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Personally, I look at the current rate of technological advancement, and I think the sky's the limit.
My imagination tends towards solving the main problems of human spaceflight, with the development of custom-designed artificial bodies better suited to the radiation and zero/micro-gravity space environment; and the construction of space habitats both orbital and mobile by private hobbyists' clubs. |
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The stuff we do late in this century, assumiming prosparity continues, depends on break thoughs we make the next decade or two. Will we mass produce CNT = carbon nano tubes or something even stronger? Will we mass produce room temperature super conductors? Will we have practical space elevators, fusion, SSP = space solar power? Gigawatt (average power) lasers?
If the world ecconomy is bad the last half of this century we may make little progress after 2050. Neil |
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Duh. Thats why they invented World of Warcraft, to keep geeks distracted.
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"I worry that, especially as the Millennium edges nearer, pseudo-science and superstition will seem year by year more tempting, the siren song of unreason more sonorous and attractive." - Carl Sagan, 1995 |
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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Without general purpose nano-factories (or similar) I don't see much (if any) of a human presence off-Earth. Though I guess we will learn a lot about terraforming from the geo-engineering projects we undertake to tackle global warming. I suspect we will have a deliberately captured asteroid or three in Earth orbit by 2100 (one per major space power?). Which we use as habitat and as manufacturing platforms for space probes and orbital assets, probably including an interstellar program.
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Always challenge the assumptions |
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"If this were play'd upon a stage now, I could condemn it as an improbable fiction." Shakespeare, Twelfth Night Illuminati's Razor-The most complicatedly evil answer is usually the most correct answer. - Fazor "Every book is a children's book if the kid can read." - Mitch Hedberg "Distance doesn’t matter much in space, where if you just start a thing off with the right kind of shove, sooner or later it will get where you want it to go." -Frederik Pohl, Mining the Oort |
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Private enterprise should be the key factor by then. |
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Highly unlikely. The inherent short-sighted nature of private enterprise makes it poorly suited to space exploration. The current lack of anything worthwhile from the private sector (even given all the public resources they've been handed) bears this out. The whole 'space enterprise' thing is just a silly dream of entrepreneurs and free market ideologues.
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"I worry that, especially as the Millennium edges nearer, pseudo-science and superstition will seem year by year more tempting, the siren song of unreason more sonorous and attractive." - Carl Sagan, 1995 |
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(Common schoolyard response to insults in my primary school days)
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Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song 'Evolution and science are one thing, but you don’t mess with Yoko Ono. Everybody knows that. ' - 386sx Last edited by KaiYeves : 01-January-2008 at 03:45 AM. |
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http://www.googlelunarxprize.org/ Quite a bit less expensive, too ![]() |
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And don't you like rooting for the little guy, Damburger?
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Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song 'Evolution and science are one thing, but you don’t mess with Yoko Ono. Everybody knows that. ' - 386sx |
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__________________
"I worry that, especially as the Millennium edges nearer, pseudo-science and superstition will seem year by year more tempting, the siren song of unreason more sonorous and attractive." - Carl Sagan, 1995 |
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Trickle-down economics? Are you kidding me?
__________________
"I worry that, especially as the Millennium edges nearer, pseudo-science and superstition will seem year by year more tempting, the siren song of unreason more sonorous and attractive." - Carl Sagan, 1995 |
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__________________
Rovers forever! - ToSeek "Carl Sagan sent a message to ET, Neil Armstrong walked in the Sea of Tranquility Steve Squyers built Spirit and Opportunity Dan Haylen upchucked in zero gravity." -Brent Simon, The Space Camp Song 'Evolution and science are one thing, but you don’t mess with Yoko Ono. Everybody knows that. ' - 386sx |