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If money were no factor, then sure, you could keep a Shuttle and the CEV. Unfortunately, money is always a factor. The Shuttle requires a large ground support staff of trained personnel. You need people to prepare all of the Shuttle systems, update the software, and perform mission control.
A Shuttle also requires a lot of dedicated equipment and facilities. Some of those facilities will be converted for CEV operations (just like how the Saturn V launch pads were converted for Shuttle operations), so you'd either have to build duplicate facilities or somehow modify them to serve both vehicles. All of this costs money that NASA doesn't have, so it isn't going to happen. As for the Shuttle's unique capabilities, the ability to return stuff from space is probably the most overrated. It is almost never cost effective to fly a Shuttle mission to retrieve something from space. It was done for the LDEF because the mission was specifically designed that way. They retrieved a small number of satellites (2 or 3 IIRC) that were left in useless orbits and brought them back so they could be launched again. However, the taxpayers heavily subsidized those recoveries. |
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While the cheap robotic servicing capability has been slow to show success, it is something that is under development, and has much greater likelihood to be less expensive than launching a whole new replacement satellite *and* won't be restricted to fixing low Earth orbit things.
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Many airports have ground facilities for a dozen aircraft types, so NASA should be able to handle two or three. Obviously NASA should make sure the new system is really better before they retire the shuttles. The shuttle needs to fly more than once per year, or sufficient ground personel with experience won't be available just before flight time. Is there any chance a shuttle could be stationed at the ISS to use for emergencies? With the solid state boosters leaving from ISS, the shuttle could likely land at a moon base in hours instead of days. Neil
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(Anyway, don't they already support Delta and other unmanned launchers as seperate vehicles?) My garage at home can also support two vehicles. Do I have use for 2? No. Sorry to be snippy, but the scales are so vastly different that there is no comparison.
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Numbers are not case sensitive. (me) |
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1. Do you necessarily need two entirely sets of separate facilities for two systems which share a large number of components? 2. How much does it cost to "maintain" all the shuttle facilities, assuming that they are not in operation to the extent that they were at the time of the shuttle program's most activity. Does it cost anything to have a runway for the shuttle? It's already there. It's very thick concrete so it ain't going anywhere. Does it cost that much to have the equipment for tile inspection and repair retained? What is the price of having some shuttle-speffic maintenance equipment sit in the back of the hanger under a tarp for most of the year? I assume Nasa isn't so pressed for space that they simply to not have the room to keep such things and have no alternative but to throw them out or sell them for next to nothing at a government auction. Obviously there are some shuttle-speffic facilities which would require money to keep in operation. But really, does it cost *that* much to have them for one or two missions a year? The employees who are already trained in prepping the shuttle cannot also handle the CEV? |
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Refurbishing the shuttle after a flight requires a lot of highly skilled, highly specialized labor. One of the hope of the CEV is that this kind of maintenance will no longer be needed, and the staff to support it should be *much* smaller.
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Forming opinions as we speak |
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The Shuttle has a limited on-orbit lifetime. Stretching the consumables to the utmost, you're not going to get more than a month of life out of it. After that, the Shuttle dies.
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"Time travel gives me a headache." - Capt. Kathryn Janeway |
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Many airports have ground facilities for a dozen aircraft types, so NASA should be able to handle two or three
Weak comparison. Aircraft don't need dedicated runways - just about any plane that meets the weight and size constraints can take off from any runway. The same isn't true for launch pads. Aircraft have standardized many factors like fuel types and fueling system, baggage handling, etc. None of that is true for rockets. Is there any chance a shuttle could be stationed at the ISS to use for emergencies? This was discussed in a recent thread. In short, the answer is no. The Shuttle wasn't designed to be left on orbit for extended periods of time. Many of the systems (e.g. the fuel cells) aren't designed to be used for more than a couple weeks. With the solid state boosters leaving from ISS, the shuttle could likely land at a moon base in hours instead of days. The idea of using a Shuttle SRB in orbit to speed up a Mars trip was discussed just a week or so ago. The first problem is that a single 4 segment SRB weighs something like 1.2 million pounds. There's no booster on Earth powerful enough to launch even a single SRB segment into orbit much less an entire SRB. 1. Do you necessarily need two entirely sets of separate facilities for two systems which share a large number of components? There can be some commonality but probably not much. For example, look at the geometry of the Shuttle verses the Ares I (the "Stick"). The launch pad will probably have to be modified. The crawler will probably need specialized equipment to move the Ares to the launch pad. The launch tower will be different. The list goes on. The equipment to stack a 5 segment SRB for the Ares I will likely be similar to that used to stack a 4 segment SRB for the Shuttle. The upper stage engine on the Ares I burns the same propellant (LH/LOX) as the SSMEs but the engine is completely different. The software won't be the same. The processing procedures won't be the same. The amount of commonality is actually pretty limited. There appears to be more commonality between the Ares V and the Shuttle. The geometry is similar so the pad, crawler, and perhaps the launch towers wouldn't require too many changes. 2. How much does it cost to "maintain" all the shuttle facilities, assuming that they are not in operation to the extent that they were at the time of the shuttle program's most activity. If I'm reading you correctly, it seems you're asking how much it would take to put the Shuttle facilities in either a caretaker status or to operate them at a lower activity level. I don't have the answers. Every building requires a certain amount of maintenance. Physical equipment needs to be maintained whether its used or not if you hope to use it again in the future. The big issue is that most of the facilities will be converted for use by the new vehicle(s) so they won't be available for the Shuttle anymore. There's also the other support equipment such as the simulators and training aircraft that exist to train Shuttle astronauts. The simulators for the CEV will either be adapted from Shuttle hardware (seems unlikely) or will replace the Shuttle equipment. The training aircraft won't be needed anymore. It takes a lot of expensive equipment to keep the Shuttle pilots proficient. That's true whether they're flying 1 mission a year or 6. Does it cost anything to have a runway for the shuttle? It's already there. It's very thick concrete so it ain't going anywhere. It isn't like they're going to rip out the runway when the Shuttle stops flying. However, it's likely that the runway deteriorates due to exposure to the elements whether it's used or not. I've seen photos of abandoned runways at closed airports. After a few years, many of them appear to be in pretty bad shape. Does it cost that much to have the equipment for tile inspection and repair retained? What is the price of having some shuttle-speffic maintenance equipment sit in the back of the hanger under a tarp for most of the year? I assume Nasa isn't so pressed for space that they simply to not have the room to keep such things and have no alternative but to throw them out or sell them for next to nothing at a government auction. It isn't as if NASA has a bunch of empty buildings sitting around where they can store stuff. Most of their buildings are already being used for one purpose or another. How much sense would it make to build a building to store equipment that you're not likely to use again? Obviously there are some shuttle-speffic facilities which would require money to keep in operation. But really, does it cost *that* much to have them for one or two missions a year? The employees who are already trained in prepping the shuttle cannot also handle the CEV? It does cost a lot if you have to build new buildings to have enough room to handle all of the support equipment and personnel needed to maintain both vehicles. As for the employees, consider the people who refurbish the SSMEs and the Shuttle's tiles. Those components are highly specialized and won't exist on the CEV. You have to pay the workers the same salary regardless of whether you're flying 1 (or zero, as when the Shuttle was grounded) or 6 missions a year. Keeping that workforce on hand to support that few missions per year is an expensive proposition. The same goes for the mission controllers. The vehicles are so different that it'd be challenging to train the mission controllers to handle both types. Would you keep a full complement of mission controllers on staff when you're only flying 1 mission per year? |
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NASA actually produced a 10-page study on using the Shuttle for missions to the Moon. Their plan called for a Shuttle carrying its EFT all the way into orbit with it, and then leaving it there, while cargo flights then carry up the liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen needed to refuel it - that's 106,261 kg of liquid hydrogen, and 629,340 kg of liquid oxygen. With no "Shuttle-C" cargo vehicle, the Shuttle itself could deliver 24,400 kg of cargo each flight, while a Delta IV Heavy can deliver 23,040 kg. So, we're talking roughly 30-31 flights between the two to fill it. It gets better - they estimated a 3-ton payload to the Moon. That's not much. URL for the study can be found here: http://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/ca...1991014907.pdf PDF is 1,141 KB. Noteworthy quote: Quote:
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Sleep? Isn't that that totally inadaquate substitute for caffeine I've heard so much about? Quantumfoamy.com, my astronomy/astrophotography blog. |
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Actually, on a somewhat related note (The deployment of the CEV) can we get that thing possibly flying in the more near-term by going with the capsule and for the time being sticking it ontop of an atlas or even a delta or something?
Maybe even get some CEV orbital missions before the shuttle retirement deadline is up. (oh yeah... not human certified... is it that much easier\faster to make a whole new launch platform than to assure an existing one is adequately safe) |
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Whatever happened to those cool digital vehicles you used to see in magazines that would be just like airplanes, instead of needing the extra tanks like the Shuttle?
Man, I felt so old writing that.
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"If you think the LHC will create black holes, you might as well believe Hobbits are at the bottom of your garden."- Dr. Mike Inglis Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song |
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How do you think I feel? I've been seeing those same "any day now" spaceplane illustrations since before they were digital!
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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"If you think the LHC will create black holes, you might as well believe Hobbits are at the bottom of your garden."- Dr. Mike Inglis Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song |
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Try 1970's. The basic concepts aren't new, just repainted and with the serial numbers filed off.
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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But I'm all for Orion, let's go, go, go!
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"If you think the LHC will create black holes, you might as well believe Hobbits are at the bottom of your garden."- Dr. Mike Inglis Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song |