled that out yet either) No information is know as to why they failed, other then something related to wiring. Thier failure at this time may or may not be related to the accident at all. The shuttle was in the correct plane of re-entry and was not at an incorrect angle when the catastrophic failure occured. Nothing else is known yet. (It could be a fuel leak that froze a wiring harness causing it to crack and then spark, the left wing could have simply torn off, or it could of been a micro meteroite impact.) Nasa is trying to determine if the explosion was the result of some other failure, or if the the explosion occured first. It's looking like the investigation will take quite some time for answers to be sifted out of the wreckage. |
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Unfortunately it's still speculation. I can only give hints as to how engineers will likely look at these clues. And I'm hampered, as everyone else, by having to get all the clues via the media who won't always give you all the relevant clues and won't always get the facts right.
I've spoken at length here and elsewhere about the mental processes that occurred during and after the Apollo 13 explosion. We must not allow ourselves to form an early hypothesis and then "filter" subsequent evidence based on that hypothesis. We must truly keep our minds open to any possibility that can't be ruled out. Fortunately (or unfortunately as the case may be) I decided to spend the night in a cabin up in the mountains last night and didn't hear anything about this until nearly seven hours after it occurred. So there was already a fair amount of information for me to absorb initially. Even still, I'm simply trying to give some implications of the data that's being presented, as I see it. It's far too early to be drawing any conclusions, or even to think that we have appropriate data. |
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An update from Nasa TV, as of 11:39pm PST
Nasa has announced that they have slowed down the production of the external fuel tank, booster rockets, and other hardware for future shuttle flights. They also stated, "We will not lauch another shuttle until we come to an understanding of what occured during this mission." They ammended the previous information by stating there was an increase in tempature on two sensors of the left wing before they failed. The left wheel and brake line temperature sensors. Thats about it for now. |
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Nasa TV Update 4:34 pm PST
Some Updated Information on Shuttle Accident, presenting them in order of events. Four Sensors along the back of the left wing failed. The Tire and Brake line Temperature Sensors in left wing registered a 20 degree rise in temperture before they failed. The left Elevons began compensating for an increase in drag along the left side of the shuttle. Further sensors in the left wing failed. The wiring of the left wing sensors are routed around the frame work of the wheel well. Sensors along the main left fuselage above the wing indicated a 60 degree increase in temperature, compared to 15 degree increase from the corresponding right side. The left Elevons compansated for more drag drag along the left side of the shuttle. Left side Tire and Brake Pressure sensors failed, which triggered a minor alarm light in shuttle. Last Voice Radio contact occured. Loss is being attributed to do Plasma Envelope EM interference. (This normally happens during re-entry when shuttle is at Mach 17 to 19). An additional 32 seconds of computer data was received after this point, but is still being anaylzed. Hope this helps, I'll post more as I Catch it on Nasa TV. |